Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 13, 2010

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $31.2100 (2.5%) ($30.7400 - $31.3400) on Tue. Jul. 13, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.89% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $31.2100(2.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(80%)    PEJ(77%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.945% (StdDev 1.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.41(2.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.85(4.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.77(1.43%)
To recent high   -13.2%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 4.19% (three month std-dev: 1.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2010	32.47	30.77	29.85	30.41			31.21(2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	-10000	15	-16	10.57	46%	0.03	-27.2	1.89%	0	0.3	44	0
2	Jul_12_2010	32.46	30.81	29.76	29.98			30.45(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	11	-60	6.9	45%	0	-30.8	1.86%	0	-0.3	31	0
3	Jul_9_2010	32.46	30.9	29.78	29.69			30.41(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	7	-95	5.31	45%	0	-33.9	1.86%	0	-0.4	29	0
4	Jul_8_2010	32.46	30.99	29.79	29.49			30.12(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-26	-10000	7	-126	7.94	45%	0.03	-39.3	1.86%	0	-0.6	24	0
5	Jul_7_2010	32.45	31.05	29.91	29.29			29.86(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-36	-10000	3	-154	12.96	45%	0	-48.5	1.86%	0	-0.9	20	0

6	Jul_6_2010	32.45	31.12	30.06	29.21			29.04(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-55	-10000	-12	-184	11.8	43%	0	-53.6	1.82%	0	-1.6	7	0
7	Jul_2_2010	32.45	31.23	30.37	29.52			29.04(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-53	-10000	-13	-172	6.96	44%	-0.03	-57.8	1.81%	0	-1.8	21	0
8	Jul_1_2010	32.46	31.36	30.71	29.88			29.37(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-10000	-10	-150	15.62	44%	0.03	-59.3	1.82%	0	-1.7	24	0
9	Jun_30_2010	32.45	31.54	31.03	30.15			29.13(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-47	-10000	-17	-137	11.49	44%	0	-53.1	1.81%	0	-2.3	21	0
10	Jun_29_2010	32.45	31.73	31.42	30.61			29.49(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-10000	-14	-96	18.82	44%	0.03	-44.9	1.81%	0	-2.5	39	0

11	Jun_28_2010	32.44	31.86	31.79	31.01			30.58(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-12	-58	7.01	46%	0.06	-36.7	1.75%	0	-1.6	48	0
12	Jun_25_2010	32.42	31.95	31.97	31.34			30.81(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-12	-26	12.42	46%	0.06	-24	1.75%	0	-1.6	53	0
13	Jun_24_2010	32.4	32.06	32.13	31.67			30.72(-2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-11	-10000	-14	-0	11.06	46%	0.03	-0.9	1.76%	0	-1.9	46	0
14	Jun_23_2010	32.39	32.12	32.13	32.06			31.47(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-10	21	12.49	48%	0.06	11.2	1.73%	0	-1	39	0
15	Jun_22_2010	32.37	32.14	32.3	32.35			31.49(-2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-2	-10000	-11	24	9.66	49%	0.06	18.7	1.73%	0	-1	41	0

16	Jun_21_2010	32.35	32.15	32.29	32.67			32.21(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-10000	-1	41	8.83	51%	0.09	20.7	1.72%	0	0.1	54	0
17	Jun_18_2010	32.32	32.13	32.17	32.7			32.47(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	2	31	7.67	51%	0.12	12.4	1.71%	0	0.5	51	0
18	Jun_17_2010	32.28	32.06	32.08	32.65			32.68(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	-10000	3	16	10.4	51%	0.09	-6.4	1.71%	0	1	48	0
19	Jun_16_2010	32.25	32.05	32.07	32.57			32.88(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	12	25	7.47	51%	0.12	-23	1.71%	0	1.3	58	0
20	Jun_15_2010	32.21	32.03	32.04	32.24			33.11(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	14	-10000	14	14	6.95	51%	0.12	-46.7	1.71%	0	1.7	58	0

21	Jun_14_2010	32.17	32.02	32.04	31.85			32.34(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	-10000	11	-7	6.9	49%	0.09	-67	1.69%	0	0.5	57	0
22	Jun_11_2010	32.14	32.05	31.9	31.57			32.25(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	6	-20	7.72	49%	0.09	-71.3	1.69%	0	0.3	54	0
23	Jun_10_2010	32.11	32.1	31.95	31.42			32.28(3.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-7	-10000	-4	-17	10.26	49%	0.06	-65	1.69%	0	0.2	58	0
24	Jun_9_2010	32.09	32.2	31.89	31.53			31.22(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-11	-21	12.34	46%	0.03	-50.7	1.63%	0	-1.1	43	0
25	Jun_8_2010	32.08	32.32	31.96	31.82			31.18(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	-5	-9	13.78	46%		-43.5	1.63%	0	-1.2	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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