Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 31, 2012

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $45.5500 (0.42%) ($45.3000 - $45.7500) on Fri. Aug. 31, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $45.5500(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(82%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(2%)    TIP(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.44(0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.34(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.1(1%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20121001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2012	43.99	45.1	45.34	45.44			45.55(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	1	30	3.63	52%	0.02	111	1%	0	1.2	68	0
2	Aug_30_2012	43.98	45.04	45.32	45.41			45.36(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	4	39	5.63	50%	0.02	84.1	1%	0	0.7	66	0
3	Aug_29_2012	43.97	44.95	45.31	45.33			45.61(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	3	40	4.01	52%	0.05	67.4	1.02%	0	1.1	71	0
4	Aug_28_2012	43.95	44.85	45.24	45.27			45.39(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	2	38	3.62	52%	0.02	65.9	1.03%	0	0.9	67	0
5	Aug_27_2012	43.94	44.76	45.18	45.23			45.3(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	0	33	2.79	52%	0.02	71.3	1.04%	0	0.9	58	0

6	Aug_24_2012	43.93	44.7	45.12	45.22			45.37(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	-0	35	2.95	52%	0.02	80.6	1.04%	0	1.1	68	0
7	Aug_23_2012	43.92	44.64	45.04	45.23			45(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-2	39	3.53	52%	0	81.6	1.04%	0	0.6	66	0
8	Aug_22_2012	43.92	44.56	45.01	45.28			45.31(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	18	-10000	3	61	3.78	52%	0	67.7	1.03%	0	1	83	0
9	Aug_21_2012	43.92	44.44	44.95	45.2			45.18(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	4	72	3.3	54%	0	53.4	1.03%	0	0.9	83	0
10	Aug_20_2012	43.92	44.33	44.92	45.11			45.24(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	5	83	3.52	54%	0	44.4	1.05%	0	1.1	79	0

11	Aug_17_2012	43.92	44.22	44.85	44.99			45.43(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-10000	7	80	4.58	50%	0.02	40.8	1.06%	0	1.6	67	0
12	Aug_16_2012	43.91	44.13	44.74	44.83			45.26(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	5	67	7.02	50%	0	38.7	1.11%	0	1.6	62	0
13	Aug_15_2012	43.91	44.08	44.56	44.71			44.89(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	2	60	2.31	50%	0	46.1	1.11%	0	1.2	69	0
14	Aug_14_2012	43.91	44.03	44.42	44.67			44.75(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10000	-1	64	3.55	48%	-0.02	53.4	1.11%	0	1.1	73	0
15	Aug_13_2012	43.92	43.97	44.3	44.7			44.64(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	1	76	2.39	48%	0	59.6	1.12%	0	1	71	0

16	Aug_10_2012	43.92	43.91	44.24	44.67			44.62(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	2	88	4.46	48%	0	59.6	1.12%	0	1.1	66	0
17	Aug_9_2012	43.92	43.86	44.2	44.62			44.66(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	10	95	1.72	48%	0	55.6	1.12%	0	1.3	57	0
18	Aug_8_2012	43.92	43.77	44.08	44.38			44.69(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	11	71	4.02	47%	0	38	1.12%	0	1.5	52	0
19	Aug_7_2012	43.92	43.68	43.89	44.11			44.91(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	18	-10000	11	39	6.25	47%	0	21.8	1.13%	0	2.1	56	0
20	Aug_6_2012	43.92	43.6	43.68	43.84			44.49(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	4	-10000	3	8	5.42	47%	0.02	4.3	1.13%	0	1.7	55	0

21	Aug_3_2012	43.91	43.54	43.54	43.76			44.33(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-0	-10000	0	-1	7.65	45%	-0.02	-1.9	1.15%	0	1.7	58	0
22	Aug_2_2012	43.92	43.51	43.47	43.75			43.47(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	0	0	7.21	42%	-0.02	5.8	1.13%	0	-0.1	49	0
23	Aug_1_2012	43.93	43.53	43.54	43.74			43.36(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	8	-10000	5	16	7.89	42%	-0.02	14.2	1.13%	0	-0.4	55	0
24	Jul_31_2012	43.94	43.56	43.6	43.62			43.54(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	-10000	6	19	5.9	42%	0	13.2	1.14%	0	-0	56	0
25	Jul_30_2012	43.94	43.57	43.63	43.47			44.11(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	10	-10000	8	16	7.8	43%		16.7	1.13%	0	1.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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