Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 15, 2011

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $39.4700 (0.13%) ($39.1900 - $39.5100) on Tue. Feb. 15, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $39.4700(0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.36(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.81(1.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.3(3.05%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110315

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2011	36.62	38.3	38.81	39.36			39.47(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	-10000	8	176	3.02	64%	0.16	57.6	0.8%	0	1.6	64	0
2	Feb_14_2011	36.56	38.22	38.63	39.24			39.42(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	-10000	14	162	3.53	64%	0.16	57.9	0.8%	0	1.7	64	0
3	Feb_11_2011	36.5	38.14	38.41	39.03			39.58(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	-10000	17	129	5.16	64%	0.19	56.5	0.81%	0	2.3	66	0
4	Feb_10_2011	36.43	38.04	38.16	38.76			39.18(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	16	88	4.51	62%	0.16	52.4	0.81%	0	2.1	65	0
5	Feb_9_2011	36.37	37.96	38.06	38.51			39.13(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	-10000	21	76	5.76	62%	0.17	44.4	0.81%	0	2.4	66	0

6	Feb_8_2011	36.31	37.88	37.94	38.19			38.87(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	24	-10000	16	46	5.74	62%	0.17	31.1	0.82%	0	2.5	65	0
7	Feb_7_2011	36.25	37.82	37.84	37.94			38.41(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	-10000	16	19	4.14	60%	0.17	13.8	0.81%	0	1.8	54	0
8	Feb_4_2011	36.19	37.78	37.79	37.69			38.21(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	10	-10000	15	-7	4.88	63%	0.14	-2.5	0.81%	0	1.4	53	0
9	Feb_3_2011	36.14	37.78	37.75	37.47			37.95(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.7	-13	-10000	-5	-37	5.52	63%	0.17	-21.6	0.83%	0	0.7	54	0
10	Feb_2_2011	36.08	37.75	37.72	37.55			37.51(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-7	-31	4.01	63%	0.14	-6.8	0.82%	0	-0.9	47	0

11	Feb_1_2011	36.03	37.76	37.74	37.66			37.62(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-5	-19	4.84	63%	0.14	6.8	0.83%	0	-0.5	51	0
12	Jan_31_2011	35.98	37.77	37.78	37.73			37.18(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-2	-9	-10000	-10	-7	4.94	61%	0.14	19.7	0.82%	0	-2.2	44	0
13	Jan_28_2011	35.93	37.79	37.86	37.89			37.1(-3.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-3.2	-4	-10000	-10	14	11.1	61%	0.14	36.4	0.82%	0	-2.8	42	0
14	Jan_27_2011	35.88	37.81	37.93	38.04			38.35(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	18	-10000	10	43	4.36	74%	0.17	55.4	0.7%	0	2.6	68	0
15	Jan_26_2011	35.82	37.77	37.86	37.91			38.05(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	6	23	4.86	73%	0.2	41.7	0.7%	0	1.6	51	0

16	Jan_25_2011	35.75	37.74	37.83	37.83			37.99(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	2	-10000	-1	11	5.71	73%	0.06	27.1	0.7%	0	1.4	59	0
17	Jan_24_2011	35.73	37.72	37.79	37.84			37.97(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3	-10000	1	9	4.84	73%	0.17	33.3	0.7%	0	1.5	52	0
18	Jan_21_2011	35.67	37.7	37.76	37.83			37.82(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	2	15	4.29	73%	0.17	38.1	0.7%	0	0.7	60	0
19	Jan_20_2011	35.61	37.7	37.75	37.8			37.73(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-1	15	6.7	75%	0.2	50	0.71%	0	0.2	56	0
20	Jan_19_2011	35.54	37.7	37.77	37.8			37.65(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	6	-10000	0	23	6.32	67%	0.2	61.9	0.72%	0	-0.2	53	0

21	Jan_18_2011	35.47	37.69	37.78	37.81			38.03(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	5	29	4.01	71%	0.37	66.7	0.75%	0	2.1	64	0
22	Jan_14_2011	35.34	37.66	37.75	37.74			37.92(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	4	28	4.59	71%	0.23	50	0.74%	0	1.6	60	0
23	Jan_13_2011	35.26	37.64	37.71	37.69			37.69(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-10000	-1	17	4.64	71%	0.23	47.5	0.74%	0	0.3	52	0
24	Jan_12_2011	35.18	37.62	37.69	37.7			37.75(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1	-10000	-3	11	20.99	71%	0.2	40	0.74%	0	0.8	48	0
25	Jan_11_2011	35.11	37.6	37.67	37.74			37.66(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	4	-10000	0	14	3.15	71%		44.4	0.74%	0	0.4	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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