Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Oct. 20, 2009

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $28.3600 (-1.01%) ($28.1900 - $28.6700) on Tue. Oct. 20, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $28.3600(-1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(81%)    PEJ(78%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(2%)    IGOV(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.41(-0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.12(0.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.67(2.49%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   16.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2009	25.42	27.67	28.12	28.41			28.36(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	4	130	4.87	67%	0.16	33.7	1.17%	0	1.2	62	0
2	Oct_19_2009	25.38	27.63	28.02	28.34			28.65(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	8	122	4	67%	0.24	35.9	1.18%	0	1.9	63	0
3	Oct_16_2009	25.32	27.58	27.85	28.2			28.33(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	7	101	4.22	67%	0.24	36.5	1.17%	0	1.5	61	0
4	Oct_15_2009	25.26	27.55	27.68	28.09			28.38(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	7	84	3.69	69%	0.2	39.5	1.18%	0	1.8	68	0
5	Oct_14_2009	25.21	27.51	27.53	27.98			28.34(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	12	69	6.24	69%	0.2	41.7	1.22%	0	1.9	65	0

6	Oct_13_2009	25.16	27.48	27.43	27.78			27.99(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	8	50	3.91	68%	0.12	44.4	1.22%	0	1.3	57	0
7	Oct_12_2009	25.13	27.44	27.38	27.65			27.94(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	-10000	12	36	2.78	68%	0.24	46.7	1.23%	0	1.4	50	0
8	Oct_9_2009	25.07	27.4	27.33	27.45			27.8(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	15	15	3.05	68%	0.2	44.3	1.23%	0	1.1	50	0
9	Oct_8_2009	25.02	27.37	27.25	27.2			27.81(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	2	-10000	11	-25	4.39	68%	0.2	41.4	1.23%	0	1.3	48	0
10	Oct_7_2009	24.97	27.33	27.25	27.01			27.37(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-16	-10000	-1	-60	4.1	62%	0.2	46.2	1.22%	0	0.1	43	0

11	Oct_6_2009	24.92	27.31	27.17	27.03			27.35(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-18	-10000	-3	-64	4.65	62%	0.16	56.8	1.28%	0	0.1	43	0
12	Oct_5_2009	24.88	27.27	27.21	27.09			26.94(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-6	-54	5.08	60%	0.2	65.3	1.27%	0	-0.8	47	0
13	Oct_2_2009	24.83	27.25	27.28	27.2			26.53(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-13	-10000	-5	-36	5.9	52%	0.16	62.4	1.27%	0	-1.6	44	0
14	Oct_1_2009	24.79	27.22	27.41	27.29			26.87(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-3	-16	5.78	54%	0.2	51.8	1.37%	0	-0.7	50	0
15	Sep_30_2009	24.74	27.17	27.51	27.34			27.47(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	1	-1	7.27	58%	0.16	39.7	1.33%	0	0.5	57	0

16	Sep_29_2009	24.7	27.08	27.54	27.33			27.62(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	2	-10000	-2	12	6.26	58%	0.16	30.6	1.34%	0	0.8	66	0
17	Sep_28_2009	24.66	27.01	27.51	27.36			27.49(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	-2	27	6.92	58%	0.16	31.8	1.34%	0	0.7	68	0
18	Sep_25_2009	24.62	26.97	27.48	27.4			26.98(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-9	42	7.42	60%	0.12	36.1	1.33%	0	0	67	0
19	Sep_24_2009	24.59	26.95	27.5	27.57			27.14(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10000	-7	75	8.62	60%	0.12	48.3	1.39%	0	0.3	75	0
20	Sep_23_2009	24.56	26.92	27.51	27.7			27.4(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	-10000	-4	114	7.49	60%	0.16	60.2	1.38%	0	0.7	83	0

21	Sep_22_2009	24.52	26.87	27.46	27.78			27.8(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	41	-10000	5	147	6.93	57%	0.16	71.2	1.37%	0	1.3	88	0
22	Sep_21_2009	24.48	26.78	27.34	27.68			27.69(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	-10000	5	141	5.62	57%	0.2	77.1	1.43%	0	1.3	73	0
23	Sep_18_2009	24.43	26.71	27.21	27.58			27.8(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	8	132	8.64	57%	0.16	80.2	1.43%	0	1.7	64	0
24	Sep_17_2009	24.39	26.61	27.02	27.43			27.79(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	6	111	6.05	57%	0.21	73.4	1.43%	0	1.8	64	0
25	Sep_16_2009	24.34	26.5	26.8	27.31			27.82(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	10	90	4.37	54%		68.3	1.43%	0	2.2	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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