Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $69.6700 (1.32%) ($68.5000 - $69.7500) on Fri. Jan. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $69.6700(1.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

Resistance Level   $70.99
5 Day Moving Average   $69.82(-0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.2(-0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.99(-1.86%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2015	68.68	70.99	70.2	69.82			69.67(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-10000	-8	-116	9.55	62%	0.01	-3.2	0.89%	0	-1.2	37	0
2	Jan_15_2015	68.67	71.01	70.39	70.07			68.76(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-10000	-19	-113	8.05	58%	0	3.4	0.88%	0	-2.1	35	0
3	Jan_14_2015	68.67	71.02	70.73	70.66			69.66(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-10000	-6	-78	10.18	61%	0.01	10.6	0.87%	0	-1.4	37	0
4	Jan_13_2015	68.66	71.03	71	70.86			70.51(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-10	-10000	6	-57	7.55	59%	0.03	8.6	0.85%	0	-0.5	44	0
5	Jan_12_2015	68.64	71.03	71.22	70.67			70.51(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	-10000	2	-51	6.03	59%	0.01	-2.6	0.9%	0	-0.5	50	0

6	Jan_9_2015	68.63	71.02	71.39	70.62			70.89(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10000	-5	-46	5.63	54%	0.04	-7.5	0.9%	0	-0.1	51	0
7	Jan_8_2015	68.6	70.98	71.49	70.77			71.72(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-7	-10000	-2	-21	6.4	58%	0.04	-9.9	0.94%	0	0.6	63	0
8	Jan_7_2015	68.57	70.93	71.51	70.85			70.66(1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-6	-10000	-11	8	7.41	53%	0.04	-9.3	0.94%	0	-0.2	66	0
9	Jan_6_2015	68.54	70.94	71.61	71.21			69.56(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-5	-10000	-19	39	7.17	51%	0.01	-1.2	0.94%	0	-1.2	53	0
10	Jan_5_2015	68.53	71.05	71.77	71.85			70.26(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	12	-10000	-12	84	8.58	52%	0.06	13.5	0.93%	0	-0.7	54	0

11	Jan_2_2015	68.49	71.1	71.87	72.25			71.63(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	29	-10000	-1	118	6.19	58%	0.09	25.8	0.91%	0	0.5	58	0
12	Dec_31_2014	68.43	71.09	71.71	72.29			72.15(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	1	123	6.66	55%	0.09	29.8	0.91%	0	1	64	0
13	Dec_30_2014	68.37	71.04	71.37	72.25			72.44(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	5	105	6.05	55%	0.09	32.2	0.92%	0	1.3	58	0
14	Dec_29_2014	68.31	70.96	71.09	72.07			72.78(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	12	90	23.01	55%	0.09	33.6	0.92%	0	1.8	59	0
15	Dec_26_2014	68.25	70.89	70.8	71.69			72.23(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	8	57	14.1	57%	0.15	33.8	0.92%	0	1.5	52	0

16	Dec_24_2014	68.15	70.82	70.6	71.44			71.84(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	12	38	1.69	56%	0.09	35.5	0.94%	0	1.2	51	0
17	Dec_23_2014	68.09	70.77	70.4	71.04			71.96(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	21	8	7.34	55%	0.09	32.5	0.95%	0	1.4	51	0
18	Dec_22_2014	68.03	70.7	70.26	70.35			71.56(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	1	-10000	12	-33	4.95	52%	0.09	18.8	0.96%	0	1.1	50	0
19	Dec_19_2014	67.97	70.63	70.18	69.95			70.87(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-10	-10000	5	-56	9.83	51%	0.07	9.2	0.97%	0	0.3	48	0
20	Dec_18_2014	67.92	70.58	70.22	69.78			70.97(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-15	-10000	3	-69	18.85	51%	0.04	8	0.97%	0	0.5	43	0

21	Dec_17_2014	67.89	70.52	70.24	69.67			69.82(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	-0	-75	9.71	49%	0.06	10.4	0.95%	0	-0.9	43	0
22	Dec_16_2014	67.85	70.51	70.4	69.68			68.51(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-31	-10000	-15	-80	9.11	46%	0.01	16.8	0.92%	0	-2.4	33	0
23	Dec_15_2014	67.84	70.51	70.69	70.15			69.58(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-8	-52	8.88	48%	0.04	42.2	0.9%	0	-1.3	42	0
24	Dec_12_2014	67.81	70.56	70.84	70.42			70(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-10	-31	12.18	48%	0.03	58.9	0.9%	0	-0.7	52	0
25	Dec_11_2014	67.79	70.52	71.03	70.73			70.45(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-10000	-6	2	17.57	48%		70.2	0.9%	0	-0.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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