Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XME: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 30, 2017

Trading Signals: XME Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF)
XME latest price $32.2200 (0.22%) ($31.9400 - $32.4500) on Wed. Aug. 30, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $32.2200(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XME advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XME advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XME advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PAVE(75%)    XLB(73%)    IWN(72%)    IWD(69%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting XME price   XME will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-20%)    TLT(-20%)    VIXM(-16%)    IGOV(-2%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.77(1.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.13(3.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.76(4.75%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XME price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 0.72%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.72%(50%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 0.87%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -1.68%(45%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 1.2%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.51%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170930

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_30_2017	29.97	30.76	31.13	31.77	31.78	32.03	32.22(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	60	23	130	2.43	66%	0.03	26.8	1.38%	0	2.1	69	0
2	Aug_29_2017	29.96	30.68	30.96	31.58	31.55	31.78	32.15(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	50	50	27	120	3.02	66%	0.03	11.7	1.38%	0	2.3	65	0
3	Aug_28_2017	29.95	30.61	30.72	31.31	31.32	31.52	31.85(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	50	29	89	2.68	66%	0.03	-12.6	1.39%	0	2.2	61	0
4	Aug_25_2017	29.94	30.57	30.53	30.97	31.05	31.32	31.34(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	70	27	54	1.84	64%	0.03	-32.3	1.38%	0	1.5	55	0
5	Aug_24_2017	29.93	30.56	30.4	30.68	30.76	31.12	31.29(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	90	33	27	2.83	64%	0.03	-48	1.39%	0	1.4	57	0

6	Aug_23_2017	29.92	30.57	30.29	30.39	30.42	30.78	31.27(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	19	90	25	-0	1.84	66%	0	-54.4	1.39%	0	1.1	58	0
7	Aug_22_2017	29.92	30.61	30.2	30.25	30.22	30.39	30.78(1.99%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	12	40	22	-17	2.45	64%	0	-49.2	1.39%	0	0.2	47	0
8	Aug_21_2017	29.92	30.68	30.18	30.06	30.16	30.39	30.18(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10	4	-44	0.91	62%	0	-48.5	1.37%	0	-0.7	39	0
9	Aug_18_2017	29.92	30.74	30.23	30.02	30.08	30.06	29.88(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	0	-10	-62	1.57	64%	0	-50.6	1.38%	0	-1.2	29	0
10	Aug_17_2017	29.92	30.82	30.3	30.06	30.12	30.26	29.84(-2.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-14	40	2	-62	2.03	61%	-0.03	-46.7	1.39%	0	-1.3	35	0

11	Aug_16_2017	29.93	30.91	30.36	30.16	30.07	30.11	30.59(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	0	4	-72	2.97	65%	0.03	-40.4	1.37%	0	-0.5	34	0
12	Aug_15_2017	29.92	30.97	30.38	30.15	30.11	29.98	29.8(-0.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-37	-30	-15	-103	1.48	63%	0	-34.9	1.33%	0	-1.6	17	0
13	Aug_14_2017	29.92	31.04	30.5	30.32	30.29	30.04	30(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-42	-60	-19	-111	3.14	63%	0	-26.8	1.34%	0	-1.6	17	0
14	Aug_11_2017	29.92	31.12	30.64	30.47	30.46	30.24	30.09(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-50	-20	-100	2.17	63%	0	-13.3	1.34%	0	-1.7	38	0
15	Aug_10_2017	29.92	31.17	30.74	30.56	30.66	30.54	30.32(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-20	-7	-95	3.19	63%	0.03	1.6	1.33%	0	-1.5	39	0

16	Aug_9_2017	29.91	31.21	30.88	30.58	30.69	30.67	30.52(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	10	-8	-95	1.76	63%	0	12.5	1.33%	0	-1.3	38	0
17	Aug_8_2017	29.91	31.21	31.04	30.65	30.68	30.79	30.66(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-19	30	1	-80	2.87	63%	0	20.2	1.33%	0	-1	40	0
18	Aug_7_2017	29.91	31.22	31.22	30.7	30.7	30.7	30.76(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	0	-4	-63	2.86	63%	0	26.3	1.33%	0	-0.8	47	0
19	Aug_4_2017	29.91	31.2	31.28	30.84	30.79	30.56	30.54(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-60	-16	-58	2.69	62%	-0.03	29.3	1.35%	0	-1	43	0
20	Aug_3_2017	29.92	31.16	31.38	30.96	31	30.71	30.44(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-60	-27	-47	2.12	57%	-0.03	29.9	1.37%	0	-1	47	0

21	Aug_2_2017	29.93	31.14	31.52	31.21	31.19	31.02	30.86(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-40	-28	-18	2.28	57%	0.03	37.8	1.41%	0	-0.4	52	0
22	Aug_1_2017	29.92	31.11	31.61	31.5	31.46	31.29	30.92(-1.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-12	-40	-22	18	2.31	57%	0.03	54.1	1.41%	0	-0.2	56	0
23	Jul_31_2017	29.91	31.07	31.61	31.8	31.75	31.37	31.44(1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-90	-13	54	2.23	59%	0.07	69.3	1.41%	0	0.5	61	0
24	Jul_28_2017	29.89	31	31.65	31.79	31.95	31.64	31.13(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-50	-21	67	2.52	59%	0.03	72	1.41%	0	0.2	65	0
25	Jul_27_2017	29.88	30.95	31.64	31.86	31.96	32.13	31.71(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	50	-3	101	4.3	59%		81.2	1.39%	0	0.9	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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