Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 14, 2009

Trading Signals: XLY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Discretionary sector ETF)
XLY latest price $25.8800 (-1.37%) ($25.6500 - $26.3000) on Fri. Aug. 14, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $25.8800(-1.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLY declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLY advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(87%)    XLK(86%)    QQQ(84%)    IWM(81%)    PEJ(78%)
Factors Impacting XLY price   XLY will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.11(-0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.01(-0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.47(1.61%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   18.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLY price fluctuates within 2.87% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090914

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2009	23.24	25.47	26.01	26.11			25.88(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-5	64	5.38	70%	0.26	97.2	1.72%	0	0.6	63	0
2	Aug_13_2009	23.18	25.37	25.96	26.23			26.24(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	5	84	5.29	65%	0.26	104.4	1.7%	0	1.1	70	0
3	Aug_12_2009	23.12	25.24	25.87	26.11			26.17(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	4	77	5.55	65%	0.3	104.2	1.77%	0	1.1	69	0
4	Aug_11_2009	23.05	25.11	25.74	26.02			25.98(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	-10000	1	74	4.81	65%	0.26	98.9	1.79%	0	0.9	74	0
5	Aug_10_2009	22.99	24.96	25.65	26			26.26(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	4	85	8.55	65%	0.35	93.6	1.8%	0	1.2	81	0

6	Aug_7_2009	22.91	24.77	25.53	25.91			26.5(3.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	32	-10000	11	93	14.94	65%	0.35	85.3	1.8%	0	1.5	85	0
7	Aug_6_2009	22.83	24.56	25.37	25.66			25.66(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	3	90	4.78	62%	0.26	77.1	1.78%	0	0.9	85	0
8	Aug_5_2009	22.77	24.39	25.31	25.58			25.68(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	7	103	5.77	62%	0.31	67.4	1.79%	0	1	86	0
9	Aug_4_2009	22.7	24.21	25.19	25.42			25.9(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	-10000	8	107	5.02	65%	0.4	57.9	1.78%	0	1.3	93	0
10	Aug_3_2009	22.61	24	25.02	25.24			25.79(2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	6	111	5.65	65%	0.31	50.5	1.82%	0	1.4	94	0

11	Jul_31_2009	22.54	23.83	24.87	25.1			25.27(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	33	-10000	2	125	5.11	63%	0.36	47.3	1.82%	0	1.2	94	0
12	Jul_30_2009	22.46	23.68	24.73	25.05			25.27(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	-10000	2	146	12.8	63%	0.36	43.5	1.82%	0	1.3	95	0
13	Jul_29_2009	22.38	23.57	24.57	25			24.88(-0.52%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	-0.1	45	-10000	4	167	9.31	63%	0.36	48.6	1.83%	0	1.1	93	0
14	Jul_28_2009	22.3	23.48	24.44	24.91			25.01(-0.32%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	51	-10000	7	184	4.5	63%	0.41	52.6	1.84%	0	1.4	96	0
15	Jul_27_2009	22.21	23.38	24.23	24.76			25.09(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	-10000	7	192	3.53	63%	0.41	55.7	1.83%	0	1.6	98	0

16	Jul_24_2009	22.12	23.27	23.97	24.6			24.99(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	-10000	11	186	4.54	63%	0.41	55.2	1.84%	0	1.8	81	0
17	Jul_23_2009	22.03	23.16	23.68	24.35			25.01(2.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	50	-10000	11	167	7.12	63%	0.36	53.4	1.87%	0	2.1	81	0
18	Jul_22_2009	21.95	23.02	23.4	24.1			24.44(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	9	137	5.41	61%	0.37	46.6	1.85%	0	1.8	60	0
19	Jul_21_2009	21.87	22.91	23.15	23.9			24.27(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	38	-10000	14	111	7.36	61%	0.32	39.5	1.85%	0	1.9	60	0
20	Jul_20_2009	21.8	22.81	22.9	23.6			24.27(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	-10000	17	72	6.17	56%	0.32	25.3	1.86%	0	2.2	58	0

21	Jul_17_2009	21.73	22.74	22.7	23.24			23.77(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	15	35	4.73	54%	0.28	5.5	1.91%	0	1.8	57	0
22	Jul_16_2009	21.67	22.7	22.54	22.91			23.73(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	11	-10000	15	-1	5.01	57%	0.28	-18.5	1.91%	0	1.9	54	0
23	Jul_15_2009	21.61	22.66	22.47	22.59			23.44(2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	6	-10000	13	-15	7.94	57%	0.23	-46.3	1.95%	0	1.6	61	0
24	Jul_14_2009	21.56	22.62	22.42	22.3			22.81(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	-10000	9	-30	7.16	54%	0.28	-83.9	1.93%	0	0.4	57	0
25	Jul_13_2009	21.5	22.64	22.45	22.1			22.46(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	1	-39	7.43	54%		-98.6	1.94%	0	-0.4	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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