Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 13, 2011

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $36.2600 (1.17%) ($35.6700 - $36.3800) on Tue. Sep. 13, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.06% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $36.2600(1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(86%)    XLK(85%)    QQQ(83%)    IWM(79%)    PEJ(76%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -1.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-1%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.03% (StdDev 2.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.16(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.45(-0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.05(0.58%)
To recent high   -12.9%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.66% (three month std-dev: 2.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2011	38.71	36.05	36.45	36.16			36.26(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	2	1	8.31	47%	-0.08	13.5	2.06%	0	0.2	56	0
2	Sep_12_2011	38.74	36.06	36.54	36.09			35.84(1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-1	19	8.87	47%	-0.08	23.4	2.05%	0	-0.2	62	0
3	Sep_9_2011	38.77	36.07	36.58	36.14			35.42(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-9	34	11.12	47%	-0.13	23.8	2.06%	0	-0.7	61	0
4	Sep_8_2011	38.82	36.09	36.6	36.48			36.38(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-6	58	7.43	48%	-0.1	30.8	2.04%	0	0.3	63	0
5	Sep_7_2011	38.86	35.99	36.58	36.71			36.88(2.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	-3	70	8.55	48%	-0.05	17.1	2.03%	0	0.8	52	0

6	Sep_6_2011	38.88	35.92	36.45	36.81			35.95(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-10000	-6	69	8.78	46%	-0.08	10.1	2.01%	0	0	48	0
7	Sep_2_2011	38.91	35.84	36.29	37.05			36.06(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	17	-10000	-0	67	12.26	45%	-0.08	-6.3	2%	0	0.2	47	0
8	Sep_1_2011	38.94	35.85	36.12	37.06			37.11(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	9	58	9.82	45%	-0.05	-19.7	1.97%	0	1.2	55	0
9	Aug_31_2011	38.96	35.8	35.86	36.72			37.57(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	8	33	8.41	45%	-0.05	-39.8	1.98%	0	1.5	60	0
10	Aug_30_2011	38.98	35.81	35.71	36.42			37.34(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	10	38	13.72	45%	-0.03	-52.5	1.98%	0	1.3	67	0

11	Aug_29_2011	38.99	35.82	35.59	36.05			37.17(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	17	29	9.91	45%	-0.05	-61.6	2%	0	1	56	0
12	Aug_26_2011	39.01	35.9	35.51	35.44			36.12(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	12	18	11	44%	-0.1	-69.1	1.96%	0	0.1	60	0
13	Aug_25_2011	39.05	36.06	35.49	35.03			35.38(-1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10000	5	-7	11.6	42%	-0.1	-71.9	1.95%	0	-0.4	47	0
14	Aug_24_2011	39.09	36.27	35.51	34.86			36.1(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-7	-10000	-1	-23	10.34	43%	-0.08	-71.3	1.93%	0	-0.1	49	0
15	Aug_23_2011	39.12	36.45	35.32	34.91			35.47(3.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-10000	-6	-55	9.89	43%	-0.1	-65.8	1.92%	0	-0.5	40	0

16	Aug_22_2011	39.16	36.7	35.34	35.1			34.15(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-15	-71	10.97	39%	-0.15	-59.9	1.85%	0	-1.1	36	0
17	Aug_19_2011	39.22	37.02	35.35	35.59			34.05(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10000	-12	-90	15.12	39%	-0.13	-51.7	1.85%	0	-1.3	32	0
18	Aug_18_2011	39.27	37.37	35.59	35.99			34.55(-4.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-7	-96	17.19	40%	-0.1	-46.2	1.85%	0	-1.2	32	0
19	Aug_17_2011	39.31	37.69	35.78	36.21			36.35(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	-10000	14	-111	9.7	43%	-0.08	-43.8	1.76%	0	-0.6	36	0
20	Aug_16_2011	39.34	37.89	35.93	35.76			36.4(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-35	-10000	5	-153	9.13	42%	-0.05	-48.8	1.76%	0	-0.6	35	0

21	Aug_15_2011	39.36	38.1	36.06	35.61			36.6(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-33	-10000	16	-180	21.47	42%	-0.05	-50.5	1.76%	0	-0.6	33	0
22	Aug_12_2011	39.38	38.27	36.31	35.1			36.07(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-58	-10000	-2	-225	10.72	43%	-0.08	-57.8	1.75%	0	-0.9	31	0
23	Aug_11_2011	39.41	38.48	36.64	35.16			35.63(4.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-63	-10000	-5	-237	19.36	42%	-0.08	-60.8	1.75%	0	-1.2	28	0
24	Aug_10_2011	39.44	38.72	37.04	35.31			34.12(-4.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-87	-10000	-28	-264	23.24	39%	-0.08	-64.2	1.65%	0	-2.1	19	0
25	Aug_9_2011	39.47	39.06	37.64	36.13			35.64(4.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-70	-10000	-16	-233	25.26	42%		-63.5	1.59%	0	-1.7	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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