Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 23, 2010

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $35.8700 (-1.48%) ($35.7300 - $36.0700) on Tue. Nov. 23, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $35.8700(-1.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $35.92
5 Day Moving Average   $36.07(-0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.05(-0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.92(-0.14%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   19.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2010	32.95	35.92	36.05	36.07			35.87(-1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	4	-11	9.94	64%	0.09	57.8	1.03%	0	-0.1	53	0
2	Nov_22_2010	32.92	35.9	36.05	35.99			36.41(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	6	-11	6.8	68%	0.21	61.9	1.01%	0	1.1	62	0
3	Nov_19_2010	32.85	35.84	36.08	35.89			36.24(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	2	-2	6.69	63%	0.21	58.6	1.01%	0	0.8	66	0
4	Nov_18_2010	32.78	35.78	36.1	35.85			36.07(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10000	-3	10	10.06	63%	0.21	56.1	1.05%	0	0.5	63	0
5	Nov_17_2010	32.71	35.72	36.12	35.91			35.76(0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-7	29	9.34	63%	0.21	57.4	1.05%	0	0.1	60	0

6	Nov_16_2010	32.64	35.66	36.13	36.05			35.45(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-7	52	17.55	63%	0.15	57.3	1.06%	0	-0.3	59	0
7	Nov_15_2010	32.59	35.6	36.16	36.18			35.94(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-5	71	5.81	67%	0.15	59.7	1.04%	0	0.5	62	0
8	Nov_12_2010	32.54	35.55	36.1	36.28			36.01(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-5	81	9.85	67%	0.15	65.5	1.06%	0	0.7	65	0
9	Nov_11_2010	32.49	35.48	36.03	36.38			36.39(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10000	1	99	15.39	61%	0.15	70.4	1.05%	0	1.3	75	0
10	Nov_10_2010	32.44	35.39	35.92	36.37			36.44(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10000	7	105	6.94	61%	0.15	74.6	1.1%	0	1.5	78	0

11	Nov_9_2010	32.39	35.29	35.79	36.24			36.12(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	-10000	5	103	4.77	61%	0.12	77.2	1.11%	0	1.2	78	0
12	Nov_8_2010	32.35	35.2	35.71	36.13			36.45(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	-10000	13	116	3.19	61%	0.12	77.4	1.1%	0	1.9	89	0
13	Nov_5_2010	32.31	35.1	35.58	35.88			36.51(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	-10000	13	102	6.86	61%	0.12	80.2	1.11%	0	2.3	72	0
14	Nov_4_2010	32.27	34.98	35.42	35.63			36.33(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	-10000	11	85	9.11	61%	0.09	84.4	1.11%	0	2.4	71	0
15	Nov_3_2010	32.24	34.87	35.26	35.42			35.77(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	7	71	8.13	58%	0.09	87.7	1.11%	0	1.8	70	0

16	Nov_2_2010	32.21	34.77	35.14	35.28			35.59(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	2	60	7.29	61%	0.09	89.9	1.13%	0	1.7	67	0
17	Nov_1_2010	32.18	34.69	35	35.28			35.19(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	0	51	6.59	60%	0.09	83.3	1.15%	0	1	64	0
18	Oct_29_2010	32.15	34.61	34.95	35.23			35.26(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	3	58	6.76	60%	0.09	79.2	1.15%	0	1.2	67	0
19	Oct_28_2010	32.12	34.52	34.9	35.17			35.27(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	5	60	7.74	60%	0.12	70.8	1.15%	0	1.3	67	0
20	Oct_27_2010	32.08	34.42	34.81	35.07			35.11(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	5	58	6.43	60%	0.12	71	1.16%	0	1.2	70	0

21	Oct_26_2010	32.04	34.34	34.75	34.96			35.33(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	25	-10000	12	62	6.22	60%	0.16	71.7	1.17%	0	1.7	77	0
22	Oct_25_2010	31.99	34.26	34.66	34.72			35.18(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	4	44	6.29	60%	0.13	67.7	1.18%	0	1.7	69	0
23	Oct_22_2010	31.95	34.18	34.58	34.64			34.96(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	2	51	4.42	64%	0.06	70.5	1.19%	0	1.6	75	0
24	Oct_21_2010	31.93	34.11	34.51	34.59			34.77(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	3	58	10.74	64%	0.06	72.9	1.24%	0	1.2	72	0
25	Oct_20_2010	31.91	34.02	34.44	34.53			34.57(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	1	60	7.04	64%		67.9	1.26%	0	1	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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