Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 25, 2022

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $63.3300 (0.03%) ($62.7700 - $63.7000) on Fri. Mar. 25, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.19% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $63.3300(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
URA(60%)    XLB(60%)    VT(55%)    PAVE(54%)    VFMO(54%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -1.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-35%)    VIXM(-34%)    VXX(-6%)    TBT(-5%)    TLT(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.095% (StdDev 2.19%)
Hourly BBV 0.8 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.94(2.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.48(6.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.25(8.72%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   54.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 5.27% (three month std-dev: 2.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.52%(64%) Average negative next day return: -2.39%(36%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.39%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -3.76%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 4.82%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.34%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_25_2022	47.62	58.25	59.48	61.94	61.97	62.91	63.33(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	110	46	123	4.67	71%	0.42	103.2	2.19%	0.8	1.7	65	-0.9
2	Mar_24_2022	47.42	57.67	58.94	60.99	61.26	61.93	63.31(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	90	51	97	6.65	71%	0.4	90	2.21%	1.6	1.7	59	-0.7
3	Mar_23_2022	47.23	56.97	58.52	59.98	60.12	61.03	61.62(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	110	40	76	7.67	70%	0.38	79	2.21%	1.7	1.4	60	-0.8
4	Mar_22_2022	47.05	56.38	58.04	58.83	59.19	60.59	60.53(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	180	64	61	5.84	70%	0.36	66.6	2.2%	0.5	1.2	62	-1
5	Mar_21_2022	46.88	55.81	57.67	57.85	57.92	59.22	60.91(4.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	66	160	71	52	7.76	72%	0.39	60.5	2.2%	1.3	1.5	68	-1.2

6	Mar_18_2022	46.7	55.24	57.3	56.66	56.47	57.79	58.56(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	150	34	27	7.71	68%	0.32	51.8	2.22%	1	0.9	68	0.2
7	Mar_17_2022	46.55	54.81	57.32	56.61	55.94	56.63	58.3(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	50	25	54	7.98	68%	0.32	54	2.23%	1.5	1	69	-0.9
8	Mar_16_2022	46.4	54.39	57.25	56.88	56.22	55.16	55.86(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-170	-16	88	7.91	67%	0.24	60.1	2.18%	0.7	0.4	71	-0.6
9	Mar_15_2022	46.29	54.1	57.3	57.13	56.96	55.25	55.6(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-16	-220	-58	110	8.4	67%	0.22	65.6	2.19%	-0.4	0.4	68	-2.8
10	Mar_14_2022	46.19	53.78	57.18	57.42	57.44	57.27	54.96(-5.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-20	-45	151	11.26	67%	0.24	71.7	2.19%	-1.8	0.3	69	-1.8

11	Mar_11_2022	46.08	53.47	57.02	57.95	57.78	58.67	58.31(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	76	100	24	231	7.04	73%	0.33	79.3	2.04%	0.4	1.2	77	0.6
12	Mar_10_2022	45.93	52.92	56.4	58.11	57.73	57.6	59.69(4.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	85	-40	27	259	12.25	75%	0.33	85.5	2.02%	1.8	1.7	80	0.9
13	Mar_9_2022	45.78	52.29	55.36	57.73	57.58	56.88	57.08(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	42	-90	-23	238	10.72	73%	0.28	91.6	1.96%	-0.4	1.2	75	-0.8
14	Mar_8_2022	45.65	51.76	54.65	57.51	57.71	57.87	57.08(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	69	30	8	250	13.73	73%	0.29	94.1	1.97%	-0.8	1.4	76	-1.2
15	Mar_7_2022	45.52	51.13	53.86	56.88	57.2	58.29	57.6(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	106	150	55	257	11.81	74%	0.29	92.2	1.96%	-0.5	1.6	80	-1.6

16	Mar_4_2022	45.39	50.46	53.03	55.88	56.04	57.55	59.11(2.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	130	200	89	253	9.57	77%	0.33	90.5	1.92%	1.7	2.2	87	-1.2
17	Mar_3_2022	45.24	49.68	52.05	54.41	54.58	56.11	57.78(3.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	133	210	102	227	12.15	77%	0.33	91.3	1.92%	1.5	2.3	87	-0.8
18	Mar_2_2022	45.09	48.98	51.22	52.66	52.91	54.53	55.97(3.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	114	230	91	181	7.75	76%	0.29	89.8	1.9%	1.6	2.2	85	-1
19	Mar_1_2022	44.96	48.35	50.55	51.39	51.3	53.04	53.93(2.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	103	230	84	158	9.01	72%	0.25	87.2	1.87%	1.1	1.9	85	-1.8
20	Feb_28_2022	44.85	47.74	50.02	50.4	50.26	51.3	52.62(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	88	140	70	142	9.27	66%	0.22	75.9	1.91%	1	1.7	87	-1

21	Feb_25_2022	44.75	47.18	49.58	49.75	49.54	49.57	51.77(5.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	46	-10	20	123	7.82	62%	0.22	67.1	1.97%	1.9	1.5	86	-0.7
22	Feb_24_2022	44.65	46.65	49.13	49.35	49.33	49.23	49(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-20	-16	125	8.31	58%	0.16	57.1	1.87%	-0.8	0.8	84	-1.1
23	Feb_23_2022	44.58	46.29	48.98	49.55	49.57	49.52	49.61(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	41	-10	0	165	6.9	58%	0.16	50.7	1.86%	0.4	1.1	84	-1.5
24	Feb_22_2022	44.51	45.95	48.67	49.58	49.67	49.42	48.99(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	44	-30	-4	188	6.39	58%	0.18	46.8	1.85%	-0.4	1	84	-0.8
25	Feb_18_2022	44.43	45.63	48.27	49.55	49.6	49.63	49.4(-0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	53	10	0	213	5.22	58%		40.8	1.86%	-1.2	1.2	91	-1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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