Trading Signals: XOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: XOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ExxonMobil)
XOM latest price $82.4828 (2.22%) ($81.7213 - $82.9542) on Mon. Dec. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $82.4828(2.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XOM advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOM advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(92%)    XOP(79%)    OIH(76%)    VYM(68%)    IWD(64%)
Factors Impacting XOM price   XOM will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-8%)    IPO(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $80.49(2.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.75(3.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.98(4.44%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $348.737b

Exxon Mobil Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and distribution of oil, gas, and petroleum products. It operates through the following segments: Upstream, Downstream and Chemical. The Upstream segment produces crude oil and natural gas. The Downstream segment manufactures and trades petroleum products. The Chemical segment offers petrochemicals. The company was founded by John D. Rockefeller in 1882 and is headquartered in Irving, TX.

$. XOM price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_12_2016	78.07	78.98	79.75	80.49			82.48(2.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	29	-10000	14	74	15.54	58%	-0.01	59.5	1.1%	0	2.9	78	0
2	Dec_9_2016	78.08	78.73	79.32	79.86			80.69(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	20	-10000	8	57	8.02	50%	-0.04	71.2	1.06%	0	2.1	77	0
3	Dec_8_2016	78.11	78.63	79.13	79.5			80.07(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	16	-10000	4	51	9.09	50%	-0.05	91.3	1.11%	0	1.8	76	0
4	Dec_7_2016	78.15	78.53	79	79.31			79.84(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	3	51	11.18	50%	-0.05	113.8	1.11%	0	1.8	68	0
5	Dec_6_2016	78.19	78.4	78.86	79.17			79.38(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	7	47	11.29	52%	-0.08	127.5	1.11%	0	1.4	54	0

6	Dec_5_2016	78.25	78.27	78.76	78.87			79.31(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	4	42	11.74	52%	-0.06	121.9	1.12%	0	1.4	63	0
7	Dec_2_2016	78.3	78.07	78.57	78.68			78.91(-0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	7	-10000	-1	31	9.71	52%	-0.08	85.5	1.13%	0	0.9	58	0
8	Dec_1_2016	78.36	77.89	78.42	78.7			79.09(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	1	23	13.01	52%	-0.06	62.8	1.13%	0	1.1	50	0
9	Nov_30_2016	78.41	77.7	78.28	78.64			79.15(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	2	19	22.7	52%	-0.08	44.1	1.13%	0	1.2	54	0
10	Nov_29_2016	78.47	77.5	78.22	78.53			77.88(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-3	22	9.18	49%	-0.08	30.8	1.11%	0	0.3	54	0

11	Nov_28_2016	78.53	77.36	78.18	78.64			78.39(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	5	33	7.45	49%	-0.06	20.1	1.11%	0	0.7	60	0
12	Nov_25_2016	78.58	77.25	78.11	78.42			78.98(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	8	43	5.04	49%	-0.11	10.9	1.1%	0	1.2	70	0
13	Nov_23_2016	78.67	77.19	78.08	78.08			78.8(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	5	53	6.06	49%	-0.05	3.4	1.1%	0	1.2	69	0
14	Nov_22_2016	78.71	77.15	78.01	77.86			78.58(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	15	-10000	-1	64	9.39	49%	0	-1.2	1.1%	0	1.1	70	0
15	Nov_21_2016	78.71	77.1	77.89	77.89			78.41(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	5	83	8.86	49%	-0.06	-0.6	1.1%	0	1	68	0

16	Nov_18_2016	78.76	77.08	77.73	77.67			77.32(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-10000	-2	86	8.46	45%	-0.09	-4.2	1.1%	0	0.2	66	0
17	Nov_17_2016	78.83	77.1	77.54	77.74			77.27(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-8	82	8.2	45%	-0.06	-2.4	1.1%	0	0.1	56	0
18	Nov_16_2016	78.88	77.14	77.35	78.07			77.74(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-10000	-2	81	8.2	45%	-0.04	6.4	1.1%	0	0.5	47	0
19	Nov_15_2016	78.91	77.16	77.1	78.16			78.71(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	6	69	12.88	47%	0	8	1.09%	0	1.2	50	0
20	Nov_14_2016	78.91	77.11	76.74	77.89			77.32(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	-10000	3	40	12.61	43%	-0.04	-0.6	1.07%	0	0.2	46	0

21	Nov_11_2016	78.94	77.11	76.51	77.78			77.67(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	12	19	13.81	46%	-0.05	-8.2	1.08%	0	0.4	46	0
22	Nov_10_2016	78.98	77.13	76.35	77.27			78.92(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	11	-10000	18	-10	14.11	45%	-0.03	-20	1.06%	0	1.4	53	0
23	Nov_9_2016	79	77.06	76.21	76.52			78.19(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	16	-44	15.9	45%	-0.05	-38.6	1.07%	0	0.9	46	0
24	Nov_8_2016	79.04	77.05	76.18	75.88			77.34(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-10	-10000	11	-74	9.74	46%	-0.05	-51.2	1.07%	0	0.2	41	0
25	Nov_7_2016	79.08	77.12	76.2	75.45			76.79(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-16	-10000	10	-94	13.58	46%		-52.2	1.07%	0	-0.2	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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