Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $71.7700 (0.38%) ($71.0400 - $72.6100) on Tue. Jan. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $71.7700(0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(92%)    VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    IVW(85%)    IWF(85%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-14%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $66.75(-6.99%)
Resistance Level   $75.92
5 Day Moving Average   $72.75(-1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.77(-2.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.92(-5.47%)
To recent high   -12.2%
To recent low   0.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 3.48% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_19_2016	77.77	75.92	73.77	72.75			71.77(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-60	-10000	-12	-202	11.62	24%	-0.01	-59.2	1.12%	0	-1.6	24	0
2	Jan_15_2016	77.78	76.29	74.27	73.24			71.5(-2.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-57	-10000	-10	-196	14.55	24%	-0.06	-62	1.12%	0	-2	24	0
3	Jan_14_2016	77.83	76.73	74.94	73.66			73(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-52	-10000	-7	-186	15.92	26%	0	-62.8	1.11%	0	-1.7	26	0
4	Jan_13_2016	77.83	77.04	75.52	73.94			72.48(-3.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-57	-10000	-17	-178	14.93	26%	0.01	-64.5	1.11%	0	-2.1	26	0
5	Jan_12_2016	77.82	77.36	76.23	74.64			75.01(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-44	-10000	-9	-150	8.74	29%	0.05	-69.7	1.03%	0	-1.2	37	0

6	Jan_11_2016	77.78	77.52	76.59	74.98			74.19(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10000	-14	-133	13.23	26%	0	-76	1.02%	0	-1.8	35	0
7	Jan_8_2016	77.78	77.82	77.03	75.51			73.61(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-48	-10000	-24	-121	10.8	26%	-0.05	-76.1	1.01%	0	-2.6	26	0
8	Jan_7_2016	77.82	78.13	77.56	76.42			74.41(-2.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-41	-10000	-23	-93	12.65	27%	-0.06	-78.2	1.02%	0	-2.7	24	0
9	Jan_6_2016	77.87	78.45	77.99	77.32			75.97(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-30	-10000	-19	-61	10.12	30%	-0.04	-80.4	0.99%	0	-2.3	38	0
10	Jan_5_2016	77.9	78.7	78.19	78.05			76.72(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-16	-10000	-10	-32	7.42	34%	-0.03	-65.2	0.98%	0	-1.9	43	0

11	Jan_4_2016	77.92	78.92	78.28	78.44			76.82(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-11	-10000	-8	-20	13.4	34%	-0.03	-55.6	1%	0	-2	46	0
12	Dec_31_2015	77.94	79.08	78.49	78.77			78.16(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-3	-11	6.58	41%	0	-56.8	0.99%	0	-0.9	42	0
13	Dec_30_2015	77.94	79.21	78.69	78.88			78.95(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	3	-0	3.22	49%	0.01	-55.1	0.99%	0	-0.2	46	0
14	Dec_29_2015	77.93	79.33	78.68	78.75			79.59(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	-10000	9	-15	5.74	49%	0.01	-53	1.03%	0	0.2	44	0
15	Dec_28_2015	77.92	79.38	78.55	78.37			78.68(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	7	-48	4.06	41%	-0.01	-61.9	1.02%	0	-0.6	38	0

16	Dec_24_2015	77.93	79.52	78.49	78.1			78.48(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	-10000	-2	-80	1.91	41%	0	-61.3	1.08%	0	-0.8	36	0
17	Dec_23_2015	77.93	79.68	78.62	78.18			78.69(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-25	-10000	-7	-79	6.02	41%	-0.03	-52.7	1.08%	0	-0.7	46	0
18	Dec_22_2015	77.95	79.81	78.7	78.49			78.29(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-3	-76	6.73	39%	-0.03	-37.8	1.08%	0	-1.1	40	0
19	Dec_21_2015	77.97	79.97	78.92	78.61			77.72(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10000	-3	-78	7.09	39%	-0.03	-26.9	1.09%	0	-1.6	35	0
20	Dec_18_2015	77.99	80.15	79.24	78.76			77.33(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-3	-72	15.05	37%	-0.04	-13.1	1.1%	0	-2.2	38	0

21	Dec_17_2015	78.02	80.32	79.63	78.9			78.89(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-21	-10000	-5	-70	9.22	39%	-0.01	-10.3	1.1%	0	-1.3	39	0
22	Dec_16_2015	78.03	80.39	79.72	79.1			80.21(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-17	-10000	3	-75	12.07	42%	0.03	-7	1.08%	0	-0.2	42	0
23	Dec_15_2015	78.01	80.33	79.77	78.98			78.89(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-8	-90	7.98	38%	0	-19	1.06%	0	-1.3	38	0
24	Dec_14_2015	78.01	80.34	80.04	79.33			78.46(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-11	-78	14.96	38%	0	-16.5	1.07%	0	-1.7	35	0
25	Dec_11_2015	78.01	80.32	80.28	79.81			78.06(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-28	-10000	-15	-65	10.1	38%		-18.2	1.07%	0	-1.9	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.