Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $72.4700 (-1.15%) ($72.3900 - $73.5000) on Mon. Jan. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $72.4700(-1.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(92%)    VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    IVW(85%)    IWF(84%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-14%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $66.49(-8.25%)
Resistance Level   $74.76
5 Day Moving Average   $72.15(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.65(-0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.76(-3.06%)
To recent high   -11.4%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 3.56% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2016	77.7	74.76	72.65	72.15			72.47(-1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-24	-10000	5	-111	7.15	31%	-0.01	-56.5	1.16%	0	-0.9	33	0
2	Jan_22_2016	77.71	75.06	72.76	71.95			73.31(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-37	-10000	1	-151	7.19	31%	-0.03	-61.1	1.15%	0	-0.7	31	0
3	Jan_21_2016	77.73	75.3	72.85	71.89			72.05(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-48	-10000	-2	-187	15.94	27%	-0.03	-61	1.14%	0	-1.2	23	0
4	Jan_20_2016	77.75	75.6	73.22	71.98			71.14(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-69	-10000	-19	-217	21.44	24%	-0.03	-62	1.13%	0	-1.6	17	0
5	Jan_19_2016	77.77	75.92	73.77	72.75			71.77(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-60	-10000	-12	-202	11.62	24%	-0.01	-59.2	1.12%	0	-1.6	24	0

6	Jan_15_2016	77.78	76.29	74.27	73.24			71.5(-2.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-57	-10000	-10	-196	14.55	24%	-0.06	-62	1.12%	0	-2	24	0
7	Jan_14_2016	77.83	76.73	74.94	73.66			73(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-52	-10000	-7	-186	15.92	26%	0	-62.8	1.11%	0	-1.7	26	0
8	Jan_13_2016	77.83	77.04	75.52	73.94			72.48(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-57	-10000	-17	-178	14.93	26%	0.01	-64.5	1.11%	0	-2.1	26	0
9	Jan_12_2016	77.82	77.36	76.23	74.64			75.01(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-44	-10000	-9	-150	8.74	29%	0.05	-69.7	1.03%	0	-1.2	37	0
10	Jan_11_2016	77.78	77.52	76.59	74.98			74.19(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10000	-14	-133	13.23	26%	0	-76	1.02%	0	-1.8	35	0

11	Jan_8_2016	77.78	77.82	77.03	75.51			73.61(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-48	-10000	-24	-121	10.8	26%	-0.05	-76.1	1.01%	0	-2.6	26	0
12	Jan_7_2016	77.82	78.13	77.56	76.42			74.41(-2.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-41	-10000	-23	-93	12.65	27%	-0.06	-78.2	1.02%	0	-2.7	24	0
13	Jan_6_2016	77.87	78.45	77.99	77.32			75.97(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-30	-10000	-19	-61	10.12	30%	-0.04	-80.4	0.99%	0	-2.3	38	0
14	Jan_5_2016	77.9	78.7	78.19	78.05			76.72(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-16	-10000	-10	-32	7.42	34%	-0.03	-65.2	0.98%	0	-1.9	43	0
15	Jan_4_2016	77.92	78.92	78.28	78.44			76.82(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11	-10000	-8	-20	13.4	34%	-0.03	-55.6	1%	0	-2	46	0

16	Dec_31_2015	77.94	79.08	78.49	78.77			78.16(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-3	-11	6.58	41%	0	-56.8	0.99%	0	-0.9	42	0
17	Dec_30_2015	77.94	79.21	78.69	78.88			78.95(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	3	-0	3.22	49%	0.01	-55.1	0.99%	0	-0.2	46	0
18	Dec_29_2015	77.93	79.33	78.68	78.75			79.59(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-10000	9	-15	5.74	49%	0.01	-53	1.03%	0	0.2	44	0
19	Dec_28_2015	77.92	79.38	78.55	78.37			78.68(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	7	-48	4.06	41%	-0.01	-61.9	1.02%	0	-0.6	38	0
20	Dec_24_2015	77.93	79.52	78.49	78.1			78.48(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	-10000	-2	-80	1.91	41%	0	-61.3	1.08%	0	-0.8	36	0

21	Dec_23_2015	77.93	79.68	78.62	78.18			78.69(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-25	-10000	-7	-79	6.02	41%	-0.03	-52.7	1.08%	0	-0.7	46	0
22	Dec_22_2015	77.95	79.81	78.7	78.49			78.29(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-3	-76	6.73	39%	-0.03	-37.8	1.08%	0	-1.1	40	0
23	Dec_21_2015	77.97	79.97	78.92	78.61			77.72(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10000	-3	-78	7.09	39%	-0.03	-26.9	1.09%	0	-1.6	35	0
24	Dec_18_2015	77.99	80.15	79.24	78.76			77.33(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-3	-72	15.05	37%	-0.04	-13.1	1.1%	0	-2.2	38	0
25	Dec_17_2015	78.02	80.32	79.63	78.9			78.89(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-21	-10000	-5	-70	9.22	39%		-10.3	1.1%	0	-1.3	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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