Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 17, 2012

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $47.4000 (0.57%) ($47.1500 - $47.5400) on Wed. Oct. 17, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $47.4000(0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(2%)    TIP(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.75(1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.95(0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.98(0.89%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_17_2012	44.86	46.98	46.95	46.75			47.4(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	7	-10000	11	-6	4.98	69%	0.09	-42	0.78%	0	0.9	54	0
2	Oct_16_2012	44.82	46.98	46.91	46.56			47.13(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-2	-10000	4	-18	3.83	69%	0.04	-46	0.79%	0	0.3	58	0
3	Oct_15_2012	44.8	47	46.86	46.49			46.71(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-15	-10000	-9	-32	3.46	67%	0.09	-44.1	0.79%	0	-0.6	49	0
4	Oct_12_2012	44.76	47.04	46.87	46.65			46.25(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-15	-30	5.72	68%	0.07	-26.9	0.8%	0	-1.6	36	0
5	Oct_11_2012	44.73	47.12	46.93	46.92			46.26(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-14	-10000	-13	-16	5.81	68%	0.07	-3.1	0.8%	0	-1.9	35	0

6	Oct_10_2012	44.7	47.18	47.01	47.17			46.47(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-5	-10000	-6	-2	5.43	68%	0.09	23.6	0.81%	0	-1.7	34	0
7	Oct_9_2012	44.66	47.18	47.03	47.28			46.76(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.3	-1	-10000	1	-8	5.79	68%	0.09	48.2	0.8%	0	-1.1	36	0
8	Oct_8_2012	44.62	47.21	47.04	47.26			47.52(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	8	-14	2.74	74%	0.11	60.9	0.78%	0	0.8	52	0
9	Oct_5_2012	44.57	47.17	47.02	47.11			47.61(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	-10000	9	-29	5.03	74%	0.13	63.2	0.78%	0	1.1	49	0
10	Oct_4_2012	44.51	47.13	47	46.95			47.47(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-9	-10000	5	-50	5.41	74%	0.09	67.4	0.78%	0	0.8	45	0

11	Oct_3_2012	44.47	47.09	47.01	46.85			47.04(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10000	5	-56	3.95	72%	0.07	56.6	0.78%	0	-0.1	43	0
12	Oct_2_2012	44.44	47.02	47.08	46.75			46.67(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-2	-57	4.16	71%	0.07	44	0.78%	0	-0.6	49	0
13	Oct_1_2012	44.41	46.97	47.14	46.78			46.76(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10000	-7	-48	2.69	71%	0.07	47.1	0.78%	0	-0.3	53	0
14	Sep_28_2012	44.38	46.92	47.22	46.91			46.79(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-8	-25	3.64	74%	0.07	49	0.82%	0	-0.2	53	0
15	Sep_27_2012	44.35	46.85	47.32	47.06			46.99(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-10000	-7	1	2.9	74%	0.05	52.4	0.82%	0	0.2	55	0

16	Sep_26_2012	44.33	46.79	47.37	47.2			46.52(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-14	26	3.52	75%	0.07	57.7	0.81%	0	-0.3	53	0
17	Sep_25_2012	44.3	46.74	47.43	47.46			46.84(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-5	72	2.96	69%	0.05	64	0.82%	0	0.1	70	0
18	Sep_24_2012	44.28	46.67	47.42	47.55			47.4(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-10000	-1	99	2.69	73%	0.05	64.5	0.83%	0	0.8	79	0
19	Sep_21_2012	44.26	46.57	47.36	47.58			47.53(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-10000	-1	121	4.71	66%	0.05	64.4	0.83%	0	1	78	0
20	Sep_20_2012	44.24	46.45	47.29	47.61			47.73(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	2	141	3.53	66%	0.05	62.7	0.87%	0	1.3	83	0

21	Sep_19_2012	44.22	46.32	47.17	47.57			47.79(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	-10000	8	157	5.97	66%	0.02	66.5	0.87%	0	1.6	78	0
22	Sep_18_2012	44.21	46.19	46.95	47.4			47.3(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	-10000	6	147	3.27	65%	0.05	66.7	0.87%	0	1.2	77	0
23	Sep_17_2012	44.19	46.08	46.78	47.27			47.53(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	8	143	2.71	65%	0.05	68.1	0.87%	0	1.6	82	0
24	Sep_14_2012	44.17	45.97	46.58	47.11			47.71(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	-10000	9	135	5.23	67%	0.05	73	0.87%	0	2.1	83	0
25	Sep_13_2012	44.15	45.84	46.34	46.92			47.52(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	-10000	9	126	5.86	63%		80.3	0.88%	0	2.3	85	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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