Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 13, 2012

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $47.5200 (1.28%) ($46.7700 - $47.6300) on Thu. Sep. 13, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $47.5200(1.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(2%)    TIP(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.92(1.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.34(2.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.84(3.66%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2012	44.15	45.84	46.34	46.92			47.52(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	-10000	9	126	5.86	63%	0.07	80.3	0.88%	0	2.3	85	0
2	Sep_12_2012	44.12	45.71	46.15	46.73			46.92(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	14	118	4.93	62%	0.07	84.8	0.89%	0	1.9	73	0
3	Sep_11_2012	44.09	45.6	45.99	46.44			46.69(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	12	97	3.09	59%	0.07	76.7	0.9%	0	1.8	73	0
4	Sep_10_2012	44.06	45.49	45.85	46.19			46.71(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10000	11	77	2.94	59%	0.05	69.6	0.92%	0	2.1	72	0
5	Sep_7_2012	44.04	45.39	45.71	45.96			46.78(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	25	-10000	13	60	4.77	59%	0.05	66.1	0.93%	0	2.7	68	0

6	Sep_6_2012	44.02	45.27	45.52	45.68			46.53(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	15	-10000	9	33	5.38	62%	0.05	76.3	0.93%	0	3	68	0
7	Sep_5_2012	44	45.18	45.39	45.49			45.51(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	1	22	6.2	59%	0	101.4	0.92%	0	1	63	0
8	Sep_4_2012	44	45.15	45.36	45.47			45.44(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	2	26	6.22	59%	0.02	122.5	0.93%	0	0.9	64	0
9	Aug_31_2012	43.99	45.1	45.34	45.44			45.55(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	1	30	3.63	52%	0.02	111	1%	0	1.2	68	0
10	Aug_30_2012	43.98	45.04	45.32	45.41			45.36(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	4	39	5.63	50%	0.02	84.1	1%	0	0.7	66	0

11	Aug_29_2012	43.97	44.95	45.31	45.33			45.61(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	3	40	4.01	52%	0.05	67.4	1.02%	0	1.1	71	0
12	Aug_28_2012	43.95	44.85	45.24	45.27			45.39(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	2	38	3.62	52%	0.02	65.9	1.03%	0	0.9	67	0
13	Aug_27_2012	43.94	44.76	45.18	45.23			45.3(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	0	33	2.79	52%	0.02	71.3	1.04%	0	0.9	58	0
14	Aug_24_2012	43.93	44.7	45.12	45.22			45.37(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	-0	35	2.95	52%	0.02	80.6	1.04%	0	1.1	68	0
15	Aug_23_2012	43.92	44.64	45.04	45.23			45(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-2	39	3.53	52%	0	81.6	1.04%	0	0.6	66	0

16	Aug_22_2012	43.92	44.56	45.01	45.28			45.31(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	18	-10000	3	61	3.78	52%	0	67.7	1.03%	0	1	83	0
17	Aug_21_2012	43.92	44.44	44.95	45.2			45.18(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	4	72	3.3	54%	0	53.4	1.03%	0	0.9	83	0
18	Aug_20_2012	43.92	44.33	44.92	45.11			45.24(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	5	83	3.52	54%	0	44.4	1.05%	0	1.1	79	0
19	Aug_17_2012	43.92	44.22	44.85	44.99			45.43(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	7	80	4.58	50%	0.02	40.8	1.06%	0	1.6	67	0
20	Aug_16_2012	43.91	44.13	44.74	44.83			45.26(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	5	67	7.02	50%	0	38.7	1.11%	0	1.6	62	0

21	Aug_15_2012	43.91	44.08	44.56	44.71			44.89(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	2	60	2.31	50%	0	46.1	1.11%	0	1.2	69	0
22	Aug_14_2012	43.91	44.03	44.42	44.67			44.75(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10000	-1	64	3.55	48%	-0.02	53.4	1.11%	0	1.1	73	0
23	Aug_13_2012	43.92	43.97	44.3	44.7			44.64(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	1	76	2.39	48%	0	59.6	1.12%	0	1	71	0
24	Aug_10_2012	43.92	43.91	44.24	44.67			44.62(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	2	88	4.46	48%	0	59.6	1.12%	0	1.1	66	0
25	Aug_9_2012	43.92	43.86	44.2	44.62			44.66(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	10	95	1.72	48%		55.6	1.12%	0	1.3	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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