Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 15, 2011

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $40.2900 (0.05%) ($40.0000 - $40.4700) on Fri. Jul. 15, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $40.2900(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(0%)    GLD(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.42(-0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.81(-1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.98(0.78%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.7% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2011	39.42	39.98	40.81	40.42			40.29(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-11	56	15.67	55%	0.03	55.2	0.98%	0	0.3	71	0
2	Jul_14_2011	39.41	39.86	40.82	40.63			40.27(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10000	-13	93	6.05	55%	0.05	53.7	0.98%	0	0.4	65	0
3	Jul_13_2011	39.39	39.75	40.79	40.9			40.58(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	-10000	-5	139	6.12	55%	0.05	56.4	0.98%	0	0.7	69	0
4	Jul_12_2011	39.37	39.65	40.72	41			40.37(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	34	-10000	-8	160	9.49	55%	0.03	58.8	0.98%	0	0.6	64	0
5	Jul_11_2011	39.36	39.52	40.6	41.16			40.57(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	44	-10000	-5	192	9.97	55%	0	58.6	0.97%	0	0.8	71	0

6	Jul_8_2011	39.36	39.39	40.42	41.25			41.37(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	66	-10000	12	228	6.18	59%	0.05	57	0.94%	0	1.5	81	0
7	Jul_7_2011	39.34	39.24	40.17	41.02			41.62(1.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	71	-10000	18	231	7.87	59%	0.05	52.4	0.94%	0	2	84	0
8	Jul_6_2011	39.32	39.07	39.88	40.67			41.05(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	65	-10000	14	218	5.56	57%	0.03	44.3	0.93%	0	1.8	81	0
9	Jul_5_2011	39.31	38.93	39.67	40.41			41.2(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	71	-10000	24	210	11.84	57%	0.05	33.1	0.93%	0	2.3	73	0
10	Jul_1_2011	39.29	38.78	39.37	39.96			41.02(2.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	67	-10000	28	183	9.65	57%	0.05	15.9	0.92%	0	2.7	76	0

11	Jun_30_2011	39.27	38.67	39.05	39.46			40.21(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	-10000	16	142	9.23	55%	0.03	-8.5	0.88%	0	2.3	72	0
12	Jun_29_2011	39.26	38.61	38.81	39.19			39.89(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	-10000	13	104	12.87	55%	0.03	-24.1	0.89%	0	2.1	60	0
13	Jun_28_2011	39.25	38.58	38.61	38.96			39.71(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	7	75	14.88	53%	0.03	-32.4	0.89%	0	1.7	61	0
14	Jun_27_2011	39.24	38.6	38.47	38.83			38.97(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	9	64	5.41	50%	0.03	-36.3	0.87%	0	0.6	53	0
15	Jun_24_2011	39.23	38.65	38.35	38.68			38.5(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	7	40	9.97	51%	0	-38.6	0.86%	0	-0.2	50	0

16	Jun_23_2011	39.23	38.72	38.29	38.57			38.88(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	13	13	12.55	52%	0.05	-43.1	0.87%	0	0.2	48	0
17	Jun_22_2011	39.21	38.76	38.25	38.36			38.74(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	10	-23	7.58	52%	0.03	-54.5	0.87%	0	-0	42	0
18	Jun_21_2011	39.2	38.8	38.2	38.19			39.04(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-11	-10000	7	-63	12.65	55%	0.05	-60.6	0.87%	0	0.3	43	0
19	Jun_20_2011	39.18	38.84	38.13	38.08			38.26(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	-10000	6	-107	5.1	52%	0.03	-62.9	0.86%	0	-0.7	27	0
20	Jun_17_2011	39.17	38.93	38.15	37.99			37.95(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-36	-10000	1	-148	10.87	52%	0	-65.8	0.85%	0	-1.1	28	0

21	Jun_16_2011	39.17	39.07	38.25	37.97			37.8(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-10000	-9	-175	8.54	49%	-0.03	-65.1	0.85%	0	-1.4	28	0
22	Jun_15_2011	39.18	39.2	38.4	38.12			37.89(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-10000	-4	-160	19.88	49%	0	-61.3	0.88%	0	-1.4	34	0
23	Jun_14_2011	39.18	39.32	38.56	38.19			38.48(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-41	-10000	-1	-161	9.3	49%	0.03	-66.4	0.86%	0	-0.9	37	0
24	Jun_13_2011	39.17	39.4	38.74	38.21			37.81(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-10000	-9	-158	9.56	46%	0	-70	0.85%	0	-1.8	27	0
25	Jun_10_2011	39.17	39.54	38.97	38.35			37.86(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-10000	-13	-151	9.62	44%		-68.6	0.85%	0	-2	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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