Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 8, 2011

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $39.1300 (0.8%) ($38.6400 - $39.2400) on Tue. Mar. 8, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $39.1300(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $39.2
5 Day Moving Average   $39.09(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.99(0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.2(-0.18%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.02% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2011	37.38	39.2	38.99	39.09			39.13(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-10000	5	-40	5.38	50%	0.13	64.7	0.85%	0	-0.2	47	0
2	Mar_7_2011	37.33	39.17	38.98	39			38.82(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-7	-62	8.32	50%	0.11	66.1	0.85%	0	-0.8	45	0
3	Mar_4_2011	37.29	39.15	39.09	39.12			39.21(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10000	1	-42	8.21	52%	0.13	78.9	0.83%	0	0.1	46	0
4	Mar_3_2011	37.24	39.09	39.14	39.1			39.5(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	-10000	10	-31	7.6	52%	0.13	65.2	0.83%	0	0.7	53	0
5	Mar_2_2011	37.19	38.99	39.16	38.94			38.81(0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-7	-10000	5	-41	7.41	51%	0.11	46.9	0.8%	0	-0.3	48	0

6	Mar_1_2011	37.15	38.94	39.23	38.87			38.66(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-5	-42	10.04	56%	0.13	37.2	0.82%	0	-0.4	50	0
7	Feb_28_2011	37.1	38.88	39.31	38.95			39.41(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-11	-10000	-8	-19	4.89	61%	0.13	31.6	0.81%	0	0.7	63	0
8	Feb_25_2011	37.05	38.77	39.32	39.07			39.11(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	-10000	-9	16	4.3	61%	0.14	29.5	0.81%	0	0.4	63	0
9	Feb_24_2011	37	38.73	39.34	39.21			38.71(0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-14	51	9.45	63%	0.14	37.3	0.81%	0	-0	63	0
10	Feb_23_2011	36.95	38.7	39.39	39.43			38.48(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	17	-10000	-11	101	8.96	59%	0.14	46.7	0.84%	0	-0.3	66	0

11	Feb_22_2011	36.9	38.68	39.44	39.62			39.05(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	33	-10000	-5	148	7.7	63%	0.24	52.6	0.84%	0	0.4	72	0
12	Feb_18_2011	36.81	38.63	39.39	39.7			40.01(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	-10000	6	202	3.69	70%	0.19	56.1	0.77%	0	1.6	92	0
13	Feb_17_2011	36.74	38.52	39.22	39.61			39.8(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	60	-10000	8	216	3.3	70%	0.16	57.8	0.78%	0	1.5	92	0
14	Feb_16_2011	36.68	38.41	39.04	39.49			39.79(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	-10000	8	200	4.63	66%	0.16	56.7	0.78%	0	1.7	63	0
15	Feb_15_2011	36.62	38.3	38.81	39.36			39.47(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	-10000	8	176	3.02	64%	0.16	57.6	0.8%	0	1.6	64	0

16	Feb_14_2011	36.56	38.22	38.63	39.24			39.42(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	-10000	14	162	3.53	64%	0.16	57.9	0.8%	0	1.7	64	0
17	Feb_11_2011	36.5	38.14	38.41	39.03			39.58(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	-10000	17	129	5.16	64%	0.19	56.5	0.81%	0	2.3	66	0
18	Feb_10_2011	36.43	38.04	38.16	38.76			39.18(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	16	88	4.51	62%	0.16	52.4	0.81%	0	2.1	65	0
19	Feb_9_2011	36.37	37.96	38.06	38.51			39.13(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	-10000	21	76	5.76	62%	0.17	44.4	0.81%	0	2.4	66	0
20	Feb_8_2011	36.31	37.88	37.94	38.19			38.87(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	24	-10000	16	46	5.74	62%	0.17	31.1	0.82%	0	2.5	65	0

21	Feb_7_2011	36.25	37.82	37.84	37.94			38.41(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	-10000	16	19	4.14	60%	0.17	13.8	0.81%	0	1.8	54	0
22	Feb_4_2011	36.19	37.78	37.79	37.69			38.21(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	10	-10000	15	-7	4.88	63%	0.14	-2.5	0.81%	0	1.4	53	0
23	Feb_3_2011	36.14	37.78	37.75	37.47			37.95(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.7	-13	-10000	-5	-37	5.52	63%	0.17	-21.6	0.83%	0	0.7	54	0
24	Feb_2_2011	36.08	37.75	37.72	37.55			37.51(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-7	-31	4.01	63%	0.14	-6.8	0.82%	0	-0.9	47	0
25	Feb_1_2011	36.03	37.76	37.74	37.66			37.62(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-5	-19	4.84	63%		6.8	0.83%	0	-0.5	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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