Trading Signals: XOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: XOM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ExxonMobil)
XOM latest price $83.2519 (1.5%) ($82.0666 - $83.2936) on Fri. Aug. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $83.2519(1.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XOM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XOM declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XOM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(91%)    XOP(77%)    OIH(75%)    XLF(62%)    XLB(61%)
Factors Impacting XOM price   XOM will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $79.35(-4.69%)
Resistance Level   $84.86
5 Day Moving Average   $82.69(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.65(-0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.86(-1.9%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $351.989b

Exxon Mobil Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and distribution of oil, gas, and petroleum products. It operates through the following segments: Upstream, Downstream and Chemical. The Upstream segment produces crude oil and natural gas. The Downstream segment manufactures and trades petroleum products. The Chemical segment offers petrochemicals. The company was founded by John D. Rockefeller in 1882 and is headquartered in Irving, TX.

$. XOM price fluctuates within 2.03% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140908

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_8_2014	83.95	84.86	83.65	82.69			83.25(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-35	-10000	4	-151	11.21	45%	0.06	-46.8	0.89%	0	-0.9	38	0
2	Aug_7_2014	83.9	84.95	83.91	82.53			82.02(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-10000	-3	-162	10.02	42%	0.05	-52.8	0.88%	0	-1.7	34	0
3	Aug_6_2014	83.86	85.15	84.41	82.64			82.62(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-54	-10000	-20	-155	9.92	42%	0.05	-52.7	0.88%	0	-1.6	38	0
4	Aug_5_2014	83.82	85.35	84.85	83.36			81.97(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-50	-10000	-24	-127	13.07	44%	0.05	-38.8	0.87%	0	-2.3	30	0
5	Aug_4_2014	83.78	85.56	85.32	84.25			83.58(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-15	-81	12.15	47%	0.07	-19.4	0.84%	0	-1.6	43	0

6	Aug_1_2014	83.72	85.67	85.58	84.77			82.47(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-30	-10000	-20	-59	14.92	42%	-0.01	-3.6	0.83%	0	-2.7	36	0
7	Jul_31_2014	83.73	85.85	85.94	85.5			82.58(-4.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-24	-10000	-25	-21	18.3	42%	-0.01	19.6	0.84%	0	-3.6	42	0
8	Jul_30_2014	83.74	85.99	86.27	86.39			86.18(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-6	35	11.07	53%	0.02	69.6	0.66%	0	0.3	54	0
9	Jul_29_2014	83.72	85.91	86.31	86.39			86.43(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	0	49	8.06	53%	0.04	62.3	0.67%	0	0.8	49	0
10	Jul_28_2014	83.69	85.8	86.22	86.56			86.18(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-10000	1	47	11.07	54%	0.04	36	0.67%	0	0.5	52	0

11	Jul_25_2014	83.66	85.72	86.18	86.53			86.12(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	-10000	3	46	7.78	54%	0.04	21.5	0.68%	0	0.5	53	0
12	Jul_24_2014	83.63	85.67	86.07	86.45			87.04(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	12	41	7.94	57%	0.04	16.1	0.66%	0	1.7	59	0
13	Jul_23_2014	83.6	85.58	85.92	86.12			87.02(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	-10000	3	26	7.02	57%	0.05	2.3	0.67%	0	1.9	64	0
14	Jul_22_2014	83.56	85.5	85.84	86.04			86.42(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	7	42	7.43	55%	0.05	1.3	0.66%	0	1.4	62	0
15	Jul_21_2014	83.52	85.52	85.78	85.85			86.04(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	2	46	6.63	55%	0.02	1.2	0.67%	0	0.7	64	0

16	Jul_18_2014	83.5	85.55	85.74	85.79			85.75(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	6	56	8.21	55%	0.04	4.5	0.67%	0	0.3	59	0
17	Jul_17_2014	83.47	85.54	85.73	85.62			85.4(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-1	49	8.15	55%	0.02	3.4	0.67%	0	-0.2	52	0
18	Jul_16_2014	83.45	85.56	85.68	85.66			86.62(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	1	50	8.88	62%	0.05	9	0.65%	0	1.4	58	0
19	Jul_15_2014	83.41	85.49	85.48	85.63			85.46(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-2	37	8.76	61%	0.02	13.1	0.65%	0	-0	47	0
20	Jul_14_2014	83.39	85.49	85.35	85.63			85.71(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	3	-10000	0	13	8.25	63%	0.04	22.6	0.65%	0	0.3	39	0

21	Jul_11_2014	83.36	85.51	85.23	85.7			84.92(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6	-10000	-5	-10	7.69	61%	0.02	28.6	0.66%	0	-0.8	38	0
22	Jul_10_2014	83.34	85.52	85.26	85.84			85.61(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	4	-10000	6	-3	8.53	64%	0.04	40.5	0.65%	0	0.1	50	0
23	Jul_9_2014	83.31	85.49	85.22	85.67			86.43(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	-10000	13	-15	7.66	67%	0.05	43.5	0.64%	0	1.3	54	0
24	Jul_8_2014	83.27	85.4	85.13	85.31			85.83(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	13	-37	9.62	66%	0.04	35.7	0.63%	0	0.6	52	0
25	Jul_7_2014	83.24	85.35	85.23	84.95			85.68(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	-10000	9	-49	7.98	66%		31	0.64%	0	0.5	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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