Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $78.2100 (-0.45%) ($78.1100 - $78.9400) on Wed. Oct. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $78.2100(-0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(92%)    VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    IWF(85%)    SPY(84%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $78.32(-0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.98(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.55(2.17%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.46% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2015	76.95	76.55	77.98	78.32			78.21(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	5	63	5.01	46%	0.03	37.8	1.35%	0	0.9	73	0
2	Oct_20_2015	76.93	76.39	77.84	78.05			78.56(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	3	67	5.01	46%	0.03	30.2	1.35%	0	1.2	78	0
3	Oct_19_2015	76.91	76.21	77.63	77.88			78.66(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	23	-10000	2	85	4.93	46%	0.03	27.2	1.35%	0	1.4	84	0
4	Oct_16_2015	76.89	76.06	77.45	77.76			78.29(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	-10000	2	107	5.32	46%	0.03	29.4	1.35%	0	1.3	81	0
5	Oct_15_2015	76.87	75.91	77.22	77.65			77.88(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	1	112	5.7	46%	0.01	28.6	1.35%	0	1.2	63	0

6	Oct_14_2015	76.86	75.85	76.93	77.6			76.88(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	30	-10000	1	115	7.02	46%	0	34.8	1.34%	0	0.7	60	0
7	Oct_13_2015	76.86	75.83	76.69	77.56			77.67(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	5	115	7.58	48%	0.01	40.7	1.34%	0	1.2	63	0
8	Oct_12_2015	76.85	75.73	76.18	77.31			78.09(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	4	93	5.49	48%	0.01	38.9	1.35%	0	1.6	63	0
9	Oct_9_2015	76.84	75.57	75.64	77.09			77.72(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	7	69	8.35	50%	0.01	42.2	1.36%	0	1.5	55	0
10	Oct_8_2015	76.83	75.45	75.32	76.73			77.63(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	11	56	6.34	48%	0.01	40	1.36%	0	1.7	58	0

11	Oct_7_2015	76.82	75.31	75	76.16			76.69(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	9	25	7.79	49%	-0.01	31.9	1.37%	0	1.1	47	0
12	Oct_6_2015	76.83	75.2	74.8	75.68			76.43(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	16	2	9.09	49%	0	27.8	1.37%	0	1	47	0
13	Oct_5_2015	76.83	75.15	74.65	74.85			77(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	7	-10000	18	-28	7.02	49%	0	10.8	1.37%	0	1.6	53	0
14	Oct_2_2015	76.83	74.99	74.52	73.96			75.88(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-11	-10000	5	-58	8.2	47%	0	-17.1	1.37%	0	0.8	53	0
15	Oct_1_2015	76.83	74.93	74.45	73.73			74.81(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-18	-10000	0	-70	8.36	47%	0	-26.5	1.36%	0	-0.1	47	0

16	Sep_30_2015	76.83	74.92	74.64	73.71			74.26(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-3	-62	10.8	47%	-0.03	-23.8	1.36%	0	-0.6	48	0
17	Sep_29_2015	76.85	74.87	74.87	73.84			72.31(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-10000	-11	-53	6.18	41%	-0.05	-12.6	1.32%	0	-2.2	39	0
18	Sep_28_2015	76.89	75.02	75.26	74.4			72.55(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-19	-10000	-14	-34	12.02	41%	-0.06	15.8	1.35%	0	-2.4	36	0
19	Sep_25_2015	76.94	75.18	75.55	75.11			74.7(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-3	0	5.85	44%	-0.01	48.3	1.3%	0	-0.6	57	0
20	Sep_24_2015	76.95	75.23	75.64	75.26			74.71(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10000	-9	8	6.98	43%	0	47.4	1.3%	0	-0.6	52	0

21	Sep_23_2015	76.95	75.19	75.64	75.71			74.91(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-10000	-8	26	5.39	43%	-0.01	33.6	1.3%	0	-0.3	53	0
22	Sep_22_2015	76.96	75.02	75.69	76.09			75.11(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-10000	-3	51	7.65	43%	-0.03	4.1	1.3%	0	0.1	61	0
23	Sep_21_2015	76.98	74.86	75.74	76.25			76.12(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	4	64	7.02	45%	0	-16.6	1.3%	0	0.8	55	0
24	Sep_18_2015	76.98	74.76	75.53	76.05			75.46(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	-10000	-0	47	9.86	46%	0	-33.3	1.29%	0	0.5	50	0
25	Sep_17_2015	76.98	74.81	75.46	76.06			76.97(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	8	48	11	49%		-36.1	1.28%	0	1.4	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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