Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 31, 2012

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $47.4400 (2%) ($46.3000 - $47.4700) on Mon. Dec. 31, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $47.4400(2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(2%)    TIP(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $47(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.39(0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.29(0.32%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.89% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130131

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_31_2012	46.55		47.39	47			47.44(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	1	-17	12.47	55%	0.06	-15.7	0.85%	0	0.4	53	0
2	Dec_28_2012	46.52	47.29	47.33	46.97			46.51(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-10000	-16	-35	15.39	51%	0.04	-14.6	0.81%	0	-1.9	41	0
3	Dec_27_2012	46.5	47.34	47.4	47.27			46.89(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-10	-9	5.09	55%	0.04	17.5	0.81%	0	-1.2	47	0
4	Dec_26_2012	46.48	47.34	47.45	47.47			46.83(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-7	-10000	-14	13	4.46	55%	0.09	47.4	0.82%	0	-1.5	51	0
5	Dec_24_2012	46.44	47.37	47.51	47.75			47.32(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	8	-10000	-4	44	2.56	55%	0.06	75.6	0.82%	0	-0.1	54	0

6	Dec_21_2012	46.41	47.36	47.5	47.83			47.28(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.5	17	-10000	5	54	8.74	55%	0.09	103.8	0.82%	0	-0.2	51	0
7	Dec_20_2012	46.37	47.35	47.52	47.74			48.01(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	10	49	4.19	58%	0.11	122.5	0.8%	0	1.7	55	0
8	Dec_19_2012	46.32	47.28	47.44	47.55			47.91(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	6	28	4.58	60%	0.09	126.8	0.8%	0	1.6	54	0
9	Dec_18_2012	46.28	47.2	47.34	47.44			48.25(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	11	-10000	10	14	11.83	60%	0.09	124.7	0.8%	0	2.6	60	0
10	Dec_17_2012	46.24	47.1	47.21	47.25			47.69(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	5	-10000	6	0	5.46	58%	0.09	124.1	0.79%	0	1.5	63	0

11	Dec_14_2012	46.2	46.98	47.16	47.14			46.85(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-7	-10	5.07	55%	0.09	82.6	0.76%	0	-0.2	50	0
12	Dec_13_2012	46.16	46.89	47.23	47.26			47.05(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-2	8	3.64	57%	0.09	63.6	0.76%	0	0.2	49	0
13	Dec_12_2012	46.12	46.79	47.28	47.29			47.36(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	4	28	4.89	57%	0.11	48.6	0.77%	0	0.7	63	0
14	Dec_11_2012	46.07	46.71	47.27	47.21			47.3(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	2	35	5.45	57%	0.09	37.4	0.77%	0	0.7	65	0
15	Dec_10_2012	46.03	46.62	47.22	47.17			47.15(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-10000	-1	39	7.84	57%	0.07	29.4	0.77%	0	0.6	66	0

16	Dec_7_2012	46	46.53	47.21	47.19			47.42(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	17	-10000	-1	70	7.16	57%	0.09	23.8	0.77%	0	1	78	0
17	Dec_6_2012	45.96	46.44	47.18	47.21			47.24(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	25	-10000	-3	107	3.8	61%	0.07	19.8	0.77%	0	0.9	79	0
18	Dec_5_2012	45.93	46.4	47.11	47.26			46.94(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	29	-10000	-5	130	6.55	61%	0.07	23.9	0.82%	0	0.6	77	0
19	Dec_4_2012	45.9	46.39	47.07	47.35			47.08(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	42	-10000	4	157	5.68	61%	0.09	31.9	0.82%	0	0.8	66	0
20	Dec_3_2012	45.86	46.37	46.98	47.28			47.28(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	45	-10000	4	167	9.84	61%	0.09	36.1	0.81%	0	1.1	70	0

21	Nov_30_2012	45.82	46.32	46.79	47.21			47.53(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	-10000	4	161	5.47	61%	0.11	38.5	0.81%	0	1.5	73	0
22	Nov_29_2012	45.77	46.27	46.53	47.14			47.49(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	-10000	10	148	3.91	61%	0.09	42	0.82%	0	1.6	69	0
23	Nov_28_2012	45.73	46.19	46.28	46.95			47.36(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	-10000	10	112	11.79	61%	0.11	35.4	0.82%	0	1.6	57	0
24	Nov_27_2012	45.68	46.11	46.09	46.75			46.75(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	7	79	4.27	59%	0.07	25.7	0.8%	0	0.9	46	0
25	Nov_26_2012	45.65	46.06	45.96	46.63			46.94(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	19	55	7.47	59%		9.9	0.8%	0	1.3	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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