Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 9, 2011

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $40.3400 (0.12%) ($40.1800 - $40.5000) on Mon. May. 9, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $40.3400(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.34(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.39(-0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.88(1.15%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110609

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_9_2011	38.7	39.88	40.39	40.34			40.34(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	-10000	-4	68	4.28	50%	0.08	41.9	0.86%	0	0.7	82	0
2	May_6_2011	38.67	39.81	40.35	40.41			40.29(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-10000	-3	86	5.86	52%	0.08	43	0.87%	0	0.8	70	0
3	May_5_2011	38.64	39.76	40.32	40.47			40.26(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-10000	-3	107	8.07	52%	0.08	47.5	0.87%	0	0.8	72	0
4	May_4_2011	38.61	39.72	40.27	40.53			40.37(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	-10000	-0	124	10.79	52%	0.08	53.8	0.88%	0	1	72	0
5	May_3_2011	38.58	39.67	40.14	40.54			40.46(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	-10000	6	131	6.64	54%	0.08	62.3	0.88%	0	1.3	75	0

6	May_2_2011	38.55	39.62	39.99	40.44			40.69(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	9	121	9.34	54%	0.08	68.8	0.89%	0	1.9	78	0
7	Apr_29_2011	38.52	39.54	39.84	40.27			40.55(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	7	111	10.41	56%	0.1	71.2	0.88%	0	1.9	77	0
8	Apr_28_2011	38.48	39.46	39.69	40.14			40.58(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	-10000	10	98	6.07	50%	0.08	74.8	0.89%	0	2.4	70	0
9	Apr_27_2011	38.45	39.39	39.54	39.97			40.42(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	-10000	15	72	6.46	52%	0.08	89.9	0.99%	0	2.6	64	0
10	Apr_26_2011	38.42	39.3	39.4	39.68			39.94(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	11	41	7.02	50%	0.05	95.2	0.98%	0	1.9	56	0

11	Apr_25_2011	38.4	39.23	39.31	39.47			39.87(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	6	16	4.21	50%	0.1	77.5	0.98%	0	1.8	58	0
12	Apr_21_2011	38.36	39.18	39.22	39.35			39.91(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	8	-10000	9	4	4.33	50%	0.08	90.5	0.97%	0	2.2	60	0
13	Apr_20_2011	38.33	39.11	39.15	39.18			39.69(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	2	-10000	6	-9	8.63	50%	0.1	87.4	0.97%	0	1.7	62	0
14	Apr_19_2011	38.29	39.04	39.12	39.07			38.99(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-1	-19	4.47	45%	0.05	75.5	0.95%	0	-0.1	46	0
15	Apr_18_2011	38.27	38.99	39.17	39.08			38.9(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-2	-8	9	45%	0.08	65.5	0.96%	0	-0.2	55	0

16	Apr_15_2011	38.24	38.96	39.17	39.11			39.25(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	2	11	6.46	45%	0.03	54.9	0.95%	0	0.6	70	0
17	Apr_14_2011	38.23	38.88	39.22	39.07			39.06(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-10000	-3	13	4.12	45%	0.08	37.4	0.96%	0	0.3	56	0
18	Apr_13_2011	38.2	38.82	39.22	39.12			39.15(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10000	-3	21	8.08	45%	0.08	29.4	0.96%	0	0.5	59	0
19	Apr_12_2011	38.17	38.74	39.23	39.18			39.02(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-5	41	8.99	45%	0.08	19.6	0.96%	0	0.4	66	0
20	Apr_11_2011	38.14	38.7	39.21	39.28			39.07(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10000	-3	65	4.79	45%	0.08	18.1	0.96%	0	0.6	71	0

21	Apr_8_2011	38.11	38.68	39.16	39.34			39.06(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-3	77	8.51	45%	0.08	19.4	0.95%	0	0.6	64	0
22	Apr_7_2011	38.08	38.67	39.14	39.39			39.29(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	3	104	9.91	45%	0.08	20.3	0.96%	0	1	73	0
23	Apr_6_2011	38.05	38.64	39.09	39.34			39.45(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	3	118	7.32	45%	0.11	13.3	0.95%	0	1.3	72	0
24	Apr_5_2011	38.01	38.62	38.96	39.29			39.52(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	8	126	4.03	46%	0.11	14.2	0.96%	0	1.5	75	0
25	Apr_4_2011	37.97	38.59	38.8	39.14			39.39(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	10	111	2.89	46%		11	0.96%	0	1.4	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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