Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $91.4300 (-0.32%) ($91.3400 - $91.8900) on Mon. Oct. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.53% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $91.4300(-0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(92%)    VT(90%)    XLK(86%)    IVW(85%)    IWF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-17%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-3%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.265% (StdDev 0.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $91.3(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.63(0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90.17(1.4%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.85% (three month std-dev: 0.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20171109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_9_2017	90.15	90.17	90.63	91.3			91.43(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	10	127	4.27	46%	0.02	57.6	0.53%	0	1.6	80	0
2	Oct_6_2017	90.13	90.07	90.42	91.06			91.72(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	38	-10000	13	113	3.13	46%	0.03	50	0.54%	0	2.2	83	0
3	Oct_5_2017	90.1	89.94	90.19	90.73			91.61(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	34	-10000	15	90	7.22	46%	0.03	39.4	0.55%	0	2.6	74	0
4	Oct_4_2017	90.07	89.83	89.96	90.36			91.1(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	-10000	10	55	4.93	44%	0.02	31	0.55%	0	2.4	58	0
5	Oct_3_2017	90.05	89.77	89.8	90.11			90.63(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	-10000	10	27	4.92	44%	0.01	38.8	0.55%	0	2	45	0

6	Oct_2_2017	90.04	89.72	89.65	89.86			90.25(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	6	-10000	7	1	2.93	44%	0	35.6	0.55%	0	1.3	51	0
7	Sep_29_2017	90.04	89.71	89.55	89.68			90.08(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	4	-17	3.47	42%	0	41.9	0.55%	0	0.9	55	0
8	Sep_28_2017	90.04	89.69	89.5	89.57			89.74(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	3	-20	3.6	45%	-0.01	50	0.56%	0	0.1	57	0
9	Sep_27_2017	90.05	89.66	89.54	89.5			89.85(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	2	-17	5.23	43%	-0.01	51.2	0.58%	0	0.5	54	0
10	Sep_26_2017	90.06	89.61	89.61	89.44			89.36(0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-4	-10000	1	-17	3.07	43%	-0.01	34	0.58%	0	-0.6	41	0

11	Sep_25_2017	90.07	89.58	89.67	89.44			89.35(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	0	-17	7.17	43%	-0.01	32.7	0.58%	0	-0.5	48	0
12	Sep_22_2017	90.08	89.55	89.71	89.41			89.54(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-0	-22	3.12	43%	0	33.9	0.58%	0	-0	45	0
13	Sep_21_2017	90.08	89.5	89.68	89.42			89.39(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-7	-29	4.21	43%	0	28.8	0.58%	0	-0.2	49	0
14	Sep_20_2017	90.08	89.46	89.69	89.59			89.54(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-9	-17	3.71	40%	-0.01	24.6	0.58%	0	0.1	54	0
15	Sep_19_2017	90.09	89.45	89.76	89.82			89.24(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10000	-6	16	6.4	43%	-0.01	33.3	0.6%	0	-0.3	57	0

16	Sep_18_2017	90.1	89.42	89.81	89.98			89.32(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	8	-10000	-2	38	6.57	43%	0	23	0.61%	0	-0.2	57	0
17	Sep_15_2017	90.1	89.37	89.89	90.04			89.63(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	17	-10000	3	58	3.91	43%	-0.01	14.1	0.61%	0	0.4	60	0
18	Sep_14_2017	90.11	89.33	89.9	89.95			90.2(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	6	67	3.52	44%	0	6.3	0.61%	0	1.2	67	0
19	Sep_13_2017	90.11	89.31	89.81	89.8			90.69(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	-10000	3	66	3.29	46%	0.01	-3.8	0.6%	0	1.9	69	0
20	Sep_12_2017	90.1	89.25	89.6	89.72			90.04(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	3	55	2.72	44%	0.01	-18.1	0.6%	0	1.2	55	0

21	Sep_11_2017	90.09	89.26	89.47	89.65			89.64(0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-10000	-3	53	3.35	44%	0.02	-25.3	0.6%	0	0.6	61	0
22	Sep_8_2017	90.07	89.27	89.37	89.74			89.17(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	14	-10000	-3	63	2.59	42%	0.01	-30.3	0.6%	0	-0.1	59	0
23	Sep_7_2017	90.06	89.28	89.31	89.83			89.48(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	18	-10000	1	69	5.35	42%	0.02	-36.8	0.6%	0	0.3	57	0
24	Sep_6_2017	90.04	89.34	89.22	89.79			90.26(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	13	58	3	42%	0.02	-39.3	0.59%	0	1.2	48	0
25	Sep_5_2017	90.02	89.37	89.12	89.45			89.7(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	7	32	4.96	40%		-46.8	0.6%	0	0.4	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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