Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 21, 2006

Trading Signals: XOP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 22, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR SP Oil Gas Explor and Prodtn ETF)
XOP latest price $145.4800 (-2.41%) ($145.2400 - $146.8800) on Fri. Jul. 21, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $145.4800(-2.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XOP declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOP declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(87%)    IWM(66%)    SPY(66%)    USO(65%)    VWO(63%)
Factors Impacting XOP price   XOP will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-5%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $151.72
5 Day Moving Average   $148.5(-2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $150.96(-3.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $151.72(-4.11%)
To recent high   -7.9%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XOP price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2006	151.08	151.72	150.96	148.5			145.48(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-10	-88	0	62%	-0.18	0	1.8%	0	-1.6	27	0
2	Jul_20_2006	151.36	151.45	151.86	149.84			149.08(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-5	-73	0.01	76%	-0.08	0	1.74%	0	-0.5	40	0
3	Jul_19_2006	151.48	151.45	152.51	150.5			150(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-7	-3	0	76%	-0.05	0	1.77%	0	31.1	53	0
4	Jul_18_2006	151.56	151.45	153.2	151.44			149.72(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-9	-4	0.01	76%	-0.07	0	1.82%	0	30.2	57	0
5	Jul_17_2006	151.67	151.45	154.02	152.65			148.2(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7	-10000	-8	-3	0	76%	-0.14	0	1.87%	0	29.2	60	0

6	Jul_14_2006	151.89	151.45	154.85	153.78			152.2(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	-3	-1	0.01	100%	0.02	0	1.74%	0	29.6	69	0
7	Jul_13_2006	151.86	151.45	155.07	154.15			152.36(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-5	-2	0	100%	0.02	0	1.79%	0	28.6	79	0
8	Jul_12_2006	151.83	151.45	154.9	154.8			154.72(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3	-10000	-3	-1	0.03	100%	0.15	0	1.74%	0	28.1	50	0
9	Jul_11_2006	151.61	151.45	154.29	155.26			155.76(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	-10000	-3	-1	0.03	100%	0.23	0	1.75%	0	27.6	50	0
10	Jul_10_2006	151.26	151.45	153.34	155.69			153.84(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	-3	-1	0.02	100%	0.15	0	1.82%	0	26.8	50	0

11	Jul_7_2006	151.03	151.45	152.58	156.11			154.08(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	0	0	0	100%	0.21	0	1.87%	0	25.9	50	0
12	Jul_6_2006	150.72	151.45	151.08	156.09			155.6(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	8	3	0.01	100%	0.36	0	1.83%	0	25.3	50	0
13	Jul_5_2006	150.18	151.45	151.08	154.94			157(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	14	6	0	100%	0.57	0	1.75%	0	25.1	50	0
14	Jul_3_2006	149.33	151.45	151.08	153.11			157.92(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	20	8	0	100%	0.83	0	1.64%	0	25.8	50	0
15	Jun_30_2006	148.1	151.45	151.08	150.64			155.96(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	16	6	0.01	100%	0.89	0	1.74%	0	28.1	50	0

16	Jun_29_2006	146.79	151.45	151.08	148.56			153.96(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	24	10	0	100%	0.99	0	1.87%	0	31.5	50	0
17	Jun_28_2006	145.35	151.45	151.08	145.35			149.84(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	213	-10000	251	100	0.01	100%	0.78	0	2.07%	0	37	50	0
18	Jun_27_2006	144.23	151.45	151.08	115.38			147.88(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	8.6	252	-10000	296	118	0	100%	0.85	0	2.33%	0	39.3	50	0
19	Jun_26_2006	143.01	151.45	151.08	85.81			145.56(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	16.6	315	-10000	371	148	0	100%	0.9	0	2.77%	0	40.4	50	0
20	Jun_23_2006	141.74	151.45	151.08	56.7			145.56(5.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	23.3	0	-10000	0	0	0	100%	2.77	0	0%	0	38.1	50	0

21	Jun_22_2006	137.92	151.45	151.08	27.58			137.92(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0.01	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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