Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 8, 2013

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $50.7200 (0.77%) ($50.3700 - $50.7500) on Fri. Feb. 8, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.79% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $50.7200(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(83%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.395% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.395% (StdDev 0.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.32(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.37(0.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.07(1.3%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   13%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 0.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2013	47.6	50.07		50.32			50.72(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	3	9	2.93	66%	0.06	72.3	0.79%	0	1.2	62	0
2	Feb_7_2013	47.57	49.98	50.37	50.26			50.33(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	2	19	5.17	63%	0.06	67.5	0.81%	0	0.6	59	0
3	Feb_6_2013	47.54	49.9	50.38	50.22			50.44(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	0	29	5.07	63%	0.06	61.4	0.83%	0	0.8	67	0
4	Feb_5_2013	47.51	49.8	50.34	50.21			50.33(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10000	-1	36	5.86	63%	0.06	63.6	0.83%	0	0.7	64	0
5	Feb_4_2013	47.48	49.72	50.3	50.24			49.8(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-8	50	4.11	61%	0.06	75.8	0.82%	0	0.1	64	0

6	Feb_1_2013	47.45	49.67	50.32	50.41			50.42(0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	-10000	-5	82	5.15	66%	0.06	91	0.8%	0	1	76	0
7	Jan_31_2013	47.42	49.58	50.25	50.5			50.13(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	25	-10000	-2	105	5.83	66%	0.06	105.1	0.81%	0	0.7	74	0
8	Jan_30_2013	47.39	49.49	50.18	50.55			50.37(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	3	123	4.09	66%	0.08	111.1	0.81%	0	1.1	82	0
9	Jan_29_2013	47.35	49.35	50.08	50.48			50.46(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	37	-10000	5	132	6.28	66%	0.08	112.5	0.81%	0	1.4	84	0
10	Jan_28_2013	47.31	49.16	49.94	50.37			50.66(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	8	132	5.24	66%	0.08	92.6	0.82%	0	1.7	84	0

11	Jan_25_2013	47.27	48.98	49.76	50.21			50.9(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	40	-10000	11	125	5.68	66%	0.11	71.8	0.81%	0	1.9	85	0
12	Jan_24_2013	47.22	48.77	49.55	49.98			50.37(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	11	113	4.25	65%	0.11	59	0.81%	0	1.6	84	0
13	Jan_23_2013	47.17	48.62	49.37	49.75			49.99(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	29	-10000	6	96	2.62	62%	0.08	50.5	0.81%	0	1.3	83	0
14	Jan_22_2013	47.13	48.48	49.21	49.62			49.95(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	32	-10000	9	101	4.56	62%	0.11	51	0.82%	0	1.5	89	0
15	Jan_18_2013	47.08	48.38	49.08	49.43			49.82(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	35	-10000	9	112	5.26	58%	0.11	51.5	0.85%	0	1.5	91	0

16	Jan_17_2013	47.03	48.28	48.96	49.24			49.76(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	38	-10000	9	124	4.64	58%	0.09	52.1	0.85%	0	1.6	82	0
17	Jan_16_2013	46.99	48.19	48.83	49.06			49.24(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	7	135	3.74	58%	0.09	55.7	0.84%	0	1.3	81	0
18	Jan_15_2013	46.95	48.11	48.75	48.92			49.35(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	-10000	9	141	8.63	59%	0.09	57.8	0.85%	0	1.6	72	0
19	Jan_14_2013	46.91	47.98	48.57	48.74			48.99(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	3	130	5.38	59%	0.09	51.9	0.85%	0	1.3	70	0
20	Jan_11_2013	46.87	47.89	48.33	48.67			48.87(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	1	106	3.37	59%	0.09	48.4	0.85%	0	1.3	57	0

21	Jan_10_2013	46.83	47.81	48.14	48.64			48.83(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	3	93	5.14	59%	0.09	51	0.85%	0	1.4	58	0
22	Jan_9_2013	46.79	47.73	47.95	48.58			48.55(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10000	1	70	3.67	56%	0.09	53.7	0.85%	0	1.2	51	0
23	Jan_8_2013	46.75	47.65	47.82	48.56			48.47(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	10	66	3.88	56%	0.06	53.8	0.88%	0	1.2	57	0
24	Jan_7_2013	46.72	47.6	47.7	48.35			48.61(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	20	61	3.56	56%	0.06	46.8	0.88%	0	1.5	65	0
25	Jan_4_2013	46.69	47.53	47.62	47.93			48.73(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23	-10000	18	39	4.99	57%		29.2	0.88%	0	1.9	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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