Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $65.0800 (0.79%) ($64.5300 - $65.1100) on Fri. May. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $65.0800(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.28(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.13(1.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.94(1.78%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.78% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140623

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2014	64.72	63.94	64.13	64.28			65.08(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	17	-10000	10	38	1.99	34%	-0.03	11.5	0.87%	0	2.3	54	0
2	May_22_2014	64.74	63.86	64	64.01			64.57(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	9	18	5.26	34%	0	-7.1	0.87%	0	1.6	51	0
3	May_21_2014	64.74	63.85	63.89	63.75			64.23(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	2	-10000	4	-5	3.89	34%	-0.05	-14.9	0.87%	0	0.9	50	0
4	May_20_2014	64.77	63.84	63.89	63.65			63.46(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-7	-21	4.85	31%	-0.05	-7.2	0.86%	0	-0.9	47	0
5	May_19_2014	64.8	63.84	63.8	63.85			64.04(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-6	-10000	-4	-10	2.74	32%	-0.03	23.9	0.85%	0	0.3	55	0

6	May_16_2014	64.82	63.84	63.82	63.97			63.75(0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-1	9	3.01	32%	-0.05	47.8	0.85%	0	-0.3	56	0
7	May_15_2014	64.85	63.89	63.87	63.99			63.28(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	4	-10000	-1	19	5.71	32%	-0.03	56.5	0.85%	0	-1.4	50	0
8	May_14_2014	64.87	63.91	63.95	64.03			63.74(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	7	-10000	3	18	4.29	32%	-0.03	51.5	0.85%	0	-0.4	42	0
9	May_13_2014	64.89	63.87	63.97	63.95			64.46(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	8	12	4.96	33%	-0.03	28.6	0.85%	0	1.2	51	0
10	May_12_2014	64.91	63.79	63.88	63.73			64.64(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-2	-10000	2	-13	5.72	33%	-0.02	10.8	0.85%	0	1.6	49	0

11	May_9_2014	64.92	63.67	63.74	63.67			63.84(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10000	-3	-27	5.06	29%	-0.03	-11.8	0.82%	0	0.3	49	0
12	May_8_2014	64.94	63.64	63.7	63.75			63.49(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-5	-26	5.76	29%	-0.03	-27.7	0.83%	0	-0.2	48	0
13	May_7_2014	64.96	63.7	63.8	63.87			63.31(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6	-10000	-4	-10	4.39	33%	-0.02	-31	0.83%	0	-0.6	48	0
14	May_6_2014	64.97	63.73	63.89	63.98			63.39(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-1	12	4.2	39%	-0.03	-37	0.85%	0	-0.5	58	0
15	May_5_2014	64.99	63.73	64	64.01			64.31(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	7	35	3.35	42%	0	-46	0.87%	0	0.9	68	0

16	May_2_2014	64.99	63.74	63.96	63.81			64.25(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	6	37	4.11	40%	0	-50	0.93%	0	0.8	71	0
17	May_1_2014	64.99	63.81	63.91	63.64			64.09(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	5	-10000	-3	30	4.18	40%	-0.02	-37.9	0.94%	0	0.4	58	0
18	Apr_30_2014	65	63.89	63.87	63.73			63.84(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-2	27	7.79	42%	-0.02	-20.8	0.95%	0	-0.1	43	0
19	Apr_29_2014	65.01	63.97	63.78	63.8			63.57(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	-6	18	4.41	40%	-0.03	-12.8	0.98%	0	-0.4	47	0
20	Apr_28_2014	65.03	64.03	63.7	63.99			63.28(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-4	24	9.35	40%	-0.03	-9	0.99%	0	-0.8	50	0

21	Apr_25_2014	65.05	64.08	63.62	64.12			63.44(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-2	11	4.74	40%	-0.02	-11.7	0.99%	0	-0.6	43	0
22	Apr_24_2014	65.06	64.1	63.62	64.19			64.54(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	6	-4	3.68	39%	0	-21.6	0.98%	0	0.4	42	0
23	Apr_23_2014	65.06	64.08	63.59	64.02			64.19(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	9	-24	2.83	38%	0	-36.4	1%	0	0.1	38	0
24	Apr_22_2014	65.06	64.1	63.56	63.74			64.49(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	11	-51	4.68	38%	-0.02	-52.9	1.01%	0	0.4	43	0
25	Apr_21_2014	65.07	64.12	63.44	63.39			63.94(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	-10000	11	-82	10.59	38%		-67.9	1%	0	-0.2	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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