Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 30, 2017

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $84.9600 (-0.12%) ($84.1900 - $85.0300) on Mon. Jan. 30, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.66% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $84.9600(-0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(92%)    VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    IVW(85%)    IWF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $85.05(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.52(0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.83(1.35%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.01% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_30_2017	81.13	83.83	84.52	85.05			84.96(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	7	82	3.79	65%	0.09	80.2	0.66%	0	1.3	76	0
2	Jan_27_2017	81.06	83.69	84.42	84.85			85.06(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	8	79	4.51	62%	0.05	57.3	0.66%	0	1.4	76	0
3	Jan_26_2017	81.02	83.55	84.28	84.63			85.33(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	28	-10000	12	75	3.9	62%	0.06	44.9	0.67%	0	1.8	84	0
4	Jan_25_2017	80.97	83.41	84.11	84.3			85.2(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	22	-10000	9	62	3.67	59%	0.05	37.2	0.67%	0	1.9	82	0
5	Jan_24_2017	80.93	83.27	83.94	84.05			84.68(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	18	-10000	4	61	4.8	60%	0.05	32.4	0.69%	0	1.7	85	0

6	Jan_23_2017	80.89	83.16	83.79	84.05			83.99(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	18	-10000	0	71	8.55	58%	0.04	25	0.69%	0	1	86	0
7	Jan_20_2017	80.86	83.13	83.73	83.93			83.93(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	2	85	5.49	60%	0.05	24.2	0.69%	0	1	71	0
8	Jan_19_2017	80.82	83.11	83.63	83.87			83.69(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	-0	89	4.16	60%	0.04	18.3	0.7%	0	0.8	67	0
9	Jan_18_2017	80.79	83.07	83.56	83.88			83.95(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	3	96	2.91	61%	0.04	14.3	0.69%	0	1.2	61	0
10	Jan_17_2017	80.76	83	83.37	83.8			84.1(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	6	88	4.33	59%	0.04	2.2	0.7%	0	1.5	66	0

11	Jan_13_2017	80.73	82.96	83.11	83.63			83.96(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	5	68	2.81	59%	0.04	-8.5	0.7%	0	1.5	62	0
12	Jan_12_2017	80.7	82.95	82.92	83.5			83.65(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	5	48	4.28	59%	0.02	-16.7	0.7%	0	1.1	49	0
13	Jan_11_2017	80.68	82.97	82.77	83.35			83.73(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	5	28	5.39	56%	0.02	-10	0.7%	0	1.2	49	0
14	Jan_10_2017	80.66	82.96	82.66	83.2			83.55(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	11	20	5.17	56%	0.02	-6.9	0.72%	0	0.8	54	0
15	Jan_9_2017	80.64	82.98	82.54	82.87			83.25(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	-10000	13	0	3.86	56%	0.02	-2.3	0.72%	0	0.4	54	0

16	Jan_6_2017	80.62	83.02	82.54	82.5			83.32(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-10000	8	-31	6.54	56%	0.02	-3.2	0.73%	0	0.4	46	0
17	Jan_5_2017	80.6	83.05	82.47	82.25			82.91(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	5	-50	4.4	56%	0.01	1	0.72%	0	-0.2	42	0
18	Jan_4_2017	80.59	83.04	82.52	82.11			82.97(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-16	-10000	1	-68	5.49	56%	0.02	-3.9	0.72%	0	-0.1	38	0
19	Jan_3_2017	80.57	83.01	82.51	82.07			81.88(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-4	-81	14.05	53%	-0.02	-4.8	0.71%	0	-1.3	38	0
20	Dec_30_2016	80.59	83	82.59	82.18			81.4(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10000	-9	-94	4.81	55%	-0.01	-8.4	0.7%	0	-1.8	30	0

21	Dec_29_2016	80.6	83	82.82	82.43			82.09(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-10	-87	2.57	57%	0.01	-5.9	0.7%	0	-1.1	35	0
22	Dec_28_2016	80.59	83.04	82.99	82.72			82.2(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-9	-74	3.86	57%	0.01	-1	0.71%	0	-1	35	0
23	Dec_27_2016	80.58	83.07	83.2	82.99			82.77(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-1	-41	6.1	59%	0.01	12.7	0.7%	0	-0.4	54	0
24	Dec_23_2016	80.57	83.05	83.29	83.02			82.45(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-2	-27	2.84	56%	0.02	19.8	0.72%	0	-0.7	54	0
25	Dec_22_2016	80.55	83.08	83.47	83.07			82.63(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-6	-1	4.46	56%		29.4	0.72%	0	-0.5	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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