Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XOP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 23, 2006

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $155.0800 (-1.67%) ($155.0800 - $158.1600) on Wed. Aug. 23, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $155.0800(-1.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(66%)    USO(65%)    VWO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(8%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

Resistance Level   $158.17
5 Day Moving Average   $155.82(-0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $156.67(-1.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $158.17(-1.95%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060923

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_23_2006	154.54	158.17	156.67	155.82			155.08(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-1	-54	0	62%	0.01	35.7	1.69%	0	-1.2	39	0
2	Aug_22_2006	154.53	158.36	157.37	155.96			157.72(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	2	-49	0	62%	0.05	49.1	1.69%	0	-0.2	42	0
3	Aug_21_2006	154.45	158.14	157.66	155.75			156.76(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	2	-53	0	62%	0.03	45.6	1.71%	0	-0.4	37	0
4	Aug_18_2006	154.4	157.9	158.04	155.5			155.6(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-10000	-6	-57	0	62%	0.02	36.7	1.73%	0	-0.6	42	0
5	Aug_17_2006	154.37	157.48	158.4	156.31			153.92(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-10	-46	0	62%	-0.01	32.6	1.74%	0	-0.8	46	0

6	Aug_16_2006	154.38	157.3	159.07	157.66			155.8(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-10	-21	0	62%	0.03	36.6	1.75%	0	-0.3	55	0
7	Aug_15_2006	154.34	157.05	159.6	159			156.68(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-10000	-6	1	0	62%	0.04	38.6	1.77%	0	-0.1	48	0
8	Aug_14_2006	154.28	156.74	160.12	159.86			155.48(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-7	28	0	62%	0.03	36.2	1.79%	0	-0.2	58	0
9	Aug_11_2006	154.24	156.43	160.58	160.9			159.68(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	1	62	0	69%	0.1	36.8	1.74%	0	0.6	68	0
10	Aug_10_2006	154.09	156.05	160.36	160.76			160.68(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	-10000	1	85	0	69%	0.12	34.8	1.76%	0	0.9	77	0

11	Aug_9_2006	153.9	155.63	159.86	160.67			162.48(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	2	99	0	69%	0.17	32.8	1.76%	0	1.3	70	0
12	Aug_8_2006	153.64	155.2	159.44	160.35			160.96(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	27	-10000	-1	112	0	69%	0.15	30.9	1.79%	0	1.2	67	0
13	Aug_7_2006	153.41	154.9	158.65	160.5			160.72(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	2	122	0	69%	0.16	31	1.82%	0	1.3	67	0
14	Aug_4_2006	153.17	154.53	157.74	160.24			158.96(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	-10000	3	127	0	69%	0.12	28.9	1.84%	0	1	68	0
15	Aug_3_2006	152.98	154.26	156.49	159.85			160.24(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	7	113	0	69%	0.16	27.4	1.86%	0	1.4	61	0

16	Aug_2_2006	152.73	153.98	155.4	158.84			160.88(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	3	94	0	69%	0.19	28.1	1.88%	0	1.7	61	0
17	Aug_1_2006	152.44	153.73	154.29	158.38			161.72(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	12	85	0	69%	0.23	37.2	1.9%	0	2	58	0
18	Jul_31_2006	152.09	153.47	153.04	156.55			159.4(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	11	52	0	69%	0.18	42	1.93%	0	1.6	53	0
19	Jul_28_2006	151.81	153.25	151.89	154.89			157(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	15	25	0	69%	0.14	44.9	1.96%	0	1.1	54	0
20	Jul_27_2006	151.6	153.08	151.34	152.58			155.2(-2.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	8	-7	0	69%	0.1	48.9	2%	0	0.6	51	0

21	Jul_26_2006	151.45	152.81	150.99	151.36			158.56(3.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	3	-10000	12	-26	0	76%	0.21	0	1.96%	0	1.7	53	0
22	Jul_25_2006	151.14	152.27	150.48	149.65			152.6(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	4	-56	0	71%	0.04	0	1.87%	0	0.1	40	0
23	Jul_24_2006	151.08	151.96	150.72	149.07			151.08(3.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10000	4	-66	0.01	71%	0	0	1.91%	0	-0.2	35	0
24	Jul_21_2006	151.08	151.72	150.96	148.5			145.48(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-10	-88	0	62%	-0.18	0	1.8%	0	-1.6	27	0
25	Jul_20_2006	151.36	151.45	151.86	149.84			149.08(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-5	-73	0.01	76%		0	1.74%	0	-0.5	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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