Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 7, 2011

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $38.5500 (0.1%) ($38.5500 - $38.9700) on Tue. Jun. 7, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $38.5500(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(0%)    GLD(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.08(-6.41%)
Resistance Level   $39.92
5 Day Moving Average   $38.99(-1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.47(-2.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.92(-3.43%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2011	39.16	39.92	39.47	38.99			38.55(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-50	-10000	-23	-131	5.01	43%	0	-53.5	0.83%	0	-2	34	0
2	Jun_6_2011	39.16	40.02	39.61	39.36			38.51(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-39	-10000	-20	-95	5.19	43%	0	-46.7	0.84%	0	-2.5	35	0
3	Jun_3_2011	39.16	40.11	39.79	39.69			38.92(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-27	-10000	-14	-67	7.26	49%	0.03	-41	0.83%	0	-2.4	33	0
4	Jun_2_2011	39.15	40.19	39.97	39.92			39.43(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-14	-10000	-4	-43	7.91	51%	0.05	-39	0.85%	0	-1.9	33	0
5	Jun_1_2011	39.13	40.24	40.08	39.98			39.52(-2.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-2	-38	12.63	48%	0.05	-40.4	0.85%	0	-2	41	0

6	May_31_2011	39.11	40.29	40.14	40.01			40.44(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-7	-10000	7	-48	5.99	56%	0.1	-35.4	0.78%	0	0.5	44	0
7	May_27_2011	39.07	40.3	40.1	39.9			40.16(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-17	-10000	-1	-65	4.27	52%	0.08	-32.9	0.83%	0	-0.4	48	0
8	May_26_2011	39.04	40.32	40.13	39.92			40.06(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-21	-10000	-7	-61	6.69	52%	0.05	-23.2	0.84%	0	-0.8	48	0
9	May_25_2011	39.02	40.34	40.21	40.04			39.7(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-10000	-10	-43	5.65	52%	0.05	-1.2	0.84%	0	-1.9	44	0
10	May_24_2011	39	40.38	40.29	40.21			39.69(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-9	-10000	-4	-23	4.82	52%	0.05	35.1	0.85%	0	-2.2	43	0

11	May_23_2011	38.98	40.4	40.41	40.28			39.89(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-4	-10000	-2	-9	5.36	49%	0.05	61.1	0.85%	0	-1.8	44	0
12	May_20_2011	38.96	40.41	40.41	40.31			40.27(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-3	-11	6.41	47%	0.08	79.1	0.91%	0	-0.5	44	0
13	May_19_2011	38.93	40.39	40.46	40.37			40.66(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-4	-10000	-2	-9	4.29	49%	0.08	94.4	0.91%	0	0.9	51	0
14	May_18_2011	38.9	40.35	40.42	40.41			40.53(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-3	-10000	0	-10	6.41	49%	0.1	98.7	0.91%	0	0.6	49	0
15	May_17_2011	38.86	40.28	40.41	40.4			40.06(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-9	-16	16.37	46%	0.05	72	0.9%	0	-0.5	45	0

16	May_16_2011	38.84	40.23	40.45	40.56			40.02(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-10000	-3	9	8.78	48%	0.03	68.2	0.9%	0	-0.4	54	0
17	May_13_2011	38.83	40.19	40.45	40.62			40.56(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10000	3	31	5.19	50%	0.08	69.1	0.88%	0	0.7	64	0
18	May_12_2011	38.8	40.12	40.52	40.57			40.87(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	7	38	7.69	50%	0.1	60	0.88%	0	1.3	68	0
19	May_11_2011	38.76	40.04	40.49	40.44			40.47(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	1	38	4.93	50%	0.05	52.6	0.88%	0	0.7	68	0
20	May_10_2011	38.74	39.97	40.48	40.42			40.86(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	19	-10000	5	60	5.04	52%	0.1	46.2	0.88%	0	1.4	84	0

21	May_9_2011	38.7	39.88	40.39	40.34			40.34(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	-10000	-4	68	4.28	50%	0.08	41.9	0.86%	0	0.7	82	0
22	May_6_2011	38.67	39.81	40.35	40.41			40.29(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-10000	-3	86	5.86	52%	0.08	43	0.87%	0	0.8	70	0
23	May_5_2011	38.64	39.76	40.32	40.47			40.26(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-10000	-3	107	8.07	52%	0.08	47.5	0.87%	0	0.8	72	0
24	May_4_2011	38.61	39.72	40.27	40.53			40.37(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	-10000	-0	124	10.79	52%	0.08	53.8	0.88%	0	1	72	0
25	May_3_2011	38.58	39.67	40.14	40.54			40.46(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	-10000	6	131	6.64	54%		62.3	0.88%	0	1.3	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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