Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $75.5600 (0.04%) ($75.1000 - $76.0000) on Fri. Aug. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $75.5600(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWO(79%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $68.29(-9.62%)
Resistance Level   $77.06
5 Day Moving Average   $73.48(2.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.47(0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.06(-1.95%)
To recent high   -5.9%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 3.44% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150928

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_28_2015	77.13	77.06	75.47	73.48			75.56(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-36	-10000	6	-163	7.64	48%	-0.01	-57.6	1.16%	0	-0.6	38	0
2	Aug_27_2015	77.14	77.29	75.73	73.24			75.53(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-49	-10000	-6	-179	16.12	48%	-0.01	-58	1.16%	0	-0.7	41	0
3	Aug_26_2015	77.15	77.51	75.99	73.49			73.8(3.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-66	-10000	-25	-187	18.9	45%	-0.03	-54.4	1.12%	0	-1.4	34	0
4	Aug_25_2015	77.17	77.82	76.4	74.54			71.1(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-77	-10000	-42	-181	12.09	38%	-0.06	-46.2	1.02%	0	-2.7	17	0
5	Aug_24_2015	77.22	78.24	77.16	76.16			71.39(-3.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.4	-62	-10000	-39	-130	23.82	38%	-0.08	-36.6	1.02%	0	-3.4	16	0

6	Aug_21_2015	77.28	78.62	77.97	77.7			74.36(-3.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.6	-36	-10000	-23	-75	18.6	43%	-0.01	-28.2	0.9%	0	-3.3	24	0
7	Aug_20_2015	77.29	78.87	78.4	78.5			76.82(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-20	-10000	-9	-53	9.41	49%	0.03	-19	0.81%	0	-2.5	29	0
8	Aug_19_2015	77.27	78.99	78.58	78.8			79.04(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	8	-51	5.74	56%	0.04	-13.5	0.73%	0	0.1	41	0
9	Aug_18_2015	77.24	79	78.6	78.56			79.18(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	7	-69	5.85	56%	0.05	-20.2	0.73%	0	0.3	45	0
10	Aug_17_2015	77.2	78.98	78.69	78.37			79.11(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-17	-10000	1	-70	4.42	56%	0.05	-28.1	0.73%	0	0.2	52	0

11	Aug_14_2015	77.16	78.99	78.75	78.33			78.36(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	-10000	1	-59	4.74	56%	0.05	-27	0.73%	0	-0.9	53	0
12	Aug_13_2015	77.12	79.03	78.93	78.31			78.31(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10000	-0	-48	4.42	56%	0.04	-18.6	0.73%	0	-1.1	48	0
13	Aug_12_2015	77.09	79.08	79.09	78.32			77.86(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-11	-43	7.14	56%	0.03	-1.2	0.73%	0	-1.8	45	0
14	Aug_11_2015	77.07	79.14	79.29	78.63			78.2(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-15	-24	5.67	56%	0.03	32.5	0.73%	0	-1.5	43	0
15	Aug_10_2015	77.05	79.14	79.37	79.05			78.91(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-10000	-7	3	3.84	58%	0.03	64.4	0.72%	0	-0.5	51	0

16	Aug_7_2015	77.03	79.18	79.32	79.26			78.28(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-9	-10000	-13	4	6.45	59%	0.03	78.3	0.73%	0	-1.4	44	0
17	Aug_6_2015	77.01	79.16	79.4	79.64			78.34(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-2	-10000	-11	25	7.74	59%	0.03	77.4	0.73%	0	-1	45	0
18	Aug_5_2015	76.99	79.09	79.47	79.97			79.42(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-2	46	5.94	60%	0.05	69.8	0.71%	0	0.3	51	0
19	Aug_4_2015	76.95	78.94	79.46	80.02			80.29(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	10	59	5.7	64%	0.05	69.7	0.71%	0	1.3	64	0
20	Aug_3_2015	76.91	78.81	79.32	79.74			79.95(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	12	45	5.76	64%	0.07	69.2	0.71%	0	1.1	61	0

21	Jul_31_2015	76.86	78.67	79.23	79.4			80.22(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	10	28	3.67	66%	0.07	57.6	0.71%	0	1.5	65	0
22	Jul_30_2015	76.81	78.52	79.12	79.13			79.97(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	8	25	3.3	63%	0.08	50	0.73%	0	1.4	72	0
23	Jul_29_2015	76.75	78.38	79.04	78.9			79.68(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	10	-10000	2	35	5.81	63%	0.07	44.8	0.74%	0	1.3	77	0
24	Jul_28_2015	76.7	78.22	78.94	78.83			78.87(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	14	-10000	-0	55	5.45	61%	0.04	34.1	0.74%	0	0.6	76	0
25	Jul_27_2015	76.67	78.09	78.95	78.84			78.26(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-7	66	5.55	56%		25	0.73%	0	0.2	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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