Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 11, 2010

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $30.3300 (-0.2%) ($30.1700 - $30.5400) on Mon. Jan. 11, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $30.3300(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(81%)    PEJ(78%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.28(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.17(0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.05(0.93%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 0.73% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_11_2010	28.27	30.05	30.17	30.28			30.33(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	4	29	4.17	61%	0.18	121.9	1.09%	0	1.3	70	0
2	Jan_8_2010	28.22	30.01	30.15	30.21			30.39(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	7	34	6.44	63%	0.14	124.7	1.09%	0	1.7	71	0
3	Jan_7_2010	28.18	29.94	30.12	30.09			30.4(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	9	-10000	4	23	5.74	63%	0.18	102.6	1.11%	0	2	58	0
4	Jan_6_2010	28.13	29.88	30.08	30.02			30.15(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	-10000	-1	15	4.25	64%	0.18	72	1.1%	0	0.9	55	0
5	Jan_5_2010	28.08	29.83	30.06	30.04			30.11(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10000	-1	17	6.16	66%	0.18	72.6	1.12%	0	0.8	53	0

6	Jan_4_2010	28.03	29.79	30.02	30.05			30(0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-2	16	5.44	66%	0.21	76.6	1.13%	0	0.6	57	0
7	Dec_31_2009	27.97	29.74	29.98	30.08			29.77(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-5	21	1.62	60%	0.14	68.1	1.14%	0	0.1	60	0
8	Dec_30_2009	27.93	29.71	30.01	30.16			30.05(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	1	45	2.28	60%	0.14	73.6	1.17%	0	0.8	74	0
9	Dec_29_2009	27.89	29.66	30	30.15			30.26(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	17	-10000	3	60	2.05	60%	0.14	73	1.17%	0	1.3	80	0
10	Dec_28_2009	27.85	29.58	29.97	30.09			30.16(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	6	69	2.52	62%	0.22	65.4	1.17%	0	1.2	70	0

11	Dec_24_2009	27.79	29.51	29.93	29.98			30.18(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	6	69	1.15	62%	0.18	55	1.18%	0	1.3	72	0
12	Dec_23_2009	27.74	29.45	29.86	29.87			30.16(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	2	66	3.02	60%	0.14	52.5	1.19%	0	1.5	74	0
13	Dec_22_2009	27.7	29.39	29.75	29.87			29.97(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	0	60	2.47	60%	0.14	49.7	1.21%	0	1.3	66	0
14	Dec_21_2009	27.66	29.34	29.66	29.87			29.99(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	0	60	5.94	60%	0.18	46	1.21%	0	1.5	68	0
15	Dec_18_2009	27.61	29.27	29.58	29.83			29.61(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-2	71	6.4	58%	0.15	43.5	1.2%	0	0.8	70	0

16	Dec_17_2009	27.57	29.23	29.54	29.86			29.62(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	23	-10000	2	86	3.82	58%	0.18	49.7	1.2%	0	0.9	71	0
17	Dec_16_2009	27.52	29.21	29.48	29.83			29.98(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	11	86	5.37	62%	0.18	52.8	1.19%	0	1.8	62	0
18	Dec_15_2009	27.47	29.17	29.39	29.64			29.95(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	11	71	4.65	62%	0.18	50	1.21%	0	2.1	65	0
19	Dec_14_2009	27.42	29.14	29.3	29.45			29.99(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	20	-10000	8	56	6.03	62%	0.18	51.3	1.21%	0	2.5	65	0
20	Dec_11_2009	27.37	29.08	29.16	29.3			29.76(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	16	-10000	7	41	5.02	62%	0.18	62.5	1.21%	0	2.4	66	0

21	Dec_10_2009	27.32	29.02	29.04	29.18			29.47(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	-10000	6	27	6.28	62%	0.18	66.7	1.2%	0	1.7	60	0
22	Dec_9_2009	27.27	28.99	29.01	29.08			29.02(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-2	15	5.31	61%	0.18	94	1.2%	0	0.1	47	0
23	Dec_8_2009	27.22	28.98	29	29.11			29.02(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-10000	-0	13	6.19	61%	0.18	130.1	1.21%	0	0.2	46	0
24	Dec_7_2009	27.17	28.96	28.99	29.12			29.24(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	8	9	7.98	61%	0.18	158.1	1.2%	0	1.1	44	0
25	Dec_4_2009	27.12	28.91	28.94	28.99			29.15(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	6	-9	10.2	62%		140.4	1.21%	0	0.8	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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