Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 27, 2014

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $63.8000 (-0.48%) ($63.5300 - $64.1700) on Thu. Mar. 27, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   17
Latest Price   $63.8000(-0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VT(89%)    XLK(86%)    SPY(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GDXJ(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $62.27(-2.4%)
Resistance Level   $66.11
5 Day Moving Average   $64.65(-1.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.39(-2.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.11(-3.49%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140427

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_27_2014	65.11	66.11	65.39	64.65			63.8(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-45	-10000	-18	-124	6.35	37%	0	-36.4	0.86%	0	-2.3	17	0
2	Mar_26_2014	65.11	66.26	65.62	65.15			64.11(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-39	-10000	-15	-111	6.96	37%	0.02	-19.8	0.86%	0	-2.5	18	0
3	Mar_25_2014	65.1	66.39	65.88	65.56			64.63(-0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-34	-10000	-14	-94	5.86	37%	0	1.8	0.86%	0	-2.4	23	0
4	Mar_24_2014	65.1	66.46	66.11	65.95			65.02(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-25	-10000	-9	-72	12.36	37%	0.03	23.5	0.87%	0	-2.2	30	0
5	Mar_21_2014	65.08	66.5	66.33	66.2			65.68(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-1	-48	6.23	38%	0.03	37.9	0.85%	0	-1.3	47	0

6	Mar_20_2014	65.06	66.49	66.5	66.23			66.31(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	3	-40	3.76	40%	0.05	40.2	0.85%	0	-0.3	45	0
7	Mar_19_2014	65.03	66.43	66.61	66.15			66.14(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-10000	-4	-39	6.06	40%	0.05	35.3	0.85%	0	-0.4	47	0
8	Mar_18_2014	65	66.37	66.73	66.27			66.58(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-10000	-2	-23	3.22	44%	0.06	39.7	0.85%	0	0.3	54	0
9	Mar_17_2014	64.96	66.31	66.77	66.32			66.29(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-10000	-6	-11	3.23	44%	0.05	47.6	0.87%	0	-0	56	0
10	Mar_14_2014	64.93	66.26	66.78	66.5			65.85(-0.09%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-7	-10000	-11	5	4.79	44%	0.05	58.6	0.86%	0	-0.5	58	0

11	Mar_13_2014	64.9	66.22	66.89	66.81			65.91(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10000	-11	38	11.27	44%	0.06	72.3	0.87%	0	-0.3	61	0
12	Mar_12_2014	64.86	66.16	66.97	67.13			66.72(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10000	-4	76	4.79	47%	0.06	89.8	0.85%	0	0.6	71	0
13	Mar_11_2014	64.82	66.06	66.94	67.25			66.82(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10000	-1	102	4.39	45%	0.08	101.9	0.85%	0	0.7	75	0
14	Mar_10_2014	64.77	65.92	66.86	67.29			67.21(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	7	116	3.27	45%	0.08	110.4	0.86%	0	1.2	70	0
15	Mar_7_2014	64.72	65.77	66.69	67.09			67.39(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	4	110	4.34	45%	0.09	110.2	0.85%	0	1.5	73	0

16	Mar_6_2014	64.66	65.57	66.48	66.98			67.49(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	6	109	5.26	47%	0.11	102.9	0.86%	0	1.7	77	0
17	Mar_5_2014	64.59	65.3	66.24	66.8			67.32(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	7	106	7.57	47%	0.11	86.2	0.86%	0	1.6	77	0
18	Mar_4_2014	64.52	65.03	65.98	66.59			67.04(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	-10000	8	99	4.39	47%	0.09	70.8	0.86%	0	1.5	76	0
19	Mar_3_2014	64.46	64.75	65.79	66.37			66.21(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	5	99	8.67	42%	0.09	54.5	0.85%	0	1	76	0
20	Feb_28_2014	64.4	64.58	65.69	66.22			66.84(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	-10000	12	107	6.99	44%	0.11	49.8	0.84%	0	1.5	85	0

21	Feb_27_2014	64.33	64.41	65.48	65.89			66.57(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	-10000	11	103	4.39	44%	0.12	44.1	0.84%	0	1.5	87	0
22	Feb_26_2014	64.25	64.21	65.27	65.59			66.3(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	37	-10000	11	113	5.49	44%	0.11	31.6	0.84%	0	1.5	90	0
23	Feb_25_2014	64.18	64.07	65.09	65.28			65.93(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	-10000	5	120	4.54	44%	0.09	22.4	0.84%	0	1.4	90	0
24	Feb_24_2014	64.12	63.93	64.9	65.14			65.47(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	-10000	2	143	3.22	44%	0.08	14.1	0.84%	0	1.3	91	0
25	Feb_21_2014	64.07	63.83	64.77	65.08			65.2(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	3	156	4.38	46%		6	0.84%	0	1.2	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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