Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 30, 2012

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $43.1900 (-1.57%) ($43.0700 - $43.5100) on Wed. May. 30, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $43.1900(-1.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(83%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(75%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(2%)    TIP(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $43.77
5 Day Moving Average   $43.37(-0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.05(0.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.77(-1.33%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   2.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.38% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120630

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_30_2012	43.48	43.77	43.05	43.37			43.19(-1.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-7	-10000	2	-34	7.29	51%	0.07	-48.7	0.97%	0	-0.6	40	0
2	May_29_2012	43.45	43.9	43.08	43.32			43.88(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	11	-47	12.33	53%	0.16	-39.6	0.95%	0	-0	43	0
3	May_25_2012	43.38	43.97	43.04	43.09			43.28(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	12	-85	6.1	51%	0.07	-37.1	0.93%	0	-0.6	31	0
4	May_24_2012	43.35	44.1	43.12	42.84			43.35(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	10	-115	7.89	51%	0.09	-38.3	0.94%	0	-0.6	31	0
5	May_23_2012	43.31	44.2	43.21	42.63			43.15(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-42	-10000	-3	-160	6.64	51%	0.09	-40.9	0.93%	0	-0.9	23	0

6	May_22_2012	43.27	44.28	43.3	42.7			42.92(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-51	-10000	-6	-184	9.21	51%	0	-41.3	0.93%	0	-1.1	18	0
7	May_21_2012	43.27	44.34	43.44	42.82			42.75(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-56	-10000	-9	-198	8.34	51%	0.09	-43.6	0.93%	0	-1.4	20	0
8	May_18_2012	43.23	44.43	43.65	43			42.01(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-68	-10000	-22	-207	9.49	49%	0.05	-42.9	0.91%	0	-2.2	15	0
9	May_17_2012	43.21	44.57	43.95	43.44			42.33(-2.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-61	-10000	-20	-185	15.52	49%	0.09	-37	0.91%	0	-2.4	15	0
10	May_16_2012	43.17	44.7	44.29	43.84			43.48(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-10000	-8	-155	8.18	53%	0.09	-30.5	0.85%	0	-1.5	31	0

11	May_15_2012	43.13	44.77	44.55	43.98			43.55(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-8	-126	9.83	53%	0.02	-23	0.85%	0	-1.6	41	0
12	May_14_2012	43.12	44.85	44.79	44.14			43.62(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-14	-89	11.69	53%	0.09	-9.1	0.86%	0	-1.8	50	0
13	May_11_2012	43.08	44.9	45	44.4			44.24(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-7	-48	8.1	56%	0.14	-0.7	0.83%	0	-1	54	0
14	May_10_2012	43.02	44.92	45.16	44.53			44.33(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-16	-22	7.81	56%	0.14	2.2	0.84%	0	-1	49	0
15	May_9_2012	42.96	44.94	45.27	44.83			44.18(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-10000	-20	13	11.15	56%	0.14	15	0.84%	0	-1.2	49	0

16	May_8_2012	42.9	44.95	45.27	45.22			44.35(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-0	-10000	-16	47	12.21	56%	0.16	23.8	0.84%	0	-0.9	46	0
17	May_7_2012	42.83	44.91	45.34	45.53			44.89(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	11	-10000	-8	68	7.75	59%	0.16	25.8	0.83%	0	-0	51	0
18	May_4_2012	42.76	44.9	45.28	45.68			44.91(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	12	-10000	-10	79	10	59%	0.16	27.9	0.82%	0	0	57	0
19	May_3_2012	42.69	44.91	45.26	45.87			45.8(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	6	110	5.03	66%	0.19	37	0.79%	0	1.3	63	0
20	May_2_2012	42.61	44.85	45.14	45.77			46.16(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	15	103	9.65	66%	0.19	33.3	0.81%	0	2	65	0

21	May_1_2012	42.53	44.78	45.01	45.49			45.91(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	-10000	21	94	7.76	66%	0.16	23.5	0.81%	0	1.9	68	0
22	Apr_30_2012	42.46	44.74	44.9	45.11			45.61(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	16	81	6.95	66%	0.17	5	0.8%	0	1.6	71	0
23	Apr_27_2012	42.39	44.71	44.77	44.82			45.87(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	23	-10000	14	51	8.14	66%	0.17	-7	0.8%	0	2.3	59	0
24	Apr_26_2012	42.32	44.65	44.63	44.57			45.31(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	11	-10000	8	19	5.78	65%	0.14	-21.2	0.79%	0	1.5	51	0
25	Apr_25_2012	42.26	44.63	44.55	44.43			44.75(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-1	-10000	-2	1	7.9	63%		-29.8	0.78%	0	0.3	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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