Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 4, 2010

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $30.0000 (0.77%) ($29.9000 - $30.1100) on Mon. Jan. 4, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $30.0000(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(81%)    PEJ(78%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.05(-0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.02(-0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.79(0.7%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_4_2010	28.03	29.79	30.02	30.05			30(0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-2	16	5.44	66%	0.21	76.6	1.13%	0	0.6	57	0
2	Dec_31_2009	27.97	29.74	29.98	30.08			29.77(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-5	21	1.62	60%	0.14	68.1	1.14%	0	0.1	60	0
3	Dec_30_2009	27.93	29.71	30.01	30.16			30.05(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	1	45	2.28	60%	0.14	73.6	1.17%	0	0.8	74	0
4	Dec_29_2009	27.89	29.66	30	30.15			30.26(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	17	-10000	3	60	2.05	60%	0.14	73	1.17%	0	1.3	80	0
5	Dec_28_2009	27.85	29.58	29.97	30.09			30.16(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	6	69	2.52	62%	0.22	65.4	1.17%	0	1.2	70	0

6	Dec_24_2009	27.79	29.51	29.93	29.98			30.18(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	6	69	1.15	62%	0.18	55	1.18%	0	1.3	72	0
7	Dec_23_2009	27.74	29.45	29.86	29.87			30.16(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	2	66	3.02	60%	0.14	52.5	1.19%	0	1.5	74	0
8	Dec_22_2009	27.7	29.39	29.75	29.87			29.97(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	0	60	2.47	60%	0.14	49.7	1.21%	0	1.3	66	0
9	Dec_21_2009	27.66	29.34	29.66	29.87			29.99(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	0	60	5.94	60%	0.18	46	1.21%	0	1.5	68	0
10	Dec_18_2009	27.61	29.27	29.58	29.83			29.61(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	16	-10000	-2	71	6.4	58%	0.15	43.5	1.2%	0	0.8	70	0

11	Dec_17_2009	27.57	29.23	29.54	29.86			29.62(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	23	-10000	2	86	3.82	58%	0.18	49.7	1.2%	0	0.9	71	0
12	Dec_16_2009	27.52	29.21	29.48	29.83			29.98(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	11	86	5.37	62%	0.18	52.8	1.19%	0	1.8	62	0
13	Dec_15_2009	27.47	29.17	29.39	29.64			29.95(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	11	71	4.65	62%	0.18	50	1.21%	0	2.1	65	0
14	Dec_14_2009	27.42	29.14	29.3	29.45			29.99(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	20	-10000	8	56	6.03	62%	0.18	51.3	1.21%	0	2.5	65	0
15	Dec_11_2009	27.37	29.08	29.16	29.3			29.76(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	16	-10000	7	41	5.02	62%	0.18	62.5	1.21%	0	2.4	66	0

16	Dec_10_2009	27.32	29.02	29.04	29.18			29.47(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	-10000	6	27	6.28	62%	0.18	66.7	1.2%	0	1.7	60	0
17	Dec_9_2009	27.27	28.99	29.01	29.08			29.02(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-2	15	5.31	61%	0.18	94	1.2%	0	0.1	47	0
18	Dec_8_2009	27.22	28.98	29	29.11			29.02(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-10000	-0	13	6.19	61%	0.18	130.1	1.21%	0	0.2	46	0
19	Dec_7_2009	27.17	28.96	28.99	29.12			29.24(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	8	9	7.98	61%	0.18	158.1	1.2%	0	1.1	44	0
20	Dec_4_2009	27.12	28.91	28.94	28.99			29.15(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	6	-9	10.2	62%	0.22	140.4	1.21%	0	0.8	52	0

21	Dec_3_2009	27.06	28.85	28.9	28.89			28.96(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-2	-17	7.48	62%	0.19	111.7	1.23%	0	0.3	57	0
22	Dec_2_2009	27.01	28.76	28.9	28.93			29.16(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	3	-7	5.43	62%	0.26	83.7	1.23%	0	0.8	54	0
23	Dec_1_2009	26.94	28.67	28.92	28.88			29.07(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	1	-5	7.04	60%	0.22	65.5	1.23%	0	0.6	54	0
24	Nov_30_2009	26.88	28.57	28.96	28.86			28.62(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-0	3	8.91	56%	0.26	51	1.26%	0	0.1	50	0
25	Nov_27_2009	26.81	28.49	29	28.87			28.62(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-2	18	6.37	56%		38.1	1.26%	0	0.2	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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