Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 27, 2011

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $38.3500 (0.79%) ($38.1000 - $38.4100) on Thu. Jan. 27, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $38.3500(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.04(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.93(1.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.81(1.43%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.56% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2011	35.88	37.81	37.93	38.04			38.35(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	18	-10000	10	43	4.36	74%	0.17	55.4	0.7%	0	2.6	68	0
2	Jan_26_2011	35.82	37.77	37.86	37.91			38.05(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	6	23	4.86	73%	0.2	41.7	0.7%	0	1.6	51	0
3	Jan_25_2011	35.75	37.74	37.83	37.83			37.99(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	2	-10000	-1	11	5.71	73%	0.06	27.1	0.7%	0	1.4	59	0
4	Jan_24_2011	35.73	37.72	37.79	37.84			37.97(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3	-10000	1	9	4.84	73%	0.17	33.3	0.7%	0	1.5	52	0
5	Jan_21_2011	35.67	37.7	37.76	37.83			37.82(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	2	15	4.29	73%	0.17	38.1	0.7%	0	0.7	60	0

6	Jan_20_2011	35.61	37.7	37.75	37.8			37.73(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-1	15	6.7	75%	0.2	50	0.71%	0	0.2	56	0
7	Jan_19_2011	35.54	37.7	37.77	37.8			37.65(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	6	-10000	0	23	6.32	67%	0.2	61.9	0.72%	0	-0.2	53	0
8	Jan_18_2011	35.47	37.69	37.78	37.81			38.03(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	5	29	4.01	71%	0.37	66.7	0.75%	0	2.1	64	0
9	Jan_14_2011	35.34	37.66	37.75	37.74			37.92(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	4	28	4.59	71%	0.23	50	0.74%	0	1.6	60	0
10	Jan_13_2011	35.26	37.64	37.71	37.69			37.69(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-10000	-1	17	4.64	71%	0.23	47.5	0.74%	0	0.3	52	0

11	Jan_12_2011	35.18	37.62	37.69	37.7			37.75(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1	-10000	-3	11	20.99	71%	0.2	40	0.74%	0	0.8	48	0
12	Jan_11_2011	35.11	37.6	37.67	37.7			37.66(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	4	-10000	0	14	3.15	71%	0.23	44.4	0.74%	0	0.4	48	0
13	Jan_10_2011	35.03	37.59	37.65	37.74			37.67(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-2	10	4.56	71%	0.2	39.6	0.74%	0	0.4	53	0
14	Jan_7_2011	34.96	37.58	37.64	37.77			37.7(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	8	-10000	4	20	5.42	71%	0.2	50	0.75%	0	0.7	59	0
15	Jan_6_2011	34.89	37.57	37.64	37.71			37.72(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	3	15	3.69	71%	0.17	41.7	0.75%	0	0.8	54	0

16	Jan_5_2011	34.83	37.55	37.63	37.67			37.95(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	10	-10000	6	22	6.16	75%	0.2	45.8	0.75%	0	2.2	65	0
17	Jan_4_2011	34.76	37.52	37.61	37.59			37.64(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	3	17	3.66	73%	0.2	82.5	0.78%	0	0.8	57	0
18	Jan_3_2011	34.69	37.51	37.6	37.55			37.85(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	8	-10000	5	18	4.25	73%	0.2	112.5	0.78%	0	2.3	61	0
19	Dec_31_2010	34.62	37.51	37.55	37.48			37.41(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-3	4	2.21	71%	0.17	151.4	0.78%	0	-0.6	46	0
20	Dec_30_2010	34.56	37.49	37.56	37.53			37.49(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-10000	-4	11	2.95	71%	0.2	188.6	0.77%	0	0	52	0

21	Dec_29_2010	34.49	37.47	37.54	37.59			37.56(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-2	16	1.87	71%	0.15	175	0.78%	0	0.5	55	0
22	Dec_28_2010	34.44	37.4	37.53	37.62			37.44(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-2	18	3.06	71%	0.17	96.6	0.78%	0	0.1	49	0
23	Dec_27_2010	34.38	37.35	37.53	37.65			37.52(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	2	22	3.37	71%	0.2	78.6	0.79%	0	0.4	52	0
24	Dec_23_2010	34.31	37.29	37.52	37.62			37.63(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	-10000	1	20	2.29	75%	0.18	74	0.84%	0	0.7	56	0
25	Dec_22_2010	34.25	37.25	37.5	37.6			37.79(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	7	21	3.3	75%		78.3	0.84%	0	1.1	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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