Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 12, 2014

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $68.5800 (0.47%) ($68.0400 - $68.6900) on Wed. Nov. 12, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $68.5800(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $68.19(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.96(0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.91(2.5%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.41% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2014	67.14	66.91	67.96	68.19			68.58(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	7	80	5.27	51%	0.04	66	0.85%	0	1	74	0
2	Nov_11_2014	67.11	66.65	67.8	67.98			68.26(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	7	84	3.23	51%	0.03	51.4	0.85%	0	1	78	0
3	Nov_10_2014	67.09	66.42	67.69	67.79			67.97(-0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	-1	81	2.65	51%	0.03	41.4	0.85%	0	0.9	67	0
4	Nov_7_2014	67.07	66.19	67.55	67.81			68.01(-0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	-10000	-1	99	3.77	53%	0.01	34.1	0.87%	0	1.1	75	0
5	Nov_6_2014	67.06	66.02	67.39	67.83			68.12(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	-10000	5	126	11.25	53%	0.03	29.1	0.88%	0	1.3	79	0

6	Nov_5_2014	67.04	65.86	67.22	67.69			67.55(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	41	-10000	4	153	10.75	52%	0.01	25.4	0.87%	0	1	80	0
7	Nov_4_2014	67.03	65.8	67.03	67.58			67.28(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	43	-10000	0	172	4.94	54%	0.01	26.8	0.87%	0	0.9	80	0
8	Nov_3_2014	67.02	65.71	66.92	67.57			68.1(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	59	-10000	11	202	15.93	56%	0.04	24.4	0.87%	0	1.6	80	0
9	Oct_31_2014	66.99	65.61	66.6	67.24			68.1(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	60	-10000	12	204	4.74	53%	0.03	17.9	0.87%	0	1.7	82	0
10	Oct_30_2014	66.97	65.53	66.19	66.89			67.44(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	-10000	7	177	5.1	51%	0.01	10.5	0.89%	0	1.4	66	0

11	Oct_29_2014	66.96	65.45	65.78	66.69			67(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	-10000	10	152	4.89	51%	0	4.5	0.89%	0	1.2	59	0
12	Oct_28_2014	66.96	65.38	65.41	66.39			67.2(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	7	104	7.69	51%	0	-8.1	0.89%	0	1.4	50	0
13	Oct_27_2014	66.96	65.34	65.05	66.17			66.48(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	11	77	3.73	50%	0	-14.3	0.88%	0	0.9	53	0
14	Oct_24_2014	66.96	65.35	64.72	65.84			66.35(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	16	29	4.51	48%	0	-22.5	0.89%	0	0.8	47	0
15	Oct_23_2014	66.96	65.35	64.52	65.36			66.41(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	-10000	22	-20	5.18	48%	0	-35.9	0.89%	0	0.8	45	0

16	Oct_22_2014	66.96	65.39	64.37	64.72			65.52(-0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	17	-69	7.76	46%	0	-52.8	0.88%	0	0.1	46	0
17	Oct_21_2014	66.96	65.49	64.44	64.25			66.09(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-10	-10000	17	-91	5.53	46%	0	-63.6	0.87%	0	0.4	50	0
18	Oct_20_2014	66.96	65.52	64.36	63.78			64.83(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-26	-10000	12	-138	6.19	42%	-0.01	-74.2	0.84%	0	-0.5	40	0
19	Oct_17_2014	66.97	65.65	64.51	63.46			63.94(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-47	-10000	-5	-173	8.51	40%	-0.03	-77.5	0.83%	0	-1.1	34	0
20	Oct_16_2014	66.99	65.87	64.79	63.58			63.24(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-55	-10000	-14	-179	12.68	38%	-0.03	-73.9	0.82%	0	-1.6	29	0

21	Oct_15_2014	67.01	66.15	65.09	63.96			63.17(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-62	-10000	-26	-170	15.09	38%	-0.03	-70.7	0.82%	0	-1.9	34	0
22	Oct_14_2014	67.03	66.41	65.37	64.65			63.7(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-10000	-14	-145	11.24	39%	-0.06	-64.7	0.82%	0	-1.8	32	0
23	Oct_13_2014	67.07	66.65	65.68	65.03			63.24(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-52	-10000	-25	-132	21.32	39%	-0.01	-62.3	0.81%	0	-2.5	35	0
24	Oct_10_2014	67.08	66.91	66.07	65.7			64.55(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-39	-10000	-19	-99	11.01	40%	0	-62.9	0.78%	0	-2.1	36	0
25	Oct_9_2014	67.08	67.11	66.37	66.18			65.12(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10000	-7	-76	22.7	44%		-61.4	0.78%	0	-1.9	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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