Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 29, 2012

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $43.8800 (1.39%) ($43.4300 - $43.9600) on Tue. May. 29, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $43.8800(1.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(83%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(75%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    GLD(2%)    TIP(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $43.9
5 Day Moving Average   $43.32(1.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.08(1.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.9(-0.05%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120629

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_29_2012	43.45	43.9	43.08	43.32			43.88(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-10000	11	-47	12.33	53%	0.16	-39.6	0.95%	0	-0	43	0
2	May_25_2012	43.38	43.97	43.04	43.09			43.28(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	12	-85	6.1	51%	0.07	-37.1	0.93%	0	-0.6	31	0
3	May_24_2012	43.35	44.1	43.12	42.84			43.35(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	10	-115	7.89	51%	0.09	-38.3	0.94%	0	-0.6	31	0
4	May_23_2012	43.31	44.2	43.21	42.63			43.15(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-42	-10000	-3	-160	6.64	51%	0.09	-40.9	0.93%	0	-0.9	23	0
5	May_22_2012	43.27	44.28	43.3	42.7			42.92(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-51	-10000	-6	-184	9.21	51%	0	-41.3	0.93%	0	-1.1	18	0

6	May_21_2012	43.27	44.34	43.44	42.82			42.75(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-56	-10000	-9	-198	8.34	51%	0.09	-43.6	0.93%	0	-1.4	20	0
7	May_18_2012	43.23	44.43	43.65	43			42.01(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-68	-10000	-22	-207	9.49	49%	0.05	-42.9	0.91%	0	-2.2	15	0
8	May_17_2012	43.21	44.57	43.95	43.44			42.33(-2.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-61	-10000	-20	-185	15.52	49%	0.09	-37	0.91%	0	-2.4	15	0
9	May_16_2012	43.17	44.7	44.29	43.84			43.48(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-10000	-8	-155	8.18	53%	0.09	-30.5	0.85%	0	-1.5	31	0
10	May_15_2012	43.13	44.77	44.55	43.98			43.55(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-8	-126	9.83	53%	0.02	-23	0.85%	0	-1.6	41	0

11	May_14_2012	43.12	44.85	44.79	44.14			43.62(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-14	-89	11.69	53%	0.09	-9.1	0.86%	0	-1.8	50	0
12	May_11_2012	43.08	44.9	45	44.4			44.24(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-7	-48	8.1	56%	0.14	-0.7	0.83%	0	-1	54	0
13	May_10_2012	43.02	44.92	45.16	44.53			44.33(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-16	-22	7.81	56%	0.14	2.2	0.84%	0	-1	49	0
14	May_9_2012	42.96	44.94	45.27	44.83			44.18(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-12	-10000	-20	13	11.15	56%	0.14	15	0.84%	0	-1.2	49	0
15	May_8_2012	42.9	44.95	45.27	45.22			44.35(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-0	-10000	-16	47	12.21	56%	0.16	23.8	0.84%	0	-0.9	46	0

16	May_7_2012	42.83	44.91	45.34	45.53			44.89(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	11	-10000	-8	68	7.75	59%	0.16	25.8	0.83%	0	-0	51	0
17	May_4_2012	42.76	44.9	45.28	45.68			44.91(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	12	-10000	-10	79	10	59%	0.16	27.9	0.82%	0	0	57	0
18	May_3_2012	42.69	44.91	45.26	45.87			45.8(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	6	110	5.03	66%	0.19	37	0.79%	0	1.3	63	0
19	May_2_2012	42.61	44.85	45.14	45.77			46.16(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	15	103	9.65	66%	0.19	33.3	0.81%	0	2	65	0
20	May_1_2012	42.53	44.78	45.01	45.49			45.91(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	-10000	21	94	7.76	66%	0.16	23.5	0.81%	0	1.9	68	0

21	Apr_30_2012	42.46	44.74	44.9	45.11			45.61(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	16	81	6.95	66%	0.17	5	0.8%	0	1.6	71	0
22	Apr_27_2012	42.39	44.71	44.77	44.82			45.87(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	23	-10000	14	51	8.14	66%	0.17	-7	0.8%	0	2.3	59	0
23	Apr_26_2012	42.32	44.65	44.63	44.57			45.31(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	11	-10000	8	19	5.78	65%	0.14	-21.2	0.79%	0	1.5	51	0
24	Apr_25_2012	42.26	44.63	44.55	44.43			44.75(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-1	-10000	-2	1	7.9	63%	0.14	-29.8	0.78%	0	0.3	50	0
25	Apr_24_2012	42.2	44.65	44.49	44.46			44.01(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-11	-15	8.88	60%		-20.2	0.76%	0	-1.5	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.