Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 5, 2006

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $139.0000 (2.03%) ($137.2800 - $139.6400) on Thu. Oct. 5, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $139.0000(2.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(66%)    USO(65%)    VWO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(8%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $134.31(-3.37%)
Resistance Level   $140.16
5 Day Moving Average   $138.27(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $139.02(-0.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $140.16(-0.83%)
To recent high   -14.5%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.86% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2006	150.88	140.16	139.02	138.27			139(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-5	-21	0.04	38%	-0.11	-95.5	1.74%	0	-0.3	49	0
2	Oct_4_2006	151.05	140.77	139	138.89			136.24(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-12	-19	0.02	35%	-0.13	-78.5	1.72%	0	-0.9	45	0
3	Oct_3_2006	151.25	141.59	139.12	140.28			134.24(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-10	-16	0.05	35%	-0.16	-61.9	1.72%	0	-1.3	36	0
4	Oct_2_2006	151.49	142.73	139.74	141.54			139.76(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-10000	5	4	0.01	38%	-0.11	-58.7	1.66%	0	-0.5	47	0
5	Sep_29_2006	151.66	143.51	140.05	140.92			142.12(0.03%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	7	-10000	10	-2	0.01	43%	-0.09	-58.3	1.66%	0	-0.2	49	0

6	Sep_28_2006	151.8	144.09	139.81	139.82			142.08(-0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10000	6	-36	0.02	43%	-0.09	-61.3	1.7%	0	-0.3	41	0
7	Sep_27_2006	151.94	144.62	139.57	139.15			143.2(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	-10000	11	-71	0.07	43%	-0.09	-63.4	1.7%	0	-0.2	36	0
8	Sep_26_2006	152.07	145.25	139.59	137.89			140.52(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	-10000	1	-113	0.01	40%	-0.12	-65.1	1.7%	0	-0.6	31	0
9	Sep_25_2006	152.25	146.09	139.67	137.78			136.68(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-10000	-11	-160	0.02	37%	-0.16	-62.4	1.66%	0	-1.2	21	0
10	Sep_22_2006	152.49	147.26	140.28	139.08			136.64(-1.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-44	-10000	-5	-159	0.1	44%	-0.16	-54.5	1.8%	0	-1.3	24	0

11	Sep_21_2006	152.73	148.29	141.34	139.74			138.72(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-10000	-2	-166	0.05	44%	-0.15	-52.7	1.8%	0	-1.2	30	0
12	Sep_20_2006	152.96	149.13	142.64	140			136.88(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-10000	-12	-170	0.05	44%	-0.16	-54.5	1.81%	0	-1.6	29	0
13	Sep_19_2006	153.21	150.21	144.24	141.5			139.96(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-10000	-3	-158	0.1	46%	-0.14	-51.8	1.8%	0	-1.4	28	0
14	Sep_18_2006	153.43	151.08	145.97	141.83			143.2(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-38	-10000	1	-155	0	48%	-0.11	-52.8	1.79%	0	-1.2	29	0
15	Sep_15_2006	153.6	151.72	147.23	141.71			139.96(-0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-52	-10000	-12	-172	0	45%	-0.15	-58.3	1.78%	0	-1.8	21	0

16	Sep_14_2006	153.83	152.48	148.71	143.23			139.98(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-55	-10000	-19	-162	0	45%	-0.16	-62.8	1.8%	0	-2.1	29	0
17	Sep_13_2006	154.07	153.33	150.12	145.72			144.4(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-10000	-14	-138	0.01	48%	-0.11	-65.5	1.77%	0	-1.7	37	0
18	Sep_12_2006	154.24	153.98	151.37	147.49			141.6(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-50	-10000	-25	-126	0.17	46%	-0.15	-65.9	1.76%	0	-2.6	29	0
19	Sep_11_2006	154.47	154.74	153.08	150.76			142.6(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-36	-10000	-20	-83	0.18	46%	-0.14	-66	1.78%	0	-3.2	32	0
20	Sep_8_2006	154.68	155.64	154.91	153.53			147.56(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-17	-10000	-10	-39	0.08	50%	-0.09	-64.8	1.73%	0	-2.9	40	0

21	Sep_7_2006	154.82	156.32	155.92	154.93			152.44(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-4	-10000	-1	-13	0	55%	-0.03	-62.2	1.68%	0	-1.7	50	0
22	Sep_6_2006	154.86	156.81	156.24	155.12			153.24(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	-10000	-5	-14	0	55%	-0.02	-53.2	1.7%	0	-1.5	47	0
23	Sep_5_2006	154.89	157.2	156.71	155.84			157.96(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-0	-10000	-0	-1	0.04	60%	0.04	-46.8	1.65%	0	0.3	52	0
24	Sep_1_2006	154.83	157.31	156.57	155.86			156.44(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-6	-1	0.01	60%	0.02	-43.7	1.67%	0	-0.3	52	0
25	Aug_31_2006	154.8	157.44	156.5	156.63			154.56(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-4	2	0	60%		-31.5	1.68%	0	-1.1	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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