Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 14, 2013

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $52.9500 (0.11%) ($52.7500 - $53.0100) on Thu. Mar. 14, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $52.9500(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(83%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.76(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.28(1.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.4(3.02%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.06% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2013	48.68	51.4	52.28	52.76			52.95(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	-10000	8	191	3.71	65%	0.14	53.9	0.78%	0	1.5	78	0
2	Mar_13_2013	48.61	51.29	52.08	52.59			52.89(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	-10000	9	193	3.84	65%	0.14	54.4	0.79%	0	1.6	79	0
3	Mar_12_2013	48.54	51.17	51.86	52.4			52.6(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	-10000	5	185	3.72	65%	0.14	55.5	0.79%	0	1.5	71	0
4	Mar_11_2013	48.47	51.06	51.6	52.29			52.75(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	-10000	12	167	3.21	65%	0.14	59.9	0.79%	0	1.9	61	0
5	Mar_8_2013	48.4	50.95	51.28	52.04			52.62(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	-10000	16	130	4.04	65%	0.1	60.8	0.79%	0	2.1	62	0

6	Mar_7_2013	48.35	50.83	51.03	51.72			52.07(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	11	95	3.34	63%	0.1	57.4	0.79%	0	1.8	59	0
7	Mar_6_2013	48.3	50.75	50.81	51.5			51.98(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	13	66	3.53	63%	0.1	54	0.79%	0	2	59	0
8	Mar_5_2013	48.25	50.66	50.64	51.24			52.02(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27	-10000	21	43	6.24	63%	0.12	46.8	0.79%	0	2.4	60	0
9	Mar_4_2013	48.19	50.54	50.53	50.82			51.5(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	20	-10000	21	16	7.06	62%	0.12	22.2	0.79%	0	1.9	59	0
10	Mar_1_2013	48.13	50.49	50.46	50.4			51.05(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	2	-10000	9	-21	4.53	60%	0.1	-5.6	0.78%	0	1.2	53	0

11	Feb_28_2013	48.08	50.44	50.43	50.23			50.93(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	0	-10000	10	-29	5.83	62%	0.08	-18.8	0.77%	0	1.1	56	0
12	Feb_27_2013	48.04	50.41	50.43	50.03			50.68(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-8	-10000	3	-42	5.1	62%	0.1	-28.9	0.79%	0	0.6	53	0
13	Feb_26_2013	47.99	50.39	50.41	49.97			49.92(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-12	-50	7.87	60%	0.04	-29.6	0.77%	0	-1.1	46	0
14	Feb_25_2013	47.97	50.43	50.48	50.21			49.43(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-17	-10000	-16	-21	5.32	58%	0.04	-3.8	0.76%	0	-2.5	49	0
15	Feb_22_2013	47.95	50.51	50.62	50.51			50.21(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-7	12	5.34	65%	0.06	35.8	0.75%	0	-0.9	48	0

16	Feb_21_2013	47.92	50.52	50.64	50.65			49.93(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-0	-10000	-9	26	8.75	65%	0.06	64.6	0.76%	0	-1.8	50	0
17	Feb_20_2013	47.89	50.53	50.7	50.83			50.35(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	9	-10000	-4	47	6.99	68%	0.08	89.2	0.75%	0	-0.5	51	0
18	Feb_19_2013	47.85	50.51	50.71	50.91			51.13(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	6	60	7.06	77%	0.13	104.3	0.72%	0	1.8	59	0
19	Feb_15_2013	47.79	50.45	50.58	50.8			50.94(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	3	35	12.29	77%	0.08	108.7	0.75%	0	1.4	53	0
20	Feb_14_2013	47.75	50.39	50.52	50.75			50.88(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	6	26	4.69	71%	0.08	115.5	0.76%	0	1.4	48	0

21	Feb_13_2013	47.71	50.31	50.45	50.64			50.86(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	4	12	5.83	71%	0.1	100	0.78%	0	1.3	56	0
22	Feb_12_2013	47.66	50.24	50.39	50.56			50.75(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	5	10	4.57	71%	0.06	98.9	0.78%	0	1.2	59	0
23	Feb_11_2013	47.63	50.15	50.36	50.47			50.55(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	8	12	2.39	71%	0.06	87	0.78%	0	0.8	58	0
24	Feb_8_2013	47.6	50.07	50.36	50.32			50.72(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	3	9	2.93	66%	0.06	72.3	0.79%	0	1.2	62	0
25	Feb_7_2013	47.57	49.98	50.37	50.26			50.33(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	2	19	5.17	63%		67.5	0.81%	0	0.6	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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