Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 17, 2012

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $42.9600 (0.87%) ($42.7000 - $43.0300) on Fri. Feb. 17, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $42.9600(0.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(85%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(83%)    IWM(78%)    PEJ(75%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.64(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.52(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.02(2.24%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.4% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2012	39.32	42.02	42.52	42.64			42.96(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	24	-10000	6	76	3.37	67%	0.2	73.6	1.02%	0	1.6	79	0
2	Feb_16_2012	39.24	41.93	42.44	42.51			42.59(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	0	73	4.97	67%	0.15	78.6	1.05%	0	1.2	72	0
3	Feb_15_2012	39.18	41.87	42.33	42.5			42.41(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	-0	72	4.97	67%	0.15	89.3	1.08%	0	1	70	0
4	Feb_14_2012	39.12	41.81	42.25	42.51			42.6(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	2	74	3.85	67%	0.15	89.6	1.08%	0	1.3	72	0
5	Feb_13_2012	39.06	41.71	42.12	42.47			42.65(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	-10000	4	74	4.84	67%	0.18	95.7	1.08%	0	1.6	77	0

6	Feb_10_2012	38.99	41.59	41.99	42.37			42.31(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	0	67	3.18	71%	0.21	91.7	1.12%	0	1.2	76	0
7	Feb_9_2012	38.91	41.5	41.91	42.36			42.54(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	-10000	9	74	4.13	61%	0.15	92.6	1.12%	0	1.7	81	0
8	Feb_8_2012	38.85	41.39	41.8	42.14			42.47(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	8	54	4.26	61%	0.13	87.3	1.22%	0	1.7	67	0
9	Feb_7_2012	38.8	41.28	41.7	41.93			42.37(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	8	46	9.41	61%	0.13	87.2	1.22%	0	1.8	72	0
10	Feb_6_2012	38.75	41.16	41.58	41.72			42.17(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	6	41	2.59	61%	0.13	85.8	1.22%	0	1.7	77	0

11	Feb_3_2012	38.7	41.05	41.48	41.56			42.26(2.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	15	-10000	7	39	5.56	61%	0.13	86.3	1.22%	0	2	80	0
12	Feb_2_2012	38.65	40.94	41.36	41.39			41.41(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	8	-10000	-1	34	3.61	58%	0.1	92.8	1.21%	0	0.8	72	0
13	Feb_1_2012	38.61	40.85	41.37	41.41			41.46(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-10000	-1	49	5.63	58%	0.16	89.5	1.21%	0	1	75	0
14	Jan_31_2012	38.55	40.75	41.33	41.43			41.32(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	1	60	3.41	58%	0.13	84.4	1.25%	0	0.8	74	0
15	Jan_30_2012	38.5	40.64	41.26	41.41			41.33(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	2	66	4.95	58%	0.16	86.8	1.26%	0	1	77	0

16	Jan_27_2012	38.44	40.54	41.17	41.37			41.45(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	2	68	3.38	62%	0.16	81.6	1.27%	0	1.2	78	0
17	Jan_26_2012	38.38	40.41	41.07	41.31			41.48(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	-0	67	3.74	62%	0.1	80.1	1.31%	0	1.4	80	0
18	Jan_25_2012	38.34	40.3	40.96	41.32			41.55(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	22	-10000	3	77	4.08	62%	0.16	88.1	1.31%	0	1.5	84	0
19	Jan_24_2012	38.28	40.18	40.83	41.24			41.25(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	25	-10000	6	83	2.82	62%	0.08	96.9	1.34%	0	1.4	85	0
20	Jan_23_2012	38.25	40.06	40.71	41.08			41.13(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	5	84	2.93	62%	0.16	98.4	1.35%	0	1.4	86	0

21	Jan_20_2012	38.19	39.94	40.6	40.93			41.16(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	5	82	6.03	66%	0.1	98.9	1.39%	0	1.6	79	0
22	Jan_19_2012	38.15	39.8	40.48	40.79			41.5(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	28	-10000	8	87	3.95	66%	0.1	95.2	1.39%	0	2.3	88	0
23	Jan_18_2012	38.11	39.6	40.29	40.55			41.14(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	6	77	4.47	66%	0.11	82.8	1.4%	0	2.2	75	0
24	Jan_17_2012	38.07	39.44	40.11	40.37			40.49(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	4	68	2.36	64%	0.13	70.3	1.41%	0	1.6	71	0
25	Jan_13_2012	38.02	39.32	39.97	40.27			40.38(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	2	65	3.42	64%		49.8	1.44%	0	1.3	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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