Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 23, 2010

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $30.0300 (-0.6%) ($29.9300 - $30.3200) on Tue. Feb. 23, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $30.0300(-0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(81%)    PEJ(78%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(1%)    IGOV(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.11(-0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.7(1.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.42(2.07%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100323

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2010	29.08	29.42	29.7	30.11			30.03(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10000	4	116	5.73	54%	0.14	30.6	0.94%	0	1.2	53	0
2	Feb_22_2010	29.04	29.38	29.56	30.05			30.21(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	14	102	3.56	54%	0.1	20.9	0.94%	0	1.7	62	0
3	Feb_19_2010	29.01	29.32	29.42	29.86			30.22(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	14	77	5.75	54%	0.14	-2	0.94%	0	2	66	0
4	Feb_18_2010	28.97	29.28	29.28	29.67			30.15(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	18	51	5.92	54%	0.1	-23.4	0.95%	0	2.2	62	0
5	Feb_17_2010	28.94	29.26	29.22	29.42			29.96(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	18	-10000	14	29	4.63	54%	0.07	-42.3	0.95%	0	1.8	57	0

6	Feb_16_2010	28.92	29.27	29.18	29.23			29.72(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	16	17	4.52	57%	0.17	-49.7	0.95%	0	1	56	0
7	Feb_12_2010	28.87	29.28	29.13	29.01			29.25(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	7	-11	6.33	57%	0.07	-65.6	0.97%	0	-0.1	51	0
8	Feb_11_2010	28.85	29.32	29.09	28.91			29.25(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	6	-25	5.83	57%	0.07	-66.1	0.98%	0	-0.1	54	0
9	Feb_10_2010	28.83	29.37	29.07	28.83			28.91(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10000	-11	-52	5.57	55%	0.03	-66.1	0.97%	0	-0.9	40	0
10	Feb_9_2010	28.82	29.42	29.11	28.99			29.03(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-9	-46	6.9	58%	0.03	-60	0.97%	0	-0.7	37	0

11	Feb_8_2010	28.81	29.49	29.13	29.12			28.59(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-10000	-10	-53	6.38	56%	0.03	-48.4	0.99%	0	-1.6	27	0
12	Feb_5_2010	28.8	29.58	29.19	29.26			28.77(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-2	-50	8.3	60%	0.03	-38.2	0.99%	0	-1.5	36	0
13	Feb_4_2010	28.79	29.66	29.22	29.29			28.85(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-3	-68	10.13	60%	0.03	-34.6	1.04%	0	-1.5	33	0
14	Feb_3_2010	28.78	29.73	29.3	29.34			29.71(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-15	-10000	6	-79	4.86	66%	0.07	-35.5	0.97%	0	-0	40	0
15	Feb_2_2010	28.76	29.75	29.31	29.25			29.69(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-17	-10000	7	-89	5.49	66%	0.1	-40.6	0.97%	0	-0.1	46	0

16	Feb_1_2010	28.73	29.76	29.37	29.15			29.28(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	-10000	1	-105	8.88	65%	0.07	-47.4	0.96%	0	-0.9	36	0
17	Jan_29_2010	28.71	29.79	29.43	29.13			28.91(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-1	-112	7.36	61%	0.07	-52.6	1.01%	0	-1.7	29	0
18	Jan_28_2010	28.69	29.85	29.57	29.15			29.09(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-6	-111	6.29	55%	0.07	-56.7	1.06%	0	-1.6	31	0
19	Jan_27_2010	28.67	29.91	29.69	29.25			29.26(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	-10000	-9	-96	7.04	52%	0.1	-52.4	1.12%	0	-1.5	38	0
20	Jan_26_2010	28.64	29.96	29.76	29.39			29.21(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-14	-87	5.51	52%	0.03	-40	1.14%	0	-1.8	38	0

21	Jan_25_2010	28.63	30.01	29.87	29.63			29.17(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-10000	-9	-58	5.31	52%	0.1	-21.3	1.15%	0	-2.2	40	0
22	Jan_22_2010	28.6	30.06	30	29.79			29.02(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-20	-10000	-14	-36	10.09	54%	0.11	-8.2	1.15%	0	-3.2	42	0
23	Jan_21_2010	28.57	30.12	30.14	30.04			29.59(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-7	-10000	-8	-4	6.79	55%	0.14	19.2	1.13%	0	-2.4	44	0
24	Jan_20_2010	28.53	30.14	30.21	30.18			29.97(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	4	-10000	1	12	5.03	57%	0.18	48.2	1.13%	0	-1	46	0
25	Jan_19_2010	28.48	30.13	30.22	30.17			30.38(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	4	-10000	1	11	4.42	60%		44.6	1.12%	0	1.5	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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