Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $31.2700 (1%) ($31.1900 - $31.4600) on Tue. Nov. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $31.2700(1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PAVE(75%)    XLB(73%)    IWN(72%)    IWD(69%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-21%)    TLT(-20%)    VIXM(-16%)    IGOV(-2%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $25.9(-17.17%)
Resistance Level   $31.47
5 Day Moving Average   $30.83(1.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.89(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.47(-0.64%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 2.64% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.24%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.4%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.43%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2017	31.62	31.47	30.89	30.83	30.87	31.08	31.27(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	50	37	-84	1.79	52%	0.03	-64	0.96%	0	-0.2	39	0
2	Nov_20_2017	31.61	31.57	30.93	30.64	30.58	30.8	30.96(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	40	11	-115	1.72	50%	0.03	-63.4	0.96%	0	-0.7	40	0
3	Nov_17_2017	31.6	31.66	31.02	30.63	30.49	30.65	30.92(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-17	20	16	-117	2.33	46%	0.03	-60.3	0.96%	0	-0.8	35	0
4	Nov_16_2017	31.59	31.77	31.09	30.6	30.52	30.37	30.58(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-40	-8	-139	1.78	49%	0.03	-59.3	1%	0	-1.3	25	0
5	Nov_15_2017	31.58	31.89	31.23	30.7	30.62	30.33	30.42(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-66	-70	-39	-148	6.25	49%	0.03	-57	1.05%	0	-1.7	21	0

6	Nov_14_2017	31.57	32.01	31.38	30.95	30.89	30.67	30.32(-1.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-64	-60	-38	-143	2.7	49%	0.06	-52	1.05%	0	-2.1	17	0
7	Nov_13_2017	31.55	32.13	31.53	31.25	31.17	30.91	30.91(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-59	-70	-30	-144	1.63	52%	0.03	-44.9	1.02%	0	-1.7	18	0
8	Nov_10_2017	31.54	32.22	31.64	31.47	31.42	31.1	30.78(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-61	-80	-34	-140	3.52	52%	0.1	-37.4	1.03%	0	-2.1	26	0
9	Nov_9_2017	31.51	32.33	31.81	31.65	31.68	31.42	31.08(-1.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-58	-50	-32	-135	2.45	52%	0.1	-33	1.02%	0	-2.1	26	0
10	Nov_8_2017	31.48	32.4	31.97	31.83	31.84	31.75	31.67(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-20	-16	-119	1.75	56%	0.1	-31.9	1%	0	-1.4	35	0

11	Nov_7_2017	31.45	32.44	32.1	31.88	31.95	31.94	31.81(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	0	0	-106	1.75	56%	0.13	-35.7	0.99%	0	-1.3	39	0
12	Nov_6_2017	31.41	32.46	32.26	31.85	32.04	31.92	31.99(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	-10	-1	-96	2.18	56%	0.13	-46.6	1%	0	-1	44	0
13	Nov_3_2017	31.37	32.48	32.35	31.86	31.96	31.97	31.71(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	10	-22	-102	2.81	56%	0.1	-52.4	0.99%	0	-1.6	39	0
14	Nov_2_2017	31.34	32.52	32.49	32.01	32.05	32.16	31.98(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	30	0	-74	2.69	56%	0.1	-43	1%	0	-1.2	39	0
15	Nov_1_2017	31.31	32.57	32.58	32.14	32.11	31.96	31.9(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-40	-18	-62	3.89	53%	0.03	-28	1%	0	-1.6	45	0

16	Oct_31_2017	31.3	32.62	32.67	32.37	32.28	31.93	31.67(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-47	-80	-48	-43	3.87	53%	0.06	-4.9	1.02%	0	-2.4	45	0
17	Oct_30_2017	31.28	32.68	32.78	32.72	32.64	32.26	32.02(-1.36%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-2.1	-27	-90	-37	4	3.53	55%	0.06	38.5	1.02%	0	-1.9	53	0
18	Oct_27_2017	31.26	32.72	32.85	32.9	32.91	32.63	32.46(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-17	-60	-32	30	3.67	50%	0.06	68.4	1.03%	0	-0.8	55	0
19	Oct_26_2017	31.24	32.71	32.89	33.04	33.09	33.02	32.64(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	5	-10	-12	56	1.92	50%	0.1	82.2	1.05%	0	-0.2	52	0
20	Oct_25_2017	31.21	32.69	32.88	33.09	33.14	33.19	33.07(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	20	9	65	2.78	58%	0.13	84.1	1.04%	0	1	52	0

21	Oct_24_2017	31.17	32.64	32.81	33.02	33.02	33.16	33.42(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	30	17	51	3.49	60%	0.13	65.9	1.11%	0	1.9	57	0
22	Oct_23_2017	31.13	32.55	32.67	32.85	32.87	33.09	32.92(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	50	16	24	2.08	58%	0.13	50.8	1.1%	0	0.9	49	0
23	Oct_20_2017	31.09	32.5	32.61	32.79	32.76	32.88	33.15(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	20	16	11	2.71	58%	0.13	41.1	1.1%	0	1.5	56	0
24	Oct_19_2017	31.05	32.43	32.55	32.73	32.7	32.88	32.89(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	-20	2	6	2.42	60%	0.13	35.8	1.1%	0	1.2	62	0
25	Oct_18_2017	31.01	32.38	32.54	32.65	32.79	32.64	32.73(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-20	1	10	1.38	60%		31.7	1.11%	0	0.9	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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