Trading Signals: XOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: XOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ExxonMobil)
XOM latest price $71.9523 (3.34%) ($70.0165 - $72.0130) on Thu. Oct. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.87% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $71.9523(3.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XOM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOM advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    XOP(77%)    OIH(75%)    VYM(68%)    IVE(64%)
Factors Impacting XOM price   XOM will decline at least -0.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.935% (StdDev 1.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.73(1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.08(2.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.04(5.75%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.6%
Market Cap   $304.214b

Exxon Mobil Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and distribution of oil, gas, and petroleum products. It operates through the following segments: Upstream, Downstream and Chemical. The Upstream segment produces crude oil and natural gas. The Downstream segment manufactures and trades petroleum products. The Chemical segment offers petrochemicals. The company was founded by John D. Rockefeller in 1882 and is headquartered in Irving, TX.

$. XOM price fluctuates within 4.25% (three month std-dev: 1.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2015	68.14	68.04	70.08	70.73			71.95(3.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	21	-10000	4	72	14.82	44%	-0.01	67.3	1.87%	0	1.4	78	0
2	Oct_21_2015	68.15	67.6	69.81	70.48			69.63(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	23	-10000	0	90	10.29	41%	-0.04	62.9	1.82%	0	0.7	78	0
3	Oct_20_2015	68.18	67.27	69.74	70.47			70.16(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	5	113	12.34	40%	-0.04	59.3	1.82%	0	1	79	0
4	Oct_19_2015	68.21	66.92	69.5	70.18			70.3(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	4	127	14.16	40%	-0.04	57.4	1.83%	0	1.1	82	0
5	Oct_16_2015	68.24	66.58	69.15	69.89			71.6(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	-10000	9	142	14.3	40%	-0.03	56.7	1.81%	0	1.7	91	0

6	Oct_15_2015	68.26	66.14	68.58	69.33			70.73(1.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	-10000	4	139	13.64	40%	-0.03	56.5	1.81%	0	1.7	84	0
7	Oct_14_2015	68.28	65.82	67.95	69.08			69.58(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	-10000	3	142	14.49	41%	-0.06	62.6	1.8%	0	1.5	84	0
8	Oct_13_2015	68.32	65.55	67.46	68.91			68.71(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	-10000	4	151	12.33	41%	0	68.3	1.79%	0	1.4	83	0
9	Oct_12_2015	68.32	65.27	66.94	68.69			68.84(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	-10000	7	151	9.93	41%	-0.09	67.2	1.79%	0	1.6	80	0
10	Oct_9_2015	68.38	64.96	66.38	68.26			68.8(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	-10000	10	141	17.38	42%	-0.09	66.3	1.79%	0	1.8	74	0

11	Oct_8_2015	68.44	64.66	65.85	67.67			69.47(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	46	-10000	17	132	14.34	41%	-0.09	61.6	1.79%	0	2.4	80	0
12	Oct_7_2015	68.5	64.32	65.19	66.64			68.75(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	-10000	14	95	18.7	41%	-0.09	54.3	1.79%	0	2.7	66	0
13	Oct_6_2015	68.56	63.99	64.57	65.8			67.61(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	28	-10000	15	65	18.76	41%	-0.1	50.7	1.78%	0	2.8	63	0
14	Oct_5_2015	68.63	63.78	64.1	64.94			66.67(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	20	-10000	13	39	18.49	41%	-0.13	35	1.77%	0	2.8	66	0
15	Oct_2_2015	68.72	63.58	63.78	64.21			65.87(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	11	-10000	8	20	18.81	42%	-0.13	7.1	1.78%	0	2.8	65	0

16	Oct_1_2015	68.81	63.47	63.48	63.75			64.29(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	4	-10000	4	5	14.4	39%	-0.15	-17.2	1.75%	0	1.3	57	0
17	Sep_30_2015	68.91	63.43	63.49	63.52			64.54(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	6	-10000	6	7	18.18	39%	-0.16	-24.2	1.76%	0	1.9	60	0
18	Sep_29_2015	69.02	63.33	63.47	63.16			63.34(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	-10000	1	4	13.75	36%	-0.16	-20	1.74%	0	0	57	0
19	Sep_28_2015	69.13	63.41	63.47	63.12			63.02(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10000	-3	-1	14.57	36%	-0.19	17.9	1.74%	0	-0.5	45	0
20	Sep_25_2015	69.26	63.52	63.46	63.26			63.57(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	-10000	2	5	15.18	36%	-0.17	34.9	1.74%	0	0.1	54	0

21	Sep_24_2015	69.38	63.58	63.42	63.17			63.13(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-5	-10000	-5	-5	14.58	36%	-0.17	31.1	1.74%	0	-0.5	45	0
22	Sep_23_2015	69.5	63.57	63.41	63.47			62.76(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-10000	-6	0	13.78	36%	-0.19	24.1	1.74%	0	-0.9	47	0
23	Sep_22_2015	69.63	63.44	63.4	63.81			63.14(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	3	-10000	-0	13	14.25	36%	-0.19	-4.2	1.74%	0	-0.2	54	0
24	Sep_21_2015	69.76	63.29	63.46	63.83			63.71(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	3	8	10.85	36%	-0.17	-29.3	1.73%	0	0.3	43	0
25	Sep_18_2015	69.88	63.24	63.38	63.68			63.09(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	-10000	0	-9	23.18	37%		-49.1	1.73%	0	-0.1	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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