Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $41.0200 (2.01%) ($40.1900 - $41.0800) on Fri. Jul. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $41.0200(2.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.96(2.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.37(4.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.78(5.78%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.14% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2011	39.29	38.78	39.37	39.96			41.02(2.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	67	-10000	28	183	9.65	57%	0.05	15.9	0.92%	0	2.7	76	0
2	Jun_30_2011	39.27	38.67	39.05	39.46			40.21(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	-10000	16	142	9.23	55%	0.03	-8.5	0.88%	0	2.3	72	0
3	Jun_29_2011	39.26	38.61	38.81	39.19			39.89(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	36	-10000	13	104	12.87	55%	0.03	-24.1	0.89%	0	2.1	60	0
4	Jun_28_2011	39.25	38.58	38.61	38.96			39.71(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	7	75	14.88	53%	0.03	-32.4	0.89%	0	1.7	61	0
5	Jun_27_2011	39.24	38.6	38.47	38.83			38.97(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	9	64	5.41	50%	0.03	-36.3	0.87%	0	0.6	53	0

6	Jun_24_2011	39.23	38.65	38.35	38.68			38.5(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	7	40	9.97	51%	0	-38.6	0.86%	0	-0.2	50	0
7	Jun_23_2011	39.23	38.72	38.29	38.57			38.88(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	13	13	12.55	52%	0.05	-43.1	0.87%	0	0.2	48	0
8	Jun_22_2011	39.21	38.76	38.25	38.36			38.74(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	10	-23	7.58	52%	0.03	-54.5	0.87%	0	-0	42	0
9	Jun_21_2011	39.2	38.8	38.2	38.19			39.04(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-11	-10000	7	-63	12.65	55%	0.05	-60.6	0.87%	0	0.3	43	0
10	Jun_20_2011	39.18	38.84	38.13	38.08			38.26(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	-10000	6	-107	5.1	52%	0.03	-62.9	0.86%	0	-0.7	27	0

11	Jun_17_2011	39.17	38.93	38.15	37.99			37.95(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-36	-10000	1	-148	10.87	52%	0	-65.8	0.85%	0	-1.1	28	0
12	Jun_16_2011	39.17	39.07	38.25	37.97			37.8(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-10000	-9	-175	8.54	49%	-0.03	-65.1	0.85%	0	-1.4	28	0
13	Jun_15_2011	39.18	39.2	38.4	38.12			37.89(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-10000	-4	-160	19.88	49%	0	-61.3	0.88%	0	-1.4	34	0
14	Jun_14_2011	39.18	39.32	38.56	38.19			38.48(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-41	-10000	-1	-161	9.3	49%	0.03	-66.4	0.86%	0	-0.9	37	0
15	Jun_13_2011	39.17	39.4	38.74	38.21			37.81(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-46	-10000	-9	-158	9.56	46%	0	-70	0.85%	0	-1.8	27	0

16	Jun_10_2011	39.17	39.54	38.97	38.35			37.86(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-10000	-13	-151	9.62	44%	0	-68.6	0.85%	0	-2	25	0
17	Jun_9_2011	39.17	39.69	39.2	38.56			38.57(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-44	-10000	-11	-144	5.67	47%	0.03	-63.9	0.83%	0	-1.5	26	0
18	Jun_8_2011	39.16	39.79	39.31	38.73			38.25(-0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-48	-10000	-16	-144	10.02	45%	0	-60.2	0.83%	0	-2.1	23	0
19	Jun_7_2011	39.16	39.92	39.47	38.99			38.55(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-10000	-23	-131	5.01	43%	0	-53.5	0.83%	0	-2	34	0
20	Jun_6_2011	39.16	40.02	39.61	39.36			38.51(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-39	-10000	-20	-95	5.19	43%	0	-46.7	0.84%	0	-2.5	35	0

21	Jun_3_2011	39.16	40.11	39.79	39.69			38.92(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-27	-10000	-14	-67	7.26	49%	0.03	-41	0.83%	0	-2.4	33	0
22	Jun_2_2011	39.15	40.19	39.97	39.92			39.43(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-14	-10000	-4	-43	7.91	51%	0.05	-39	0.85%	0	-1.9	33	0
23	Jun_1_2011	39.13	40.24	40.08	39.98			39.52(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-2	-38	12.63	48%	0.05	-40.4	0.85%	0	-2	41	0
24	May_31_2011	39.11	40.29	40.14	40.01			40.44(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-7	-10000	7	-48	5.99	56%	0.1	-35.4	0.78%	0	0.5	44	0
25	May_27_2011	39.07	40.3	40.1	39.9			40.16(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-17	-10000	-1	-65	4.27	52%		-32.9	0.83%	0	-0.4	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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