Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 18, 2010

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $31.5300 (0.93%) ($31.0500 - $31.7200) on Wed. Aug. 18, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $31.5300(0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

Resistance Level   $31.57
5 Day Moving Average   $31.07(1.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.5(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.57(-0.13%)
To recent high   -4.8%
To recent low   8.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.74% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2010	32.32	31.57	31.5	31.07			31.53(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	2	-38	6.26	48%	-0.03	20.1	1.7%	0	-0.1	54	0
2	Aug_17_2010	32.33	31.51	31.56	31.01			31.24(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-10000	-6	-38	5.9	48%	-0.06	10.5	1.71%	0	-0.5	50	0
3	Aug_16_2010	32.35	31.49	31.6	31.17			30.74(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-12	-31	5.47	48%	-0.09	13.7	1.7%	0	-1.2	42	0
4	Aug_13_2010	32.38	31.48	31.74	31.49			30.75(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-10	-10000	-10	-10	5.87	45%	-0.06	25	1.71%	0	-1.1	38	0
5	Aug_12_2010	32.4	31.45	31.82	31.75			31.1(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-10000	-8	5	8.2	46%	-0.06	33.8	1.73%	0	-0.5	47	0

6	Aug_11_2010	32.42	31.46	31.85	31.98			31.22(-2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-0	-10000	-7	21	7.56	46%	-0.03	50.7	1.74%	0	-0.4	53	0
7	Aug_10_2010	32.43	31.45	31.88	32.17			32.06(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	3	50	8.06	53%	-0.03	67.1	1.71%	0	0.9	69	0
8	Aug_9_2010	32.44	31.4	31.84	32.08			32.34(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	2	51	6.25	53%	0	77.4	1.83%	0	1.4	64	0
9	Aug_6_2010	32.44	31.31	31.8	32.03			32.03(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	4	66	6.41	49%	-0.03	87.4	1.84%	0	1.1	66	0
10	Aug_5_2010	32.45	31.23	31.75	31.91			32.25(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	7	74	6.26	48%	0	89.4	1.89%	0	1.5	70	0

11	Aug_4_2010	32.45	31.12	31.63	31.71			32.15(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	5	64	7.09	46%	0	86.9	1.89%	0	1.5	57	0
12	Aug_3_2010	32.45	31.01	31.44	31.71			31.62(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	0	46	6.94	47%	-0.03	76.7	1.91%	0	0.8	55	0
13	Aug_2_2010	32.46	30.88	31.36	31.56			32.11(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	1	43	9.2	47%	0	67.9	1.92%	0	1.6	56	0
14	Jul_30_2010	32.46	30.73	31.18	31.54			31.44(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-1	41	7.75	44%	-0.03	54.6	1.92%	0	0.9	59	0
15	Jul_29_2010	32.47	30.63	31.05	31.56			31.23(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	1	40	7.49	46%	0	46.1	1.93%	0	0.7	58	0

16	Jul_28_2010	32.47	30.53	31.03	31.53			31.39(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	8	51	5.16	46%	-0.03	31.3	1.95%	0	1	61	0
17	Jul_27_2010	32.48	30.44	30.99	31.29			31.61(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	6	48	10.77	44%	0	13.5	1.95%	0	1.3	65	0
18	Jul_26_2010	32.48	30.38	30.94	31.12			32.02(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	-10000	11	60	9	44%	0	-0.4	1.98%	0	2	73	0
19	Jul_23_2010	32.48	30.3	30.77	30.78			31.55(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	10	55	8.27	44%	0.03	-23	1.97%	0	1.7	72	0
20	Jul_22_2010	32.47	30.25	30.65	30.78			31.1(3.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	0	45	10.44	45%	0	-49.4	1.96%	0	1.2	65	0

21	Jul_21_2010	32.47	30.26	30.56	30.47			30.19(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-6	54	9.88	43%	-0.03	-57.1	1.93%	0	-0.1	62	0
22	Jul_20_2010	32.48	30.32	30.53	30.64			30.74(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-10000	-3	70	10.6	44%	0	-57.5	1.92%	0	0.5	63	0
23	Jul_19_2010	32.48	30.38	30.38	30.73			30.31(0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-1	64	5.21	44%	0	-49.3	1.92%	0	-0.1	47	0
24	Jul_16_2010	32.48	30.48	30.26	30.76			30.02(-3.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-3	49	10.39	43%	-0.03	-42.2	1.92%	0	-0.5	43	0
25	Jul_15_2010	32.49	30.6	30.21	30.84			31.11(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	7	47	9.93	45%		-35.4	1.88%	0	0.5	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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