Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $76.7700 (0.77%) ($76.2700 - $76.9300) on Fri. Mar. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $76.7700(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.18(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.69(1.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.88(1.17%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.84% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150420

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2015	71.89	75.88	75.69	76.18			76.77(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	9	4	6.24	61%	0.14	47.6	0.93%	0	1.4	48	0
2	Mar_19_2015	71.79	75.81	75.69	75.86			76.18(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10000	3	-18	4.56	61%	0.13	41.7	0.94%	0	0.6	51	0
3	Mar_18_2015	71.7	75.75	75.54	75.77			76.29(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	11	-17	7.72	63%	0.14	45.5	0.94%	0	0.8	51	0
4	Mar_17_2015	71.6	75.67	75.52	75.37			75.62(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	6	-39	4.93	65%	0.13	35.2	0.95%	0	-0.1	46	0
5	Mar_16_2015	71.51	75.63	75.62	75.17			76.04(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-10	-10000	1	-42	5.45	62%	0.14	40.4	0.97%	0	0.6	52	0

6	Mar_13_2015	71.41	75.57	75.68	75.13			75.16(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-10000	-1	-34	5.58	61%	0.13	50.5	0.99%	0	-0.6	50	0
7	Mar_12_2015	71.32	75.54	75.77	75.18			75.76(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-10	-10000	-3	-30	6.92	61%	0.15	59.6	0.99%	0	0.3	53	0
8	Mar_11_2015	71.21	75.44	75.8	75.3			74.25(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-14	-10000	-11	-21	4.59	59%	0.13	61.4	0.96%	0	-1.4	48	0
9	Mar_10_2015	71.12	75.43	76.02	75.7			74.66(-1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-10000	-11	10	7.15	56%	0.14	77.9	0.96%	0	-0.8	54	0
10	Mar_9_2015	71.02	75.34	76.14	76.1			75.84(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-6	39	4.22	59%	0.17	85.5	0.95%	0	0.5	64	0

11	Mar_6_2015	70.9	75.21	76.11	76.31			75.41(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-10000	-3	54	7.85	59%	0.18	95.6	0.95%	0	0.2	58	0
12	Mar_5_2015	70.77	75.1	76.13	76.42			76.32(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	1	71	7.78	61%	0.2	101.2	0.95%	0	1	73	0
13	Mar_4_2015	70.63	74.92	75.99	76.37			76.27(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	-0	80	4.67	61%	0.18	105.6	0.95%	0	1	78	0
14	Mar_3_2015	70.5	74.72	75.84	76.38			76.67(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	5	93	6.03	61%	0.2	105.8	0.94%	0	1.4	84	0
15	Mar_2_2015	70.36	74.42	75.65	76.19			76.88(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	-10000	9	104	24	61%	0.19	90.2	0.94%	0	1.5	90	0

16	Feb_27_2015	70.23	74.09	75.44	75.89			75.97(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	3	105	3.87	59%	0.16	75.7	0.94%	0	1.1	82	0
17	Feb_26_2015	70.12	73.83	75.29	75.78			76.07(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	6	114	3.5	59%	0.14	71.4	0.95%	0	1.2	81	0
18	Feb_25_2015	70.02	73.53	75.05	75.55			76.31(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	35	-10000	9	114	6.84	59%	0.16	65	0.95%	0	1.5	86	0
19	Feb_24_2015	69.91	73.24	74.77	75.23			75.73(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	-10000	6	112	3.52	60%	0.13	65.4	0.94%	0	1.3	86	0
20	Feb_23_2015	69.82	73.02	74.47	75.02			75.37(-0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	32	-10000	3	119	3.12	60%	0.13	69.5	0.95%	0	1.3	90	0

21	Feb_20_2015	69.73	72.79	74.23	74.93			75.44(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	-10000	6	142	3.93	60%	0.14	76.1	0.95%	0	1.5	91	0
22	Feb_19_2015	69.63	72.56	73.99	74.73			74.91(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	45	-10000	8	156	3.27	60%	0.13	81.1	0.94%	0	1.4	79	0
23	Feb_18_2015	69.54	72.3	73.76	74.46			74.68(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	-10000	7	169	4.14	60%	0.13	75.2	0.94%	0	1.4	82	0
24	Feb_17_2015	69.45	72.03	73.51	74.23			74.72(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	-10000	12	175	4.12	60%	0.14	67.9	0.94%	0	1.6	72	0
25	Feb_13_2015	69.35	71.78	73.11	73.82			74.89(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	-10000	11	153	5.33	60%		60.4	0.94%	0	1.9	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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