Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $33.7200 (0.96%) ($33.2100 - $33.7700) on Thu. Apr. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $33.7200(0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(81%)    PEJ(78%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(1%)    IGOV(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.44(0.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.23(1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.88(2.55%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.37% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100508

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_8_2010	30.44	32.88	33.23	33.44			33.72(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	12	85	8.56	68%	0.13	95.6	0.89%	0	1.9	72	0
2	Apr_7_2010	30.4	32.79	33.13	33.26			33.4(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	4	66	4.77	67%	0.16	95.6	0.89%	0	1.4	69	0
3	Apr_6_2010	30.35	32.71	33.08	33.2			33.52(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	6	70	3.42	67%	0.13	97.9	0.89%	0	1.7	74	0
4	Apr_5_2010	30.31	32.62	33	33.11			33.47(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	22	-10000	5	72	5.63	67%	0.2	105	0.89%	0	1.8	77	0
5	Apr_1_2010	30.25	32.54	32.89	33.03			33.07(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	2	68	5.91	65%	0.17	100.6	0.88%	0	1	72	0

6	Mar_31_2010	30.2	32.45	32.84	33			32.84(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-10000	1	74	8.24	65%	0.13	94.5	0.88%	0	0.7	70	0
7	Mar_30_2010	30.16	32.36	32.82	32.98			33.08(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	3	87	4.15	65%	0.17	88.2	0.88%	0	1.1	82	0
8	Mar_29_2010	30.11	32.25	32.75	32.94			33.11(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	-10000	5	95	5.48	65%	0.17	90	0.89%	0	1.3	83	0
9	Mar_26_2010	30.06	32.15	32.66	32.87			33.06(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	-10000	9	97	6.11	65%	0.17	87.2	0.88%	0	1.2	80	0
10	Mar_25_2010	30.01	32.02	32.57	32.74			32.93(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	26	-10000	5	89	5.54	65%	0.2	80.4	0.89%	0	1.2	80	0

11	Mar_24_2010	29.95	31.9	32.49	32.66			32.74(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	2	97	5.83	65%	0.2	78.2	0.9%	0	1.1	85	0
12	Mar_23_2010	29.89	31.79	32.41	32.63			32.87(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	-10000	6	118	6.26	65%	0.2	75.3	0.89%	0	1.3	90	0
13	Mar_22_2010	29.83	31.65	32.31	32.54			32.74(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	-10000	8	129	5.08	65%	0.2	74.3	0.89%	0	1.3	90	0
14	Mar_19_2010	29.77	31.52	32.22	32.42			32.4(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	36	-10000	3	133	4.93	65%	0.17	76.7	0.89%	0	1	82	0
15	Mar_18_2010	29.72	31.42	32.16	32.38			32.56(-0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	44	-10000	6	156	6.32	65%	0.2	80.7	0.9%	0	1.3	90	0

16	Mar_17_2010	29.66	31.29	32.03	32.3			32.57(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	49	-10000	10	166	5.35	62%	0.2	85.5	0.9%	0	1.5	90	0
17	Mar_16_2010	29.6	31.16	31.87	32.16			32.41(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	-10000	8	161	5.09	62%	0.14	86.6	0.91%	0	1.5	90	0
18	Mar_15_2010	29.56	31.03	31.71	32.04			32.17(-0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	45	-10000	4	166	4.93	62%	0.14	94.3	0.91%	0	1.4	91	0
19	Mar_12_2010	29.52	30.88	31.6	31.98			32.21(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	-10000	6	181	3.64	62%	0.14	92.7	0.9%	0	1.6	85	0
20	Mar_11_2010	29.48	30.74	31.43	31.9			32.12(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	-10000	13	183	5.05	62%	0.17	91.8	0.91%	0	1.6	84	0

21	Mar_10_2010	29.43	30.58	31.27	31.72			31.89(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	-10000	14	172	5.22	64%	0.1	80.6	0.91%	0	1.5	84	0
22	Mar_9_2010	29.4	30.43	31.12	31.52			31.82(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	-10000	13	158	5.55	64%	0.14	72.4	0.93%	0	1.6	85	0
23	Mar_8_2010	29.36	30.27	30.94	31.33			31.87(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	-10000	12	144	4.5	64%	0.1	61.6	0.93%	0	1.8	87	0
24	Mar_5_2010	29.33	30.12	30.77	31.15			31.79(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	50	-10000	17	147	4.8	64%	0.14	57.7	0.93%	0	1.9	89	0
25	Mar_4_2010	29.29	29.97	30.61	30.9			31.21(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	43	-10000	11	140	4.6	62%		52.4	0.91%	0	1.6	87	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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