Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 14, 2022

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $65.8500 (1.06%) ($64.9000 - $66.1800) on Thu. Apr. 14, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.31% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $65.8500(1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
URA(60%)    XLB(60%)    VT(56%)    VFMO(55%)    DRIV(54%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -1.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-36%)    VIXM(-34%)    VXX(-6%)    TBT(-6%)    TLT(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.155% (StdDev 2.31%)
Hourly BBV 1.3 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.1(4.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.29(5.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.86(6.45%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   60.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 2.83% (three month std-dev: 2.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 43 Average positive next day return: 1.81%(63%) Average negative next day return: -2.17%(37%) Sample size 43 Average positive next three day return: 2.62%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -3.5%(44%) Sample size 43 Average positive next weekly return: 4.73%(49%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.76%(51%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2022	50	61.86	62.29	63.1	63.22	64.72	65.85(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	58	170	59	55	7.72	67%	0.44	91.9	2.31%	1.3	2.3	56	1.5
2	Apr_13_2022	49.78	61.48	61.8	62.23	62.25	63.11	65.16(4.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	47	100	54	25	8.27	67%	0.4	69.4	2.31%	1.8	1.9	54	1.5
3	Apr_12_2022	49.58	61.02	61.41	61.23	61.47	61.72	62.33(2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	11	40	19	-13	5.03	66%	0.38	48.3	2.27%	0.6	0.6	53	1
4	Apr_11_2022	49.39	60.71	61.27	60.87	60.96	61.4	60.8(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-9	50	-2	-28	4.85	66%	0.35	35.2	2.26%	0.1	0	53	0.1
5	Apr_8_2022	49.22	60.44	61.37	61.13	61.11	61.21	61.37(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	10	10	-15	4.09	66%	0.35	32.9	2.25%	1.3	0.4	53	0.7

6	Apr_7_2022	49.05	60.3	61.55	61.34	61.3	60.52	61.49(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-90	-15	-1	5.13	66%	0.37	34.5	2.27%	1.4	0.5	63	1.3
7	Apr_6_2022	48.87	60.2	61.72	61.3	61.62	61.02	60.14(-0.71%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-21	-50	-32	11	6.58	66%	0.31	37.1	2.26%	-1.2	-0	61	1.1
8	Apr_5_2022	48.72	60.06	61.89	61.6	61.97	62.08	60.57(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	30	-4	53	7.96	66%	0.31	41.8	2.27%	-2.1	0.2	70	0.5
9	Apr_4_2022	48.57	59.9	61.91	61.69	61.96	62.23	62.07(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	40	16	85	3.44	68%	0.31	48.3	2.24%	-0	0.9	77	-0.1
10	Apr_1_2022	48.42	59.67	61.8	61.65	61.41	61.86	62.42(1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	27	40	1	106	5.32	68%	0.33	58.9	2.22%	0.8	1.1	80	-0.5

11	Mar_31_2022	48.26	59.49	61.44	61.83	61.4	61.68	61.29(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	10	6	117	4.53	68%	0.33	77.6	2.23%	0.5	0.7	60	-0.9
12	Mar_30_2022	48.1	59.32	61.18	62.23	61.79	60.95	61.66(1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-120	-7	120	6.38	68%	0.33	98.8	2.23%	0.1	0.9	55	-0.7
13	Mar_29_2022	47.94	59.03	60.64	62.22	62.01	61.12	60.99(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-110	-36	106	13.18	68%	0.31	105.8	2.23%	-0.6	0.7	61	-0.9
14	Mar_28_2022	47.79	58.7	60.15	62.13	62.28	62.63	61.87(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	50	1	116	6.92	68%	0.36	105.7	2.22%	-1.3	1.1	64	-1.5
15	Mar_25_2022	47.62	58.25	59.48	61.94	61.97	62.91	63.33(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	110	46	123	4.67	71%	0.42	103.2	2.19%	0.8	1.7	65	-0.9

16	Mar_24_2022	47.42	57.67	58.94	60.99	61.26	61.93	63.31(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	90	51	97	6.65	71%	0.4	90	2.21%	1.6	1.7	59	-0.7
17	Mar_23_2022	47.23	56.97	58.52	59.98	60.12	61.03	61.62(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	110	40	76	7.67	70%	0.38	79	2.21%	1.7	1.4	60	-0.8
18	Mar_22_2022	47.05	56.38	58.04	58.83	59.19	60.59	60.53(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	180	64	61	5.84	70%	0.36	66.6	2.2%	0.5	1.2	62	-1
19	Mar_21_2022	46.88	55.81	57.67	57.85	57.92	59.22	60.91(4.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	66	160	71	52	7.76	72%	0.39	60.5	2.2%	1.3	1.5	68	-1.2
20	Mar_18_2022	46.7	55.24	57.3	56.66	56.47	57.79	58.56(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	150	34	27	7.71	68%	0.32	51.8	2.22%	1	0.9	68	0.2

21	Mar_17_2022	46.55	54.81	57.32	56.61	55.94	56.63	58.3(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	50	25	54	7.98	68%	0.32	54	2.23%	1.5	1	69	-0.9
22	Mar_16_2022	46.4	54.39	57.25	56.88	56.22	55.16	55.86(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-170	-16	88	7.91	67%	0.24	60.1	2.18%	0.7	0.4	71	-0.6
23	Mar_15_2022	46.29	54.1	57.3	57.13	56.96	55.25	55.6(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-16	-220	-58	110	8.4	67%	0.22	65.6	2.19%	-0.4	0.4	68	-2.8
24	Mar_14_2022	46.19	53.78	57.18	57.42	57.44	57.27	54.96(-5.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-20	-45	151	11.26	67%	0.24	71.7	2.19%	-1.8	0.3	69	-1.8
25	Mar_11_2022	46.08	53.47	57.02	57.95	57.78	58.67	58.31(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	76	100	24	231	7.04	73%		79.3	2.04%	0.4	1.2	77	0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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