Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $37.5200 (0.72%) ($37.1600 - $37.5400) on Thu. Dec. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $37.5200(0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.42(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.42(0.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.96(1.52%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   14.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2010	34.01	36.96	37.42	37.42			37.52(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	1	69	4.49	78%	0.18	65	0.87%	0	1	74	0
2	Dec_15_2010	33.95	36.87	37.41	37.4			37.25(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-10000	-1	82	3.94	78%	0.18	56	0.87%	0	0.6	64	0
3	Dec_14_2010	33.89	36.79	37.38	37.42			37.37(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	-10000	-2	104	4.32	78%	0.15	48.1	0.87%	0	0.9	76	0
4	Dec_13_2010	33.84	36.72	37.28	37.45			37.38(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	-10000	-1	104	4.55	78%	0.18	45.2	0.87%	0	1	63	0
5	Dec_10_2010	33.78	36.65	37.17	37.46			37.56(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	2	110	4.33	78%	0.21	43.5	0.87%	0	1.3	68	0

6	Dec_9_2010	33.71	36.59	37.06	37.46			37.43(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	0	115	4.32	78%	0.21	45.5	0.87%	0	1.3	69	0
7	Dec_8_2010	33.64	36.53	36.97	37.43			37.38(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	-10000	5	132	5.82	78%	0.21	52.4	0.88%	0	1.4	71	0
8	Dec_7_2010	33.57	36.47	36.83	37.34			37.48(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	-10000	17	139	7.26	72%	0.21	55.6	0.87%	0	1.7	75	0
9	Dec_6_2010	33.5	36.41	36.72	37.07			37.46(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	-10000	15	117	10.15	72%	0.24	58.1	0.9%	0	1.9	66	0
10	Dec_3_2010	33.42	36.35	36.59	36.82			37.42(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	-10000	12	96	6.71	72%	0.18	63.6	0.91%	0	2.2	64	0

11	Dec_2_2010	33.36	36.29	36.45	36.62			37.4(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	25	-10000	10	71	7.2	74%	0.18	72.6	0.92%	0	2.7	58	0
12	Dec_1_2010	33.3	36.21	36.28	36.46			36.92(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	20	-10000	12	44	8.65	76%	0.18	86.8	0.94%	0	2.2	54	0
13	Nov_30_2010	33.24	36.14	36.13	36.25			36.15(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-3	7	11.39	69%	0.18	75.3	0.98%	0	0	51	0
14	Nov_29_2010	33.18	36.1	36.11	36.3			36.23(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-1	6	8.18	69%	0.18	68.6	1.01%	0	0.3	47	0
15	Nov_26_2010	33.12	36.05	36.09	36.31			36.4(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	4	0	2.89	71%	0.27	65.8	1.02%	0	0.8	48	0

16	Nov_24_2010	33.03	36	36.08	36.24			36.61(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	-10000	9	-3	9.35	67%	0.24	60.3	1.02%	0	1.3	52	0
17	Nov_23_2010	32.95	35.92	36.05	36.07			35.87(-1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	4	-11	9.94	64%	0.09	57.8	1.03%	0	-0.1	53	0
18	Nov_22_2010	32.92	35.9	36.05	35.99			36.41(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	6	-11	6.8	68%	0.21	61.9	1.01%	0	1.1	62	0
19	Nov_19_2010	32.85	35.84	36.08	35.89			36.24(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	2	-2	6.69	63%	0.21	58.6	1.01%	0	0.8	66	0
20	Nov_18_2010	32.78	35.78	36.1	35.85			36.07(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10000	-3	10	10.06	63%	0.21	56.1	1.05%	0	0.5	63	0

21	Nov_17_2010	32.71	35.72	36.12	35.91			35.76(0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-7	29	9.34	63%	0.21	57.4	1.05%	0	0.1	60	0
22	Nov_16_2010	32.64	35.66	36.13	36.05			35.45(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-7	52	17.55	63%	0.15	57.3	1.06%	0	-0.3	59	0
23	Nov_15_2010	32.59	35.6	36.16	36.18			35.94(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-5	71	5.81	67%	0.15	59.7	1.04%	0	0.5	62	0
24	Nov_12_2010	32.54	35.55	36.1	36.28			36.01(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-5	81	9.85	67%	0.15	65.5	1.06%	0	0.7	65	0
25	Nov_11_2010	32.49	35.48	36.03	36.38			36.39(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10000	1	99	15.39	61%		70.4	1.05%	0	1.3	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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