Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 15, 2011

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $39.2500 (0.49%) ($39.0100 - $39.3700) on Fri. Apr. 15, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $39.2500(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.11(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.22(0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.96(0.74%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110515

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_15_2011	38.24	38.96		39.11			39.25(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	2	11	6.46	45%	0.03	54.9	0.95%	0	0.6	70	0
2	Apr_14_2011	38.23	38.88	39.22	39.07			39.06(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-10000	-3	13	4.12	45%	0.08	37.4	0.96%	0	0.3	56	0
3	Apr_13_2011	38.2	38.82	39.22	39.12			39.15(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10000	-3	21	8.08	45%	0.08	29.4	0.96%	0	0.5	59	0
4	Apr_12_2011	38.17	38.74	39.23	39.18			39.02(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-5	41	8.99	45%	0.08	19.6	0.96%	0	0.4	66	0
5	Apr_11_2011	38.14	38.7	39.21	39.28			39.07(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10000	-3	65	4.79	45%	0.08	18.1	0.96%	0	0.6	71	0

6	Apr_8_2011	38.11	38.68	39.16	39.34			39.06(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-3	77	8.51	45%	0.08	19.4	0.95%	0	0.6	64	0
7	Apr_7_2011	38.08	38.67	39.14	39.39			39.29(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	3	104	9.91	45%	0.08	20.3	0.96%	0	1	73	0
8	Apr_6_2011	38.05	38.64	39.09	39.34			39.45(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	3	118	7.32	45%	0.11	13.3	0.95%	0	1.3	72	0
9	Apr_5_2011	38.01	38.62	38.96	39.29			39.52(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	8	126	4.03	46%	0.11	14.2	0.96%	0	1.5	75	0
10	Apr_4_2011	37.97	38.59	38.8	39.14			39.39(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	10	111	2.89	46%	0.11	11	0.96%	0	1.4	62	0

11	Apr_1_2011	37.93	38.56	38.68	38.95			39.3(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	5	87	6.04	48%	0.08	-2.8	0.97%	0	1.3	56	0
12	Mar_31_2011	37.9	38.54	38.51	38.85			39.05(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	3	59	5.56	48%	0.05	-6.8	0.97%	0	0.9	48	0
13	Mar_30_2011	37.88	38.56	38.38	38.79			39.19(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	11	42	7.03	48%	0.08	-4.1	0.97%	0	1.1	52	0
14	Mar_29_2011	37.85	38.54	38.21	38.59			38.77(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	-10000	10	0	6.12	46%	0.08	-11.4	0.96%	0	0.4	44	0
15	Mar_28_2011	37.82	38.53	38.21	38.41			38.42(-1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	-10000	3	-33	9.78	46%	0.05	-23	0.96%	0	-0.2	41	0

16	Mar_25_2011	37.8	38.57	38.21	38.36			38.82(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10000	14	-40	3.55	48%	0.05	-30	0.94%	0	0.4	49	0
17	Mar_24_2011	37.78	38.57	38.15	38.11			38.75(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-8	-10000	12	-67	5.02	48%	0.08	-47.3	0.95%	0	0.3	44	0
18	Mar_23_2011	37.75	38.58	38.14	37.9			38.19(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-20	-10000	7	-100	7.46	45%	0.08	-66	0.94%	0	-0.7	35	0
19	Mar_22_2011	37.72	38.6	38.23	37.78			37.86(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10000	-4	-113	6.74	45%	0.08	-80	0.93%	0	-1.3	42	0
20	Mar_21_2011	37.69	38.66	38.36	37.85			38.16(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-29	-10000	-4	-102	13.36	45%	0.08	-82.8	0.93%	0	-0.9	46	0

21	Mar_18_2011	37.66	38.75	38.42	37.92			37.58(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-10000	-17	-114	17.82	42%	0.05	-69.4	0.9%	0	-1.9	33	0
22	Mar_17_2011	37.64	38.86	38.59	38.21			37.73(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-12	-85	6.23	42%	0.08	-55.9	0.91%	0	-1.9	38	0
23	Mar_16_2011	37.61	38.97	38.77	38.42			37.56(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-29	-10000	-19	-58	9.54	42%	0.05	-44.4	0.91%	0	-2.5	42	0
24	Mar_15_2011	37.59	39.07	38.91	38.75			38.21(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-10000	-10	-19	7.52	45%	0.08	-28.3	0.89%	0	-1.8	50	0
25	Mar_14_2011	37.56	39.13	38.96	38.93			38.53(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-4	-10000	-3	-5	6.66	45%		-9.1	0.88%	0	-1.4	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.