Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 20, 2011

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $39.6900 (1.8%) ($39.5000 - $39.8400) on Wed. Apr. 20, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $39.6900(1.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.18(1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.15(1.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.11(1.48%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.87% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2011	38.33	39.11	39.15	39.18			39.69(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	2	-10000	6	-9	8.63	50%	0.1	87.4	0.97%	0	1.7	62	0
2	Apr_19_2011	38.29	39.04	39.12	39.07			38.99(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-1	-19	4.47	45%	0.05	75.5	0.95%	0	-0.1	46	0
3	Apr_18_2011	38.27	38.99	39.17	39.08			38.9(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-2	-8	9	45%	0.08	65.5	0.96%	0	-0.2	55	0
4	Apr_15_2011	38.24	38.96	39.17	39.11			39.25(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	2	11	6.46	45%	0.03	54.9	0.95%	0	0.6	70	0
5	Apr_14_2011	38.23	38.88	39.22	39.07			39.06(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-10000	-3	13	4.12	45%	0.08	37.4	0.96%	0	0.3	56	0

6	Apr_13_2011	38.2	38.82	39.22	39.12			39.15(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10000	-3	21	8.08	45%	0.08	29.4	0.96%	0	0.5	59	0
7	Apr_12_2011	38.17	38.74	39.23	39.18			39.02(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-5	41	8.99	45%	0.08	19.6	0.96%	0	0.4	66	0
8	Apr_11_2011	38.14	38.7	39.21	39.28			39.07(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10000	-3	65	4.79	45%	0.08	18.1	0.96%	0	0.6	71	0
9	Apr_8_2011	38.11	38.68	39.16	39.34			39.06(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-3	77	8.51	45%	0.08	19.4	0.95%	0	0.6	64	0
10	Apr_7_2011	38.08	38.67	39.14	39.39			39.29(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	3	104	9.91	45%	0.08	20.3	0.96%	0	1	73	0

11	Apr_6_2011	38.05	38.64	39.09	39.34			39.45(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	3	118	7.32	45%	0.11	13.3	0.95%	0	1.3	72	0
12	Apr_5_2011	38.01	38.62	38.96	39.29			39.52(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	8	126	4.03	46%	0.11	14.2	0.96%	0	1.5	75	0
13	Apr_4_2011	37.97	38.59	38.8	39.14			39.39(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	10	111	2.89	46%	0.11	11	0.96%	0	1.4	62	0
14	Apr_1_2011	37.93	38.56	38.68	38.95			39.3(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	5	87	6.04	48%	0.08	-2.8	0.97%	0	1.3	56	0
15	Mar_31_2011	37.9	38.54	38.51	38.85			39.05(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	3	59	5.56	48%	0.05	-6.8	0.97%	0	0.9	48	0

16	Mar_30_2011	37.88	38.56	38.38	38.79			39.19(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	11	42	7.03	48%	0.08	-4.1	0.97%	0	1.1	52	0
17	Mar_29_2011	37.85	38.54	38.21	38.59			38.77(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	-10000	10	0	6.12	46%	0.08	-11.4	0.96%	0	0.4	44	0
18	Mar_28_2011	37.82	38.53	38.21	38.41			38.42(-1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	-10000	3	-33	9.78	46%	0.05	-23	0.96%	0	-0.2	41	0
19	Mar_25_2011	37.8	38.57	38.21	38.36			38.82(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10000	14	-40	3.55	48%	0.05	-30	0.94%	0	0.4	49	0
20	Mar_24_2011	37.78	38.57	38.15	38.11			38.75(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-8	-10000	12	-67	5.02	48%	0.08	-47.3	0.95%	0	0.3	44	0

21	Mar_23_2011	37.75	38.58	38.14	37.9			38.19(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	7	-100	7.46	45%	0.08	-66	0.94%	0	-0.7	35	0
22	Mar_22_2011	37.72	38.6	38.23	37.78			37.86(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10000	-4	-113	6.74	45%	0.08	-80	0.93%	0	-1.3	42	0
23	Mar_21_2011	37.69	38.66	38.36	37.85			38.16(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-29	-10000	-4	-102	13.36	45%	0.08	-82.8	0.93%	0	-0.9	46	0
24	Mar_18_2011	37.66	38.75	38.42	37.92			37.58(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-10000	-17	-114	17.82	42%	0.05	-69.4	0.9%	0	-1.9	33	0
25	Mar_17_2011	37.64	38.86	38.59	38.21			37.73(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-12	-85	6.23	42%		-55.9	0.91%	0	-1.9	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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